SMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +4.1% median,
74% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.51%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.24 +0.6% · Seasonal tilt +1.2%
$6M/day volume
21% volatility
+34% 1-year
-12% from ATH
52-week range · 68% of the way up · -12% from the high
$51.46$79.86
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-20 (Wednesday, after close, in 81 days) · EPS est. 1.71.
1-day std dev
4.5%
Finished up
66%
Biggest pop
+9.3%
Biggest drop
-11.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 35 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | beat | 1.66 | 1.73 | +4.2% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +2.0% |
| 2026-07-22 | beat | 1.52 | 1.83 | +20.1% | -0.3% | +3.1% | +2.6% |
| 2026-04-22 | beat | 1.52 | 1.60 | +5.3% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +3.9% |
| 2026-01-21 | beat | 1.54 | 1.62 | +5.0% | -0.1% | +0.2% | -2.4% |
| 2025-10-23 | beat | 1.31 | 1.38 | +5.6% | -0.1% | +3.0% | +4.9% |
| 2025-07-23 | beat | 1.25 | 1.39 | +10.8% | +1.0% | +1.5% | -4.2% |
| 2025-04-22 | beat | 1.29 | 1.39 | +8.0% | +1.2% | +6.7% | +7.8% |
| 2025-01-27 | beat | 1.24 | 1.30 | +4.6% | +0.9% | +1.7% | +1.7% |
| 2024-10-28 | miss | 1.11 | 1.10 | -0.6% | -0.9% | -0.6% | -1.7% |
| 2024-07-29 | beat | 1.00 | 1.19 | +19.6% | +1.8% | +9.3% | -2.4% |
| 2024-04-29 | beat | 0.99 | 0.99 | +0.5% | -1.7% | -1.8% | +0.3% |
| 2024-01-28 | miss | 1.12 | 1.07 | -4.0% | -1.8% | -4.5% | -17.8% |
| 2023-10-23 | beat | 1.10 | 1.16 | +5.9% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +2.4% |
| 2023-07-24 | beat | 1.04 | 1.37 | +31.7% | +4.0% | +7.2% | +11.1% |
| 2023-05-02 | miss | 1.28 | 0.95 | -25.8% | -0.5% | -11.1% | -10.3% |
| 2023-01-31 | miss | 1.34 | 1.26 | -6.0% | +1.2% | +2.0% | +4.0% |
| 2022-10-25 | miss | 1.32 | 1.04 | -20.9% | -1.3% | -8.3% | -4.3% |
| 2022-07-25 | beat | 1.32 | 1.41 | +7.2% | +1.1% | +3.2% | +12.2% |
| 2022-04-25 | miss | 1.25 | 1.03 | -17.3% | -1.5% | -5.2% | -3.9% |
| 2022-01-24 | beat | 1.21 | 1.35 | +12.0% | -0.1% | +1.7% | +1.8% |
| 2021-10-25 | beat | 1.16 | 1.43 | +23.8% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +14.6% |
| 2021-07-26 | beat | 1.08 | 1.53 | +42.3% | -0.5% | -0.4% | +0.6% |
| 2021-04-26 | beat | 1.07 | 1.27 | +19.2% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +2.9% |
| 2021-01-25 | beat | 0.89 | 1.26 | +42.0% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +0.2% |
| 2020-10-26 | beat | 0.73 | 1.09 | +50.5% | +1.1% | +9.3% | +6.3% |
| 2020-07-27 | beat | 0.52 | 0.86 | +66.1% | +1.5% | +0.5% | +4.9% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | 0.66 | 0.56 | -15.1% | -4.5% | -8.7% | -14.3% |
| 2020-01-27 | beat | 0.81 | 0.87 | +7.2% | +1.9% | +0.5% | +0.5% |
| 2019-10-21 | beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +9.0% | -1.1% | -0.5% | +0.4% |
| 2019-07-22 | beat | 0.78 | 0.81 | +4.5% | +1.7% | +0.5% | +10.6% |
| 2019-04-22 | beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +3.8% | -0.1% | +3.4% | +7.5% |
| 2019-01-22 | beat | 0.70 | 0.79 | +14.0% | +2.8% | +3.5% | +7.4% |
| 2018-10-22 | beat | 0.69 | 0.77 | +12.5% | -1.9% | -2.3% | -7.1% |
| 2018-07-23 | beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +5.9% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -0.9% |
| 2018-04-23 | miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.6% | -1.5% | -3.5% | -6.0% |
Not investment advice.
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