SPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 44
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.24%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.26 +3.3% · Seasonal tilt (5y) -0.3%
$118M/day volume
54% volatility
+64% 1-year
-38% from ATH
52-week range · 41% of the way up · -38% from the high
$64.00$181.63
Congressional trades in SPHR Full tracker →
2 members · 3 buys / 0 sells · $17K–$80K disclosed · latest filing Jul 15, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. -1.71.
1-day std dev
8.9%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+22.1%
Biggest drop
-13.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 24 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | -1.39 | -0.62 | +55.6% | -0.8% | +5.8% | +10.0% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | -0.44 | 0.14 | +131.8% | +6.2% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2026-02-12 | beat | -0.19 | 1.55 | +901.2% | +14.5% | +22.1% | +20.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | -1.87 | -1.12 | +40.3% | -3.5% | +4.7% | +17.8% |
| 2025-08-11 | beat | -1.41 | 3.73 | +363.4% | +11.7% | -3.9% | +4.0% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -2.16 | -1.60 | +26.1% | +3.7% | +6.0% | +26.1% |
| 2025-03-03 | beat | -1.97 | -1.57 | +20.3% | -6.4% | -13.6% | -24.8% |
| 2024-05-10 | miss | 0.51 | -0.87 | -270.2% | -0.1% | -4.8% | -12.7% |
| 2024-02-05 | miss | -0.01 | -1.35 | -8882.7% | +0.6% | +10.1% | +17.5% |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | 1.98 | 1.82 | -8.1% | +1.2% | -4.5% | +7.9% |
| 2023-08-22 | — | 10.21 | — | +3.6% | +7.7% | -6.5% | |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | -0.70 | 0.10 | +114.4% | +1.1% | -12.8% | -22.9% |
| 2023-02-09 | beat | 0.81 | 2.38 | +194.3% | +9.2% | +11.7% | +14.6% |
| 2022-11-09 | beat | -0.96 | -0.78 | +18.6% | -2.5% | -8.3% | -3.5% |
| 2022-08-19 | miss | -0.47 | -2.38 | -406.2% | +7.1% | +3.5% | -9.2% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | 0.29 | -0.10 | -133.3% | +0.0% | -10.1% | -11.3% |
| 2022-02-09 | miss | 1.17 | 0.28 | -76.0% | -1.2% | +5.9% | +10.7% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | -1.19 | -1.04 | +13.2% | -1.2% | -2.8% | -10.0% |
| 2021-08-23 | miss | -3.20 | -4.85 | -51.5% | +3.7% | +16.2% | +25.1% |
| 2021-05-07 | beat | -4.38 | -3.26 | +25.5% | +1.3% | +4.1% | +2.6% |
| 2021-02-12 | miss | -3.86 | -5.08 | -31.6% | +0.4% | -4.6% | -5.3% |
| 2020-11-16 | beat | -3.67 | -2.84 | +22.7% | -1.6% | -2.2% | +1.4% |
| 2020-08-14 | miss | -4.17 | -4.53 | -8.8% | -1.7% | -5.5% | -10.5% |
| 2020-05-18 | beat | -2.40 | -1.33 | +44.7% | +1.9% | -1.4% | -4.7% |
Posted about SPHR
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TRACKER - Jim Cramer Calls
long
143.50
Fri, 11 Sep
Said on CNBC’s Mad Money on 11 September 2026. The price shown is where SPHR closed that day, for reference — an on-air call, not a disclosed…
TRACKER - Jonathan Jackson · Congress
long
138.54
Thu, 16 Jul
Jonathan Jackson's trade date was 15 June 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
Not investment advice.
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