SOModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+1.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +3.0% median,
69% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 76
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.41 +1.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.5%
$66M/day volume
33% volatility
+26% 1-year
-28% from ATH
52-week range · 51% of the way up · -18% from the high
$38.65$60.67
Congressional trades in SON Full tracker →
3 members · 0 buys / 5 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Jun 6, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-09 (Tuesday, after close, in 100 days) · EPS est. 1.04.
1-day std dev
3.6%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+4.6%
Biggest drop
-16.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | miss | 1.79 | 1.67 | -6.8% | -6.9% | -1.4% | -2.1% |
| 2026-07-22 | beat | 1.48 | 1.51 | +2.1% | +4.6% | +2.1% | +3.0% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 1.20 | 1.20 | +0.3% | -7.0% | -16.2% | -13.5% |
| 2026-02-16 | beat | 1.00 | 1.05 | +5.5% | +0.2% | +1.6% | -1.6% |
| 2025-10-22 | miss | 1.93 | 1.92 | -0.3% | +1.0% | -0.1% | -5.4% |
| 2025-07-23 | miss | 1.45 | 1.37 | -5.7% | -1.0% | -0.2% | -7.4% |
| 2025-04-29 | miss | 1.41 | 1.38 | -1.9% | -5.4% | -12.3% | -5.6% |
| 2025-02-18 | miss | 1.20 | 1.00 | -16.7% | -4.1% | -3.7% | -2.6% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 1.46 | 1.49 | +1.8% | -2.9% | -2.6% | -3.5% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 1.24 | 1.28 | +3.4% | -3.8% | -2.3% | -8.2% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 1.07 | 1.12 | +4.2% | +2.0% | +1.2% | +4.8% |
| 2024-02-14 | miss | 1.10 | 1.02 | -7.2% | -0.5% | +2.1% | +2.5% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 1.28 | 1.46 | +14.2% | +4.3% | +4.6% | +5.3% |
| 2023-07-31 | miss | 1.46 | 1.38 | -5.5% | -1.4% | +1.8% | -3.0% |
| 2023-05-01 | beat | 1.32 | 1.40 | +6.0% | -3.1% | -4.1% | -5.4% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 1.21 | 1.27 | +4.7% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +1.7% |
| 2022-10-31 | beat | 1.39 | 1.60 | +15.1% | +3.0% | -5.6% | -6.1% |
| 2022-07-21 | beat | 1.65 | 1.76 | +6.7% | +0.1% | +4.3% | +5.4% |
| 2022-04-21 | beat | 1.72 | 1.85 | +7.5% | +1.0% | +1.4% | -5.8% |
| 2022-02-10 | beat | 0.89 | 0.90 | +1.3% | -0.6% | -2.6% | +2.4% |
| 2021-10-21 | beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.6% | +0.6% | -3.2% | -5.1% |
| 2021-07-22 | miss | 0.86 | 0.84 | -2.0% | +0.0% | -4.8% | -2.7% |
| 2021-04-22 | beat | 0.85 | 0.90 | +5.6% | -0.1% | -1.6% | +1.1% |
| 2021-02-11 | beat | 0.76 | 0.82 | +7.7% | -0.6% | -2.9% | -1.5% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 0.82 | 0.86 | +5.3% | -2.7% | -3.7% | -10.5% |
| 2020-07-16 | beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +2.2% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2020-04-16 | beat | 0.84 | 0.94 | +12.3% | +3.5% | -2.1% | -3.7% |
| 2020-02-13 | miss | 0.75 | 0.75 | -0.6% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +0.7% |
| 2019-10-17 | beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +7.0% | -1.3% | -1.7% | -0.8% |
| 2019-07-18 | miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -1.8% | -1.8% | -3.3% | -4.9% |
| 2019-04-18 | beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +5.7% | +1.4% | -0.7% | +3.1% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.6% | -0.3% | -1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2018-10-18 | beat | 0.80 | 0.86 | +7.5% | -0.9% | +4.4% | +0.1% |
| 2018-07-19 | beat | 0.86 | 0.93 | +8.4% | -0.3% | +4.2% | +5.5% |
| 2018-04-19 | beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +3.3% | +3.1% | +2.3% | +6.3% |
| 2018-02-15 | miss | 0.73 | 0.72 | -1.5% | +1.5% | -4.0% | -3.4% |
| 2017-10-19 | beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +3.1% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +2.3% |
| 2017-07-20 | beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +1.3% | +1.3% | -2.5% | -7.7% |
| 2017-04-20 | beat | 0.56 | 0.59 | +6.3% | +1.5% | +2.4% | +1.8% |
| 2017-02-09 | miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -1.2% | -2.7% | -3.0% | -1.4% |
| 2016-10-20 | beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +6.0% | -1.9% | -0.1% | -1.8% |
| 2016-07-21 | beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +7.0% | -0.4% | +0.9% | +0.2% |
| 2016-04-21 | beat | 0.60 | 0.65 | +9.2% | -2.0% | -5.4% | -3.5% |
| 2016-02-11 | beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +2.6% | +1.1% | -0.2% | +5.3% |
| 2015-10-21 | miss | 0.67 | 0.65 | -2.5% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +1.9% |
| 2015-07-16 | miss | 0.67 | 0.66 | -1.1% | -20.0% | -1.9% | -6.9% |
| 2015-04-16 | miss | 0.58 | 0.56 | -3.1% | +1.2% | -1.6% | -2.0% |
| 2015-02-12 | beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +2.7% | +1.0% | +2.8% | +2.4% |
| 2014-10-16 | beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +5.9% | -1.6% | +1.9% | +7.5% |
| 2014-07-17 | miss | 0.65 | 0.63 | -3.7% | -0.9% | -2.6% | -3.9% |
| 2014-04-17 | beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +1.9% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +0.5% |
| 2014-02-13 | beat | 0.58 | 0.58 | +0.4% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +0.3% |
| 2013-10-17 | beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.0% | -0.1% | +2.7% | +4.6% |
| 2013-07-18 | beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.8% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +6.0% |
| 2013-04-18 | miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -5.8% | +2.3% | -1.6% | -0.2% |
| 2013-02-13 | beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +4.1% | +0.1% | +0.8% | -0.6% |
| 2012-10-18 | beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +5.9% | +0.1% | +1.9% | -1.6% |
| 2012-07-19 | miss | 0.58 | 0.58 | -0.6% | -0.6% | -5.4% | -3.9% |
| 2012-04-19 | beat | 0.48 | 0.52 | +7.3% | +1.4% | +1.4% | +2.7% |
| 2012-02-09 | miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -2.6% | -0.2% | +2.0% | -0.4% |
Not investment advice.
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