SMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.9%
Next 1 week
+2.7%
Next 1 month
+1.0%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +0.0% median,
39% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 3
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +2.65%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.61 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$5M/day volume
57% volatility
+11% 1-year
52-week range · 82% of the way up · -10% from the high
$16.05$35.52
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, after close, in 9 days) · EPS est. 0.02.
1-day std dev
10.9%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+19.4%
Biggest drop
-24.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 20 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | beat | -0.07 | 0.09 | +223.1% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2026-05-11 | beat | -0.22 | 0.04 | +118.2% | +23.0% | +13.4% | +26.1% |
| 2026-03-24 | miss | 0.11 | -0.19 | -272.7% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -6.3% |
| 2025-11-12 | miss | -0.21 | -3.52 | -1537.2% | -4.4% | -24.7% | -32.0% |
| 2025-08-13 | beat | -0.44 | -0.23 | +47.7% | +9.6% | +16.2% | +11.9% |
| 2025-05-14 | beat | -0.50 | -0.41 | +18.8% | -4.0% | -10.8% | -11.6% |
| 2025-03-25 | miss | -0.11 | -0.18 | -56.5% | -6.8% | -12.6% | -14.9% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -0.62 | -0.34 | +45.2% | +2.6% | +7.6% | +7.7% |
| 2024-08-12 | miss | -0.21 | -0.41 | -95.2% | +1.5% | +15.1% | +15.9% |
| 2024-05-13 | miss | -0.07 | -0.21 | -200.0% | +0.1% | -6.8% | +3.5% |
| 2024-03-25 | beat | -0.13 | -0.03 | +76.9% | +1.4% | +1.4% | -3.9% |
| 2023-11-13 | — | -0.13 | — | -1.6% | +19.4% | +6.8% | |
| 2023-08-14 | miss | -0.13 | -0.22 | -69.2% | -3.5% | -9.7% | -14.3% |
| 2023-05-15 | beat | -0.33 | -0.14 | +57.6% | -4.8% | -8.4% | -13.8% |
| 2023-03-20 | miss | -0.26 | -0.51 | -96.2% | -1.5% | +0.5% | -4.1% |
| 2022-11-14 | beat | -0.32 | -0.18 | +43.8% | +2.2% | +4.8% | +5.1% |
| 2022-08-15 | miss | -0.28 | -0.42 | -50.0% | +3.8% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2022-03-31 | miss | -0.27 | -0.48 | -77.8% | +0.9% | +6.4% | +5.5% |
| 2021-11-12 | miss | -0.18 | -0.27 | -50.0% | -1.3% | +0.9% | -3.2% |
| 2021-08-16 | miss | -0.12 | -0.16 | -33.3% | +3.8% | -1.5% | -0.8% |
Not investment advice.
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