SIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.1%
Next 1 week
+2.5%
Next 1 month
+7.3%
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 12
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.42%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.95 +7.4% · Seasonal tilt (6y) -0.1%
$262M/day volume
87% volatility
+61% 1-year
-50% from ATH
52-week range · 31% of the way up · -50% from the high
$243.68$901.81
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 3.56.
1-day std dev
15.9%
Finished up
59%
Biggest pop
+31.2%
Biggest drop
-34.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 27 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 1.95 | 2.34 | +19.7% | +26.1% | +26.6% | +26.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 1.16 | 1.44 | +24.4% | +34.0% | +27.9% | +31.6% |
| 2026-02-04 | beat | 1.21 | 1.53 | +26.6% | +10.5% | +17.9% | +21.6% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.71 | 0.87 | +22.5% | +17.9% | +21.8% | +3.4% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.28 | 0.47 | +65.4% | +2.5% | -5.6% | +7.6% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.12 | 0.26 | +122.5% | +11.3% | +13.4% | +23.9% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 0.42 | 0.48 | +13.1% | -0.1% | -20.9% | -23.9% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.26 | 0.40 | +54.2% | +5.5% | +19.0% | +7.4% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.04 | 0.12 | +209.0% | +0.0% | +10.6% | +24.1% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.15 | -0.08 | +45.1% | +0.2% | -1.0% | +2.6% |
| 2024-02-13 | beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +17.4% | -7.9% | -4.2% | -18.4% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | — | 0.06 | +2347.2% | +5.7% | +12.0% | +10.3% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | -0.30 | -0.22 | +25.6% | +7.5% | +8.7% | +9.3% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | — | 0.09 | +7400.0% | -14.9% | -20.7% | -22.3% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 0.55 | 0.64 | +16.3% | +2.0% | +6.2% | +4.1% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.85 | 0.97 | +14.5% | -9.5% | -8.2% | +20.2% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 1.01 | 1.11 | +9.8% | -25.0% | -34.9% | -35.8% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.76 | 0.94 | +22.9% | -1.1% | -5.0% | -10.0% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | 1.09 | 1.32 | +21.1% | -10.7% | -16.6% | -10.1% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.75 | 1.03 | +36.8% | +6.6% | +5.8% | -9.1% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.23 | 0.46 | +102.9% | +10.8% | +31.2% | +44.6% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.12 | 0.19 | +58.3% | +2.3% | +6.5% | -6.4% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.37 | 0.43 | +17.3% | +1.7% | -2.8% | +5.1% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +50.0% | -0.6% | +2.1% | +0.9% |
| 2020-08-06 | miss | -0.14 | -0.18 | -27.6% | +1.4% | -4.3% | +5.0% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | -0.18 | -0.14 | +23.9% | +3.0% | +10.6% | +11.1% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 0.07 | 0.16 | +135.3% | +7.9% | +10.8% | +9.2% |
Not investment advice.
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