SFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +3.2% median,
62% of the last 26 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 2
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.46%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.46 +1.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$4M/day volume
28% volatility
+36% 1-year
-9% from ATH
52-week range · 77% of the way up · -8% from the high
$40.91$65.09
Congressional trades in SFST Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Aug 7, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-21 (Thursday, before open, in 81 days) · EPS est. 1.32.
1-day std dev
3.1%
Finished up
72%
Biggest pop
+9.1%
Biggest drop
-7.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 53 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | beat | 1.25 | 1.28 | +2.0% | +0.8% | +3.0% | +3.6% |
| 2026-07-21 | beat | 1.19 | 1.20 | +0.8% | -1.8% | +0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2026-04-21 | miss | 1.23 | 1.19 | -3.2% | -1.8% | +0.6% | +2.9% |
| 2026-01-22 | beat | 1.11 | 1.21 | +9.0% | +0.2% | +3.4% | -3.9% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | 0.89 | 1.07 | +20.2% | +0.6% | +6.1% | +5.2% |
| 2025-07-22 | beat | 0.65 | 0.81 | +24.6% | +1.0% | +9.1% | +8.0% |
| 2025-04-22 | beat | 0.61 | 0.65 | +6.6% | +4.9% | +4.1% | +13.4% |
| 2025-01-28 | beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.7% | +5.5% | +2.1% | -2.2% |
| 2024-10-22 | miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -1.8% | +1.4% | +4.9% | +5.7% |
| 2024-07-18 | miss | 0.48 | 0.37 | -22.9% | +0.0% | +3.0% | +4.7% |
| 2024-04-18 | miss | 0.38 | 0.31 | -18.4% | -2.3% | +6.4% | -0.3% |
| 2024-01-18 | beat | 0.39 | 0.51 | +32.5% | +2.6% | +1.6% | +7.1% |
| 2023-10-19 | beat | 0.33 | 0.51 | +56.9% | +9.8% | +0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2023-07-25 | miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -4.1% | +1.4% | -1.6% | +3.8% |
| 2023-04-25 | miss | 0.64 | 0.33 | -48.2% | -1.1% | -7.2% | -16.2% |
| 2023-01-24 | miss | 0.96 | 0.68 | -29.2% | -2.1% | -5.4% | -2.0% |
| 2022-10-25 | beat | 1.02 | 1.04 | +1.5% | +0.1% | +3.9% | +7.9% |
| 2022-07-26 | miss | 1.08 | 0.90 | -16.7% | -0.5% | -3.9% | -4.4% |
| 2022-04-26 | miss | 1.08 | 0.98 | -9.5% | -1.1% | -2.9% | -4.9% |
| 2022-01-25 | beat | 1.19 | 1.49 | +24.9% | -0.4% | +1.3% | -1.7% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 1.16 | 1.75 | +50.9% | +1.4% | +5.5% | +13.4% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 1.14 | 1.27 | +10.8% | -1.4% | -0.8% | -2.2% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.99 | 1.31 | +31.9% | -1.1% | +0.4% | +3.9% |
| 2021-01-26 | beat | 0.63 | 1.10 | +73.7% | +1.6% | +0.9% | +2.5% |
| 2020-10-27 | miss | 0.57 | 0.28 | -50.6% | -0.5% | -3.8% | +7.7% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | 0.38 | 0.38 | +0.7% | -1.2% | +0.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-04-28 | miss | 0.88 | 0.36 | -59.1% | +1.0% | +4.4% | -9.9% |
| 2019-10-22 | beat | 0.87 | 0.95 | +9.8% | +0.1% | +0.7% | -0.6% |
| 2019-07-23 | beat | 0.78 | 0.93 | +19.2% | +1.2% | +2.7% | +10.9% |
| 2019-04-23 | beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.3% | +1.1% | +3.0% | +5.9% |
| 2019-01-22 | beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +3.5% | +0.5% | +5.3% | +10.8% |
| 2018-10-23 | beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +7.1% | +0.0% | +2.5% | -0.4% |
| 2018-07-24 | beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.4% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2018-04-24 | beat | 0.61 | 0.67 | +9.8% | +0.3% | -1.4% | -2.5% |
| 2018-01-23 | miss | 0.54 | 0.27 | -50.0% | -0.8% | +0.9% | -0.8% |
| 2017-10-24 | beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +10.0% | +0.3% | +1.5% | +3.6% |
| 2017-07-25 | miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -1.0% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.7% |
| 2017-04-25 | miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -4.2% | -0.3% | +0.0% | +5.5% |
| 2017-01-24 | beat | 0.49 | 0.49 | +1.0% | -4.6% | +3.5% | +2.2% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +3.0% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -1.3% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +6.5% | +0.7% | +0.3% | -0.2% |
| 2016-04-26 | beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +15.4% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +3.6% |
| 2016-01-26 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +2.4% | +1.8% | +1.8% | +2.5% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.9% | -0.5% | +2.3% | +6.2% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +21.9% | -2.4% | -0.8% | +2.9% |
| 2015-05-01 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +6.9% | -0.8% | -0.1% | -2.3% |
| 2015-01-27 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +5.3% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -2.3% |
| 2014-10-21 | beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +17.0% | +1.0% | +3.7% | +2.8% |
| 2014-07-22 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +8.3% | +0.9% | +1.4% | +0.0% |
| 2014-04-22 | miss | 0.29 | 0.22 | -24.1% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.7% |
| 2014-01-28 | miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -3.6% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2013-10-22 | beat | 0.27 | 0.27 | +1.9% | -0.7% | -1.8% | -4.1% |
| 2013-07-23 | beat | 0.22 | 0.25 | +13.6% | +0.0% | +8.5% | +12.2% |
Not investment advice.
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