SIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+4.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.7% median,
52% of the last 29 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 7
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.35%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.86 +4.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$11M/day volume
69% volatility
-59% 1-year
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -67% from the high
$0.71$2.20
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.01.
1-day std dev
4.5%
Finished up
37%
Biggest pop
+9.6%
Biggest drop
-13.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | miss | -0.03 | -0.12 | -313.8% | +1.1% | +3.4% | +2.3% |
| 2026-05-13 | miss | 0.24 | -0.09 | -136.2% | +2.3% | +5.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-11 | miss | -0.05 | -0.16 | -206.3% | -5.8% | -13.0% | -13.8% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | 0.11 | 0.01 | -90.2% | -1.8% | -2.4% | +0.6% |
| 2025-07-31 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -124.1% | -0.7% | -4.1% | -4.8% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | 0.07 | -0.10 | -239.7% | -3.5% | -8.1% | -5.2% |
| 2025-03-12 | beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +11.6% | +7.5% | +8.2% | +22.6% |
| 2024-11-12 | miss | 0.25 | -0.11 | -144.0% | -3.6% | -5.6% | +2.6% |
| 2024-08-12 | beat | -0.21 | -0.07 | +65.7% | +1.4% | +5.6% | +1.4% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | 0.06 | -0.09 | -251.3% | +1.5% | -1.1% | +2.2% |
| 2024-03-06 | miss | 0.19 | 0.09 | -54.1% | -0.6% | -5.1% | -7.5% |
| 2023-08-01 | miss | 0.12 | 0.03 | -76.7% | -1.4% | -4.2% | -12.2% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 0.21 | -0.14 | -166.0% | -3.3% | -5.2% | -4.8% |
| 2023-03-07 | miss | 0.19 | — | -98.5% | +1.8% | +4.5% | -16.6% |
| 2022-10-31 | miss | 0.12 | 0.02 | -84.1% | +0.8% | +5.4% | +10.8% |
| 2022-08-31 | miss | 0.13 | 0.03 | -78.0% | +0.0% | -2.9% | -8.3% |
| 2022-05-03 | miss | 0.68 | 0.18 | -73.3% | -2.3% | +3.5% | -18.2% |
| 2022-03-08 | miss | 0.28 | 0.14 | -51.4% | +0.0% | +2.6% | -13.9% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | 0.31 | 0.20 | -34.6% | -0.8% | -1.0% | -3.3% |
| 2021-07-26 | miss | 1.05 | 0.70 | -33.4% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -2.8% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.25 | 0.70 | +174.9% | -2.6% | -3.8% | +4.2% |
| 2020-10-16 | miss | 0.25 | 0.14 | -44.8% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +9.8% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | -0.03 | 0.06 | +312.9% | +8.5% | +5.5% | +3.8% |
| 2020-05-14 | beat | -0.49 | -0.17 | +66.1% | -4.3% | -3.6% | +6.5% |
| 2020-03-04 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +17.1% | -1.1% | -3.4% | -49.2% |
| 2019-10-23 | miss | — | -0.15 | -13443.0% | -4.5% | -7.6% | -11.8% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 0.22 | 0.36 | +64.3% | +4.0% | -0.5% | -15.6% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | 0.11 | 0.02 | -85.6% | -5.6% | -1.9% | +1.7% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | 0.20 | 0.31 | +49.1% | +2.5% | +9.6% | +23.4% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | -0.01 | 0.14 | +1450.7% | +0.4% | +2.0% | -3.5% |
| 2018-03-26 | beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +99.3% | +1.6% | -2.4% | -0.4% |
| 2017-10-28 | miss | 0.03 | -0.02 | -171.6% | +1.2% | -0.8% | -4.3% |
| 2016-11-14 | miss | 0.02 | -0.03 | -273.8% | +1.3% | +4.9% | +10.7% |
| 2016-08-15 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +7.3% | -0.9% | -6.0% | -17.5% |
| 2016-05-12 | miss | -0.10 | -0.18 | -68.7% | -1.8% | -3.2% | -27.0% |
| 2016-03-28 | beat | -0.08 | 0.41 | +596.0% | -5.5% | -5.5% | -3.2% |
| 2015-11-13 | beat | -0.11 | -0.10 | +8.3% | -3.7% | -5.9% | +11.9% |
| 2015-08-13 | miss | -0.05 | -0.12 | -149.7% | -2.7% | -10.7% | -22.3% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | -0.08 | 0.09 | +224.7% | +2.8% | +0.0% | -10.4% |
| 2015-03-12 | beat | -0.26 | 0.01 | +105.8% | +1.2% | +3.0% | +1.2% |
| 2014-11-14 | miss | 0.03 | -0.07 | -347.2% | -4.3% | -5.4% | -6.8% |
| 2014-08-04 | miss | 0.03 | 0.01 | -81.9% | +0.4% | +1.2% | -3.3% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | 0.04 | 0.02 | -63.7% | -1.4% | -1.2% | +3.6% |
| 2014-02-28 | beat | 0.06 | 0.13 | +113.7% | -4.0% | -6.3% | -14.1% |
| 2013-11-14 | beat | 0.08 | 0.15 | +83.4% | +3.4% | +2.2% | -0.4% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | — | 0.15 | +3214.8% | +3.5% | +2.1% | +19.2% |
| 2013-05-15 | miss | 0.07 | 0.01 | -91.7% | -2.4% | -1.8% | +1.8% |
| 2013-03-28 | miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -2.0% | +1.6% | +3.3% | -3.3% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +37.1% | -0.2% | +4.0% | -1.7% |
| 2012-08-14 | miss | 0.07 | -0.09 | -228.0% | -1.0% | -2.1% | +7.5% |
| 2012-05-10 | miss | 0.15 | 0.04 | -73.9% | -3.9% | -4.0% | -16.9% |
| 2012-03-26 | beat | 0.20 | 0.31 | +59.8% | -0.7% | -2.5% | -6.3% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.26 | 0.44 | +70.4% | -1.3% | +2.1% | -2.5% |
| 2011-08-02 | beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +18.9% | +0.9% | +0.8% | -16.9% |
| 2011-06-20 | miss | 0.31 | 0.18 | -41.5% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -1.9% |
| 2011-05-04 | miss | 0.35 | 0.27 | -24.4% | +1.2% | -1.2% | -8.5% |
| 2010-10-29 | miss | 0.37 | 0.28 | -24.0% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +6.5% |
| 2010-08-10 | miss | 0.34 | 0.34 | -0.9% | -2.1% | -4.1% | -3.8% |
| 2010-05-06 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +8.4% | -0.8% | -0.9% | +0.4% |
| 2010-02-26 | beat | 0.21 | 0.53 | +155.2% | +2.5% | +2.5% | +10.6% |
Not investment advice.
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