SGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +11.2% median,
60% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 91
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.84 +2.0% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.1%
$114M/day volume
70% volatility
+2% 1-year
-67% from ATH
52-week range · 99% of the way up · -1% from the high
$11.41$23.37
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. 0.12.
1-day std dev
11.3%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+20.7%
Biggest drop
-36.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 44 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +59.6% | +6.0% | +2.7% | -7.5% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | -0.14 | -0.03 | +77.8% | -0.8% | +0.4% | -1.6% |
| 2026-03-02 | miss | 0.30 | 0.12 | -59.7% | -21.9% | -12.3% | -18.5% |
| 2025-11-10 | miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -19.0% | -17.4% | -25.4% | -30.0% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +25.8% | +1.3% | -0.3% | +3.4% |
| 2025-05-12 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -25.9% | +1.5% | +5.0% | +6.5% |
| 2025-03-03 | beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +16.7% | +2.8% | -0.3% | -1.7% |
| 2024-11-12 | miss | 0.26 | 0.19 | -27.2% | -10.7% | -5.9% | -27.6% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +6.2% | -4.0% | +3.2% | +4.5% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +27.7% | +7.4% | +8.5% | +5.3% |
| 2024-02-26 | beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +16.9% | +3.1% | -8.6% | -7.7% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.15 | 0.19 | +30.8% | +6.2% | +14.0% | +21.6% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.08 | 0.28 | +237.6% | -2.6% | -4.4% | -7.6% |
| 2023-05-01 | beat | 0.01 | 0.08 | +1104.8% | +4.1% | -5.6% | -11.6% |
| 2023-03-01 | beat | 0.18 | 0.27 | +46.0% | +4.6% | +1.6% | -0.3% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | 0.05 | -0.02 | -143.6% | -5.3% | -2.4% | +14.9% |
| 2022-08-02 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -55.0% | -1.7% | -7.4% | -3.3% |
| 2022-05-03 | miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -15.7% | +4.5% | +7.2% | -6.5% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +18.4% | +0.7% | +4.2% | -0.3% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | -0.10 | -0.05 | +52.1% | +15.4% | +17.0% | +25.5% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | -0.15 | — | +100.0% | -4.8% | -15.0% | -18.8% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | -0.39 | -0.30 | +24.1% | +1.8% | +1.8% | -0.7% |
| 2021-03-10 | beat | 0.06 | 0.13 | +110.7% | +0.1% | +3.5% | +2.6% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | -0.34 | -0.53 | -55.9% | -3.8% | -5.5% | +2.4% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.74 | -0.48 | +34.9% | +6.2% | +20.7% | +26.9% |
| 2020-05-11 | beat | -0.40 | -0.34 | +15.2% | +3.9% | +2.3% | +12.8% |
| 2020-03-05 | miss | 0.17 | 0.14 | -20.2% | -0.5% | -20.5% | -54.1% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | -0.18 | -0.28 | -54.0% | +0.0% | +18.0% | +30.3% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | -0.15 | -0.29 | -98.9% | -9.4% | -0.3% | -5.5% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | -0.25 | -0.42 | -66.3% | -0.5% | -2.4% | -4.6% |
| 2019-03-13 | miss | 0.31 | -0.17 | -156.9% | +0.1% | +4.2% | +9.4% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | -0.08 | -0.19 | -123.5% | -2.9% | -1.2% | -2.2% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | -0.15 | -0.18 | -18.0% | -7.9% | +7.9% | +11.1% |
| 2018-05-09 | miss | -0.18 | -0.26 | -44.4% | -8.5% | +1.5% | +15.8% |
| 2018-03-01 | miss | 0.07 | -1.39 | -2120.1% | -2.2% | -5.7% | +9.8% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +64.2% | +0.0% | +17.1% | +0.0% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | 0.19 | -0.01 | -105.3% | -31.9% | -36.6% | -49.6% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -43.1% | -1.1% | +15.1% | +19.8% |
| 2017-03-09 | miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -2.7% | -14.1% | -10.0% | -5.0% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | 0.15 | 0.21 | +39.6% | +3.4% | +1.0% | +19.2% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +18.4% | +3.5% | +2.5% | +15.3% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -7.5% | -3.9% | -5.9% | -4.1% |
| 2016-03-10 | beat | 0.20 | 3.28 | +1563.0% | +23.5% | +16.2% | +11.2% |
| 2015-11-12 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +8.1% | -1.0% | +3.1% | +1.6% |
Not investment advice.
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