SMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.9% median,
67% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 88
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.71 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$53M/day volume
38% volatility
+8% 1-year
-76% from ATH
52-week range · 43% of the way up · -21% from the high
$47.90$75.34
Congressional trades in SMG Full tracker →
3 members · 4 buys / 5 sells · $37K–$205K disclosed · latest filing Dec 29, 2022.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. -2.21.
1-day std dev
7.3%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+18.5%
Biggest drop
-20.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 2.52 | 2.82 | +11.7% | -1.0% | -3.8% | -9.5% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 4.01 | 4.53 | +12.9% | +5.1% | -4.5% | -3.9% |
| 2026-01-28 | beat | -1.00 | -0.77 | +23.3% | -0.6% | -0.7% | +2.3% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | -1.98 | -1.96 | +0.8% | -2.0% | +2.9% | +7.4% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 2.26 | 2.59 | +14.5% | -2.5% | -8.5% | -10.8% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 3.93 | 3.98 | +1.3% | -2.9% | -5.9% | +0.6% |
| 2025-01-29 | beat | -1.23 | -0.89 | +27.8% | +0.7% | -5.8% | -8.2% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | -1.96 | -2.31 | -17.7% | -9.1% | -20.5% | -22.1% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 1.92 | 2.31 | +20.3% | +3.9% | +11.9% | -2.3% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 3.44 | 3.69 | +7.3% | +2.1% | -0.4% | -2.9% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | -1.47 | -1.45 | +1.3% | +8.9% | +3.7% | +4.1% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | -2.89 | -2.77 | +4.0% | +10.0% | +18.5% | +14.6% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 1.46 | 1.17 | -19.7% | -16.0% | -19.0% | -26.9% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 3.47 | 3.78 | +9.1% | -0.9% | -7.9% | +3.1% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | -1.34 | -1.02 | +24.1% | -0.4% | +11.5% | +10.1% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | -1.99 | -2.04 | -2.5% | +1.7% | -0.4% | +15.6% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 1.72 | 1.98 | +14.9% | -0.2% | -6.0% | -7.5% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 4.81 | 5.03 | +4.6% | +2.7% | -0.1% | -7.4% |
| 2022-02-01 | miss | -0.73 | -0.88 | -20.0% | +0.1% | -3.0% | -11.3% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | -0.86 | -0.82 | +4.2% | +3.3% | +10.7% | +13.9% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 3.52 | 3.98 | +13.2% | -0.5% | -6.9% | -8.6% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 5.57 | 5.64 | +1.3% | +0.0% | +6.3% | +0.2% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | -0.67 | 0.39 | +157.9% | +4.2% | +5.1% | +4.8% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -22.0% | -3.2% | +3.1% | +4.1% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 3.42 | 3.80 | +11.0% | +12.1% | +11.8% | +7.9% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 3.50 | 4.50 | +28.6% | -0.4% | +0.8% | +3.6% |
| 2020-01-29 | beat | -1.21 | -1.12 | +7.7% | +4.1% | +5.8% | +13.3% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | -0.85 | -0.91 | -6.5% | -0.7% | +6.6% | +9.6% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 2.74 | 3.11 | +13.5% | +2.8% | +8.6% | +5.9% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 3.45 | 3.64 | +5.7% | +4.7% | +6.4% | +8.1% |
| 2019-01-30 | miss | -1.24 | -1.39 | -12.3% | +2.9% | +2.1% | +10.5% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | -0.66 | -0.75 | -12.9% | -1.1% | +6.9% | +9.0% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 2.58 | 2.67 | +3.5% | +1.8% | -3.5% | -4.4% |
| 2018-05-01 | miss | 3.31 | 2.88 | -13.0% | -1.4% | +1.2% | -3.3% |
| 2018-01-30 | miss | -0.93 | -1.08 | -16.3% | -9.7% | -14.2% | -16.8% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -0.29 | -0.26 | +11.4% | -1.1% | +3.3% | -1.0% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 2.51 | 2.63 | +4.8% | +2.7% | -2.3% | +0.2% |
| 2017-05-02 | miss | 2.89 | 2.78 | -3.7% | -4.0% | -6.0% | -8.2% |
| 2017-01-31 | beat | -1.25 | -0.96 | +23.4% | +2.2% | -1.1% | -2.2% |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | -0.28 | -0.30 | -7.7% | +3.0% | +2.0% | -3.0% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 2.11 | 2.16 | +2.2% | +2.9% | +5.9% | +11.6% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | 2.47 | 3.00 | +21.5% | -1.9% | -5.3% | -5.9% |
| 2016-02-02 | beat | -1.13 | -1.13 | +0.1% | -2.0% | -3.1% | -6.9% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | -0.16 | -0.12 | +22.8% | +4.3% | +2.9% | +0.2% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 2.55 | 2.68 | +5.2% | +4.2% | +7.6% | +9.1% |
| 2015-05-05 | miss | 2.26 | 2.06 | -8.9% | +2.7% | +2.8% | +0.7% |
| 2015-02-04 | miss | -1.07 | -1.13 | -5.6% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | -0.22 | -0.18 | +19.8% | +1.7% | +0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2014-08-05 | beat | 2.26 | 2.34 | +3.7% | +3.6% | +3.2% | +6.7% |
| 2014-05-05 | beat | 1.99 | 2.17 | +9.1% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +1.7% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | -1.08 | -1.05 | +3.1% | +0.5% | -2.1% | -0.9% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | -0.37 | -0.18 | +51.1% | +1.2% | -0.2% | +2.0% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | 2.43 | 2.46 | +1.3% | -1.0% | +0.3% | +2.9% |
| 2013-05-06 | miss | 2.01 | 1.60 | -20.2% | -0.8% | +4.0% | +3.9% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | -1.13 | -1.12 | +1.0% | +2.0% | +0.6% | -0.7% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | -0.58 | -0.59 | -2.2% | +1.0% | -4.2% | -8.6% |
| 2012-08-09 | miss | 1.96 | 1.60 | -18.3% | -5.9% | +3.8% | +4.8% |
| 2012-05-08 | beat | 2.06 | 2.15 | +4.4% | -12.7% | -16.1% | -17.5% |
| 2012-02-07 | beat | -1.22 | -1.18 | +3.6% | +0.4% | +8.0% | -0.2% |
| 2011-11-08 | miss | -0.44 | -0.46 | -4.3% | -2.0% | -6.0% | -7.7% |
Not investment advice.
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