SMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+0.3%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.1% median,
54% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 5
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.16 +0.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.0%
$5M/day volume
36% volatility
+34% 1-year
52-week range · 56% of the way up · -19% from the high
$20.80$36.47
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. -0.29.
1-day std dev
8.1%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+17.3%
Biggest drop
-30.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 47 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | -0.35 | 0.21 | +158.2% | -0.4% | +8.9% | +9.0% |
| 2026-05-11 | beat | -0.49 | -0.02 | +95.0% | -3.8% | -0.6% | +7.7% |
| 2026-03-16 | — | 0.41 | — | -0.7% | +2.1% | +5.2% | |
| 2023-08-09 | miss | 0.08 | -1.91 | -2487.5% | -0.6% | -9.6% | -11.2% |
| 2023-05-05 | miss | 0.12 | -1.82 | -1616.7% | +4.3% | +10.1% | +1.1% |
| 2023-02-24 | miss | -1.27 | -3.03 | -138.6% | +9.3% | +7.4% | +11.8% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -1.12 | -1.28 | -14.3% | +2.0% | +5.2% | +3.9% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | -1.70 | -9.53 | -460.6% | -0.8% | +7.5% | +10.2% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | -1.42 | 1.32 | +193.0% | +2.5% | +17.3% | +9.4% |
| 2022-02-25 | miss | -0.79 | -3.42 | -333.0% | -16.6% | -30.6% | -39.5% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | 0.21 | -0.17 | -181.2% | +1.4% | +5.7% | +10.5% |
| 2021-08-06 | miss | -0.52 | -2.91 | -457.2% | +1.7% | +0.5% | -6.6% |
| 2021-05-07 | beat | -0.20 | 0.12 | +160.0% | +0.0% | +7.9% | -1.4% |
| 2021-03-04 | beat | 0.75 | 29.73 | +3843.8% | +1.8% | -9.5% | +18.5% |
| 2020-11-06 | beat | 0.15 | 1.25 | +721.0% | +29.5% | +12.8% | -5.5% |
| 2020-08-07 | beat | -0.02 | 1.06 | +5400.0% | +3.2% | +2.2% | +1.1% |
| 2020-05-08 | miss | 0.02 | -0.03 | -250.2% | +0.0% | +3.7% | -9.8% |
| 2020-02-28 | miss | 0.11 | -3.79 | -3653.0% | -3.9% | -11.0% | -37.7% |
| 2019-11-08 | miss | 0.15 | -0.21 | -239.7% | -2.2% | -4.9% | -14.4% |
| 2019-08-09 | miss | 0.13 | -0.03 | -123.3% | -3.4% | -13.5% | -21.8% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | 0.17 | -0.58 | -438.8% | -2.3% | +3.9% | -0.6% |
| 2019-02-26 | beat | 0.27 | 0.39 | +45.1% | -17.7% | -19.0% | -22.2% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | 0.18 | 0.64 | +246.5% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -8.4% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | 0.27 | -0.79 | -396.5% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -2.6% |
| 2018-05-03 | beat | 0.10 | 0.22 | +124.2% | -1.8% | +2.1% | +6.0% |
| 2018-02-22 | miss | 0.33 | -0.32 | -197.5% | -1.0% | -8.9% | -13.3% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +11.8% | +3.2% | +0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +32.3% | +2.0% | -2.0% | -5.4% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -3.5% | +0.9% | +4.2% | +1.8% |
| 2017-02-23 | miss | 0.37 | 0.23 | -38.6% | +0.9% | -0.9% | +7.6% |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | 0.34 | 0.28 | -17.9% | -1.4% | +5.3% | +6.7% |
| 2016-08-04 | miss | 0.15 | -0.33 | -325.8% | -4.0% | +2.3% | +4.0% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | 0.26 | 0.19 | -29.3% | -2.1% | +4.1% | +7.2% |
| 2016-02-25 | beat | 0.04 | 0.42 | +1036.1% | +13.3% | +1.9% | +20.8% |
| 2015-11-09 | beat | 0.04 | 0.11 | +161.8% | +2.8% | -0.9% | +1.5% |
| 2015-08-06 | beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +34.1% | -0.1% | -6.5% | -3.4% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | 0.20 | 0.33 | +64.8% | -2.5% | -5.6% | -5.8% |
| 2015-02-26 | beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +10.7% | -1.5% | -2.6% | -8.6% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +5.0% | -2.1% | -2.2% | +0.3% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +9.7% | +1.4% | +1.3% | +5.4% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +18.2% | -0.6% | +1.8% | +0.6% |
| 2014-03-10 | miss | 0.33 | 0.22 | -31.7% | -4.0% | -3.1% | +4.5% |
| 2013-11-07 | miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -12.8% | -0.2% | -0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.22 | 0.29 | +36.1% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -4.7% |
| 2013-05-13 | beat | 0.29 | 0.38 | +29.6% | +0.5% | +1.8% | +9.1% |
| 2013-03-13 | beat | 0.25 | 0.36 | +44.3% | +1.0% | -0.6% | +4.6% |
| 2012-11-14 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +1.5% | -0.3% | -3.2% | -5.3% |
Not investment advice.
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