SPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
-1.7%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -2.3% median,
34% of the last 29 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 58
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.07 -0.2% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$3M/day volume
22% volatility
-5% 1-year
-70% from ATH
52-week range · 35% of the way up · -14% from the high
$16.25$20.80
Congressional trades in SPH Full tracker →
3 members · 13 buys / 6 sells · $1.1M–$2.5M disclosed · latest filing Jan 3, 2022.
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| BUY | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, before open, in 13 days) · EPS est. -0.58.
1-day std dev
2.8%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+7.7%
Biggest drop
-9.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.15 | -0.27 | -76.9% | -2.1% | -0.7% | -1.7% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 1.98 | 2.08 | +5.1% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +6.2% |
| 2026-02-05 | miss | 0.75 | 0.70 | -6.6% | -0.4% | +0.6% | +0.0% |
| 2025-11-13 | miss | -0.51 | -0.54 | -6.3% | +1.1% | +1.7% | -0.2% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.17 | -0.17 | +2.5% | -0.6% | -2.5% | +3.7% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | 2.21 | 2.10 | -5.1% | +1.7% | -5.9% | -3.2% |
| 2025-02-06 | miss | 0.76 | 0.58 | -23.8% | -6.6% | -4.2% | -0.8% |
| 2024-11-14 | miss | -0.48 | -0.54 | -13.2% | -0.9% | -8.9% | -3.3% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.12 | -0.12 | -3.8% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +1.1% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | 1.81 | 1.71 | -5.8% | -2.2% | -2.6% | -6.0% |
| 2024-02-08 | miss | 0.64 | 0.63 | -2.3% | -4.6% | +0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | -0.44 | -0.52 | -18.2% | -2.9% | -1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +61.2% | -0.3% | +1.0% | +2.1% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | 1.78 | 1.75 | -1.6% | -0.8% | -4.1% | -0.3% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 0.53 | 0.71 | +34.0% | -0.8% | -1.0% | -0.9% |
| 2022-11-10 | miss | -0.45 | -0.86 | -91.1% | -0.4% | -2.6% | -3.7% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -0.18 | -0.04 | +77.8% | -0.2% | -2.2% | +3.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 2.04 | 2.74 | +34.3% | -1.3% | -1.7% | -4.0% |
| 2022-02-03 | miss | 0.77 | 0.34 | -55.8% | -1.3% | -2.1% | -1.1% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | -0.65 | -0.26 | +60.2% | +0.5% | +1.4% | -1.0% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -0.42 | -0.41 | +2.4% | -0.3% | +1.2% | +2.9% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 1.74 | 2.02 | +16.4% | +2.0% | +0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2021-02-04 | miss | 0.62 | 0.53 | -14.1% | -1.6% | -1.9% | +1.4% |
| 2020-11-12 | beat | -0.76 | -0.66 | +13.2% | -2.8% | +5.5% | -2.6% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.55 | -0.25 | +54.2% | +1.0% | +7.7% | +7.9% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | 1.60 | 1.23 | -23.4% | -2.6% | -2.6% | +1.7% |
| 2020-02-06 | miss | 0.76 | 0.60 | -21.1% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -1.2% |
| 2019-11-14 | miss | -0.76 | -0.81 | -6.6% | -1.3% | -5.2% | -5.3% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | -0.42 | -0.47 | -12.1% | -0.9% | -1.6% | -0.2% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | 1.79 | 1.81 | +1.0% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +2.6% |
| 2019-02-07 | miss | 0.76 | 0.70 | -7.5% | -2.1% | -3.1% | -1.9% |
| 2018-11-15 | beat | -0.86 | -0.85 | +0.8% | -1.3% | +1.5% | +1.9% |
| 2018-08-09 | beat | -0.45 | -0.33 | +26.7% | +1.3% | +2.9% | +7.1% |
| 2018-05-10 | miss | 2.16 | 1.79 | -17.2% | -1.0% | -0.3% | +3.1% |
| 2018-02-08 | miss | 0.88 | 0.71 | -20.0% | -1.3% | -1.6% | +2.0% |
| 2017-11-16 | miss | -0.84 | -0.87 | -4.4% | -0.3% | +1.0% | -0.3% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | -0.63 | -0.48 | +23.9% | -0.5% | +1.3% | -1.2% |
| 2017-05-04 | miss | 2.02 | 1.43 | -29.3% | -1.3% | -2.9% | +0.6% |
| 2017-02-02 | miss | 0.69 | 0.56 | -19.5% | -2.4% | +1.3% | -1.3% |
| 2016-11-10 | miss | -0.82 | -0.97 | -18.3% | +2.5% | -0.6% | +1.5% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | -0.63 | -0.54 | +15.4% | -0.1% | +0.4% | +0.9% |
| 2016-05-05 | miss | 2.35 | 1.52 | -35.2% | +0.6% | +2.8% | +10.0% |
| 2016-02-04 | miss | 0.79 | 0.27 | -66.0% | -3.0% | -9.7% | -14.0% |
| 2015-11-12 | miss | -0.77 | -0.78 | -0.8% | -0.4% | -3.6% | -7.7% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | -0.60 | -0.66 | -9.2% | -0.4% | -0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | 2.56 | 2.65 | +3.5% | -0.2% | -0.9% | +1.0% |
| 2015-02-05 | miss | 1.20 | 0.79 | -33.7% | -0.6% | +0.6% | +0.9% |
| 2014-11-13 | beat | -0.88 | -0.85 | +3.5% | +0.2% | +0.8% | +2.6% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | -0.57 | -0.72 | -26.7% | +0.0% | -1.9% | +3.2% |
| 2014-05-08 | beat | 2.24 | 2.50 | +11.5% | +1.7% | +0.0% | +5.5% |
| 2014-02-06 | miss | 1.19 | 1.01 | -14.6% | +0.8% | +0.1% | +2.0% |
| 2013-11-14 | miss | -0.88 | -0.95 | -8.2% | -1.3% | -0.5% | -0.8% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | -0.55 | -0.63 | -13.6% | +0.7% | -2.5% | -3.0% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | 2.54 | 2.38 | -6.6% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -1.4% |
| 2013-02-07 | miss | 1.27 | 1.11 | -12.8% | -1.4% | -0.3% | +3.3% |
| 2012-11-28 | miss | -0.75 | -0.86 | -14.5% | -1.6% | -0.6% | -0.8% |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | -0.16 | -0.09 | +45.1% | +0.4% | -1.1% | -10.6% |
| 2012-05-03 | miss | 2.23 | 1.46 | -34.6% | +0.7% | -1.1% | -0.5% |
| 2012-02-02 | miss | 1.00 | 0.68 | -32.5% | -1.7% | -0.2% | -5.3% |
| 2011-11-10 | beat | -0.60 | -0.59 | +1.3% | +1.2% | -0.6% | -0.5% |
Not investment advice.
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