SMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.9%
Next 1 month
-2.9%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -3.5% median,
33% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 56
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -1.05 -2.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$92M/day volume
52% volatility
+88% 1-year
-58% from ATH
52-week range · 92% of the way up · -5% from the high
$17.45$41.56
Congressional trades in SM Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing Sep 9, 2022.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.98.
1-day std dev
12.2%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+74.6%
Biggest drop
-21.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 1.95 | 2.19 | +12.1% | +5.4% | -1.1% | +11.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 1.13 | 1.55 | +37.8% | -3.6% | +1.9% | +9.9% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 0.83 | 0.83 | +0.2% | -6.3% | -4.2% | +16.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 1.25 | 1.33 | +6.8% | -2.3% | -7.4% | -11.8% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 1.25 | 1.50 | +19.8% | +5.1% | -3.4% | -4.9% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 1.62 | 1.76 | +8.8% | +1.0% | -3.6% | -2.2% |
| 2025-02-19 | miss | 1.91 | 1.91 | -0.1% | -2.5% | -4.4% | -16.3% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 1.50 | 1.62 | +7.7% | +3.4% | -4.0% | +3.3% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 1.52 | 1.85 | +21.6% | +13.5% | +10.9% | +19.9% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 1.28 | 1.41 | +10.0% | +2.1% | +5.0% | +3.0% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 1.38 | 1.56 | +12.6% | +2.4% | +4.7% | +10.8% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 1.62 | 1.73 | +7.0% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -10.6% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 1.11 | 1.28 | +15.7% | +0.6% | +4.7% | +10.0% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | 1.21 | 1.33 | +9.6% | +0.1% | +4.6% | +0.3% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 1.23 | 1.29 | +5.1% | +1.6% | +1.2% | +6.8% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 1.77 | 1.82 | +2.9% | +3.7% | +2.9% | +4.4% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 2.17 | 2.19 | +0.8% | +0.1% | -0.6% | +11.1% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 1.97 | 1.98 | +0.6% | +0.2% | -1.1% | +8.3% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.76 | 1.14 | +49.2% | -5.1% | -6.4% | +14.7% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 0.14 | 0.74 | +424.5% | +6.4% | +6.9% | +15.4% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | -0.24 | 0.01 | +104.1% | +1.1% | +1.0% | +0.8% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | -0.23 | -0.05 | +78.2% | -5.8% | -11.2% | -0.1% |
| 2021-02-17 | miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -61.6% | -8.8% | -21.1% | -1.7% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | -0.23 | -0.05 | +78.5% | +6.8% | +9.5% | +22.4% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -0.50 | -0.15 | +70.1% | +0.3% | -15.2% | -14.7% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | -0.18 | -0.05 | +71.8% | +10.1% | +74.6% | +72.5% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +1.4% | +3.2% | -4.5% | -34.3% |
| 2019-10-31 | beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +17.2% | +1.9% | +6.9% | +25.1% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | -0.11 | 0.01 | +108.8% | +4.9% | +10.4% | +14.7% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | -0.29 | -0.34 | -19.1% | -3.9% | -2.9% | -0.7% |
| 2019-02-20 | miss | -0.16 | -0.18 | -10.5% | -5.7% | -13.6% | -17.0% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | 0.16 | -0.01 | -106.1% | -2.9% | -6.1% | -8.0% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.07 | 0.15 | +103.0% | -0.3% | +5.7% | +2.3% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +150.5% | +0.0% | +2.5% | +6.8% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | -0.15 | -0.08 | +46.9% | -10.8% | -9.3% | -14.0% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | -0.31 | -0.25 | +18.9% | +0.6% | +1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | -0.29 | -0.32 | -10.6% | -2.3% | -0.5% | -6.1% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | -0.35 | -0.18 | +48.5% | +4.1% | -2.9% | -2.0% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | -0.41 | -0.31 | +24.2% | +0.4% | -5.3% | -9.2% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | -0.59 | -0.37 | +37.2% | -2.6% | -6.7% | -6.0% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | -0.68 | -0.44 | +35.0% | +0.5% | +14.1% | +17.9% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | -0.85 | -0.83 | +2.4% | +1.0% | -1.9% | +2.8% |
| 2016-02-23 | miss | -0.58 | -0.90 | -54.9% | -6.7% | -0.1% | +31.1% |
| 2015-10-27 | miss | -0.29 | -0.34 | -18.6% | -2.3% | +0.9% | +19.2% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | — | 0.49 | +17353.5% | +6.9% | +11.5% | -1.5% |
| 2015-05-05 | miss | 0.29 | 0.21 | -26.7% | +2.8% | -1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2015-02-24 | miss | 1.10 | 1.05 | -4.5% | +1.8% | +14.5% | +3.3% |
| 2014-10-28 | miss | 1.46 | 1.44 | -1.4% | +0.5% | -3.9% | -9.9% |
| 2014-07-29 | miss | 1.60 | 1.56 | -2.3% | +0.8% | +4.0% | +4.2% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 1.50 | 1.58 | +5.2% | +0.0% | -7.0% | -4.6% |
| 2014-02-18 | miss | 1.45 | 1.26 | -12.8% | -13.2% | -17.1% | -18.4% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | 1.08 | 1.54 | +42.1% | +4.9% | +2.5% | -0.2% |
| 2013-07-30 | miss | 0.78 | 0.76 | -2.1% | +4.7% | +3.6% | +3.2% |
| 2013-04-30 | beat | 0.58 | 0.82 | +41.4% | +1.7% | -5.0% | +4.2% |
| 2013-02-20 | beat | 0.24 | 0.45 | +90.8% | +4.0% | +4.7% | -0.8% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 0.06 | 0.14 | +122.6% | +5.9% | +10.8% | +1.5% |
| 2012-08-01 | miss | 0.26 | 0.09 | -65.3% | -9.5% | -11.6% | +1.2% |
| 2012-05-02 | miss | 0.51 | 0.48 | -6.8% | -2.3% | -1.3% | +0.6% |
| 2012-02-22 | beat | 0.56 | 0.60 | +7.7% | +1.3% | +5.0% | +1.5% |
| 2011-10-31 | miss | 0.68 | 0.63 | -7.7% | -9.5% | -4.8% | +1.3% |
Not investment advice.
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