SHModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+2.1%
Next 1 month
+4.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +9.4% median,
90% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 59
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.83 +4.8% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +0.1%
$217.3B market cap (#123 US)
$1.3B/day volume
59% volatility
-4% 1-year
-8% from ATH
52-week range · 84% of the way up · -8% from the high
$94.00$182.19
Congressional trades in SHOP Full tracker →
7 members · 17 buys / 14 sells · $143K–$670K disclosed · latest filing Mar 12, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.46.
1-day std dev
11.4%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+23.8%
Biggest drop
-18.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 45 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.0% | +21.7% | +17.0% | +22.0% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +8.6% | -9.0% | -15.6% | -21.7% |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | 0.51 | 0.48 | -5.7% | +9.2% | -6.7% | -2.7% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0.6% | -5.7% | -6.9% | -8.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +22.1% | +14.3% | +22.0% | +18.2% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -4.5% | -5.1% | -0.5% | +16.6% |
| 2025-02-11 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +1.8% | +2.0% | +3.1% | +6.5% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | 0.18 | 0.64 | +254.9% | +19.5% | +21.0% | +16.2% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.20 | 0.26 | +29.1% | +19.0% | +17.8% | +32.0% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +17.9% | -17.4% | -18.6% | -23.7% |
| 2024-02-13 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +13.1% | -12.7% | -13.4% | -15.2% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 0.14 | 0.24 | +65.8% | +18.1% | +22.4% | +23.7% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.05 | 0.14 | +181.1% | -0.9% | -5.4% | -9.5% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -0.04 | 0.01 | +127.3% | +18.6% | +23.8% | +35.9% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | -0.02 | 0.07 | +479.2% | -14.7% | -15.9% | -23.7% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | -0.07 | -0.02 | +71.8% | +6.8% | +17.3% | +16.1% |
| 2022-07-27 | miss | 0.03 | -0.03 | -195.8% | -0.3% | +11.7% | +32.9% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.07 | 0.02 | -69.4% | -16.0% | -14.9% | -27.2% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +3.5% | -10.1% | -16.0% | -25.4% |
| 2021-10-28 | miss | 0.12 | 0.08 | -33.4% | -0.8% | +7.0% | +13.2% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.10 | 0.22 | +132.5% | +1.4% | -1.1% | +0.0% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.07 | 0.20 | +172.1% | +5.2% | +11.4% | -3.2% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +30.9% | -6.1% | -3.3% | -11.7% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.05 | 0.11 | +123.5% | +2.5% | -4.8% | +1.0% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | — | 0.11 | +4116.9% | +12.4% | +7.0% | +11.1% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | -0.02 | 0.02 | +210.5% | -1.9% | +6.9% | +10.0% |
| 2020-02-12 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +81.0% | +15.5% | +7.8% | +8.7% |
| 2019-10-29 | miss | 0.01 | -0.03 | -372.6% | -5.8% | -3.8% | -9.1% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | — | 0.01 | +230.2% | +5.1% | +7.4% | +12.6% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | — | 0.01 | +300.4% | +0.3% | +7.9% | +14.6% |
| 2019-02-12 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +26.9% | -5.5% | +1.4% | +3.5% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | — | — | +227.4% | +7.4% | +12.0% | +18.1% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | — | — | +181.0% | -6.5% | -6.7% | -4.3% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | -0.01 | — | +179.8% | -6.4% | -4.5% | +7.2% |
| 2018-02-15 | beat | — | 0.02 | +217.1% | -1.9% | +0.3% | -0.4% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | — | 0.01 | +345.1% | -7.3% | -9.0% | -8.8% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | -0.01 | — | +85.0% | +12.5% | +12.7% | +4.5% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | -0.01 | — | +60.7% | +4.1% | +7.4% | +15.4% |
| 2017-02-15 | beat | — | — | +100.0% | -2.1% | +8.1% | +11.9% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | — | — | +35.5% | +3.0% | +6.8% | -0.5% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | -0.01 | — | +47.2% | +4.3% | +9.7% | +17.2% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +32.0% | +0.0% | -3.7% | -14.5% |
| 2016-02-17 | beat | -0.01 | — | +81.6% | +18.5% | +9.1% | +2.5% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | -0.01 | — | +51.0% | +7.3% | +1.0% | -10.4% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | -0.01 | — | +65.9% | +13.1% | +11.6% | +6.2% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google