SLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.4%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+4.8%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -8.5% median,
35% of the last 17 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 3
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.29%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.14 +5.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$78M/day volume
109% volatility
+348% 1-year
52-week range · 49% of the way up · -46% from the high
$1.39$15.88
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, after close, in 9 days) · EPS est. -0.05.
1-day std dev
11.9%
Finished up
29%
Biggest pop
+10.4%
Biggest drop
-44.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 34 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -11.1% | +7.9% | +6.5% | +25.3% |
| 2026-03-19 | beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +21.1% | +7.7% | -8.5% | -16.0% |
| 2025-11-12 | beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +21.7% | +0.7% | -2.0% | -2.0% |
| 2025-08-12 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +8.7% | +0.6% | -3.7% | +14.9% |
| 2025-05-13 | beat | -0.11 | -0.07 | +34.4% | +4.3% | +7.1% | +20.6% |
| 2025-03-20 | beat | -0.11 | -0.08 | +25.0% | -6.6% | -0.8% | -8.3% |
| 2024-11-13 | beat | -0.13 | -0.10 | +21.1% | +0.8% | +0.0% | -3.9% |
| 2024-08-13 | beat | -0.17 | -0.13 | +25.0% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +10.1% |
| 2024-05-14 | miss | -0.16 | -0.21 | -31.2% | -1.5% | +7.3% | +4.4% |
| 2024-03-28 | miss | -0.03 | -0.25 | -837.4% | +2.0% | +5.9% | +43.6% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | 0.02 | -0.33 | -1985.7% | -2.2% | +0.0% | +8.8% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | -0.35 | -0.31 | +12.7% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -3.8% |
| 2023-05-11 | miss | -0.29 | -0.47 | -62.1% | -0.6% | -11.1% | +2.3% |
| 2023-03-16 | miss | -0.33 | -0.43 | -28.4% | -0.7% | -2.2% | -10.9% |
| 2022-11-14 | beat | -0.39 | -0.34 | +12.1% | -31.6% | -44.0% | -43.3% |
| 2022-08-11 | miss | -0.37 | -0.42 | -14.3% | -2.8% | -2.8% | +1.9% |
| 2022-05-12 | miss | -0.42 | -0.42 | -0.9% | -0.8% | +10.4% | +43.6% |
| 2022-03-31 | miss | -0.41 | -0.42 | -1.8% | -36.8% | -37.9% | -45.8% |
| 2021-11-12 | miss | -0.34 | -0.45 | -30.4% | -3.5% | -18.5% | -20.4% |
| 2021-08-12 | beat | -0.39 | -0.30 | +23.1% | +1.4% | +1.6% | -12.4% |
| 2021-05-13 | beat | -0.36 | -0.16 | +55.6% | +6.8% | +7.1% | +28.1% |
| 2021-03-23 | beat | -0.36 | -0.32 | +10.8% | -3.7% | -17.8% | -13.7% |
| 2020-11-13 | miss | -0.34 | -0.53 | -57.0% | -4.2% | +0.4% | +16.3% |
| 2020-08-13 | beat | -0.64 | -0.63 | +0.8% | -7.3% | -11.0% | -24.4% |
| 2020-05-14 | beat | -0.68 | -0.63 | +6.8% | +7.7% | -0.3% | +27.5% |
| 2020-03-13 | beat | -0.84 | -0.60 | +28.6% | +5.3% | -1.6% | -9.0% |
| 2019-11-14 | beat | -1.00 | -0.96 | +3.7% | +1.3% | -16.5% | -36.5% |
| 2019-08-14 | beat | -9.00 | -6.19 | +31.2% | +13.3% | +6.7% | +0.0% |
| 2019-05-15 | beat | -10.25 | -9.71 | +5.3% | +3.5% | -7.1% | -8.2% |
| 2019-03-22 | miss | -15.50 | -20.00 | -29.0% | -3.8% | -11.5% | -22.1% |
| 2018-11-14 | miss | -20.25 | -26.50 | -30.9% | -6.7% | -13.8% | -14.4% |
| 2018-08-14 | miss | -51.50 | -63.00 | -22.3% | -5.6% | -13.0% | -15.7% |
| 2018-05-15 | miss | -46.50 | -83.50 | -79.6% | +1.1% | -0.7% | +1.8% |
| 2018-04-13 | beat | -34.50 | -6.12 | +82.3% | +0.7% | -2.1% | -12.1% |
Not investment advice.
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