STModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+4.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 27): +3.2% median,
67% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 87
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.90 +4.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$55M/day volume
40% volatility
+33% 1-year
-36% from ATH
52-week range · 55% of the way up · -22% from the high
$28.16$53.89
Congressional trades in ST Full tracker →
4 members · 5 buys / 3 sells · $120K–$325K disclosed · latest filing Jun 8, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
5.3%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+13.8%
Biggest drop
-8.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | 0.96 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +4.9% | +7.2% | +4.3% | +0.7% |
| 2026-04-28 | beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.8% | +1.6% | -4.7% | +10.2% |
| 2026-02-19 | beat | 0.86 | 0.88 | +2.1% | -0.9% | +6.1% | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.6% | +4.5% | +5.8% | +2.8% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 0.84 | 0.87 | +4.0% | -4.1% | -3.6% | -9.6% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.3% | +9.3% | +13.8% | +21.0% |
| 2025-02-11 | beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +1.4% | +1.4% | +8.6% | +16.2% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | 0.86 | 0.86 | +0.2% | -4.0% | -6.1% | -2.3% |
| 2024-07-29 | beat | 0.93 | 0.93 | +0.2% | -3.5% | +0.7% | -7.3% |
| 2024-04-29 | beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.7% | +19.7% | +7.1% | +17.4% |
| 2024-02-06 | miss | 0.86 | 0.81 | -5.3% | -7.2% | -8.5% | -10.4% |
| 2023-10-31 | beat | 0.90 | 0.91 | +1.1% | -1.5% | -6.5% | -7.3% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +3.0% | -9.1% | -8.5% | -9.6% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 0.87 | 0.92 | +6.1% | -3.0% | -7.8% | -10.5% |
| 2023-01-31 | beat | 0.88 | 0.96 | +9.7% | +4.4% | +10.8% | +15.7% |
| 2022-10-25 | miss | 0.85 | 0.85 | -0.5% | -3.8% | -5.2% | -2.6% |
| 2022-07-26 | miss | 0.83 | 0.83 | -0.5% | -6.7% | -5.6% | +0.4% |
| 2022-04-26 | beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.4% | -0.8% | -6.6% | -3.7% |
| 2022-02-01 | beat | 0.81 | 0.87 | +8.1% | -1.2% | -0.2% | -1.3% |
| 2021-10-26 | beat | 0.83 | 0.87 | +4.5% | +0.5% | -1.0% | +2.7% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 0.87 | 0.95 | +8.6% | -1.3% | -1.9% | +6.4% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 0.73 | 0.86 | +17.6% | +2.1% | -2.2% | -5.1% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +9.0% | +0.3% | -2.3% | -1.6% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.55 | 0.66 | +19.8% | +0.2% | -8.1% | -5.9% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +7.3% | -4.9% | -5.5% | -6.6% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | 0.56 | 0.53 | -5.0% | +2.3% | +3.3% | -7.6% |
| 2020-02-11 | beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +2.7% | -0.3% | +3.3% | +1.5% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 0.90 | 0.90 | -0.6% | -4.5% | -1.7% | +4.3% |
| 2019-07-30 | miss | 0.94 | 0.93 | -0.9% | -3.7% | -2.4% | -6.2% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.85 | 0.85 | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -1.9% |
| 2019-02-06 | miss | 0.99 | 0.95 | -3.9% | -2.5% | +1.6% | +1.4% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.91 | 0.91 | +0.5% | +0.9% | +11.0% | +11.9% |
| 2018-07-24 | beat | 0.93 | 0.93 | +0.3% | +3.0% | +3.4% | +7.2% |
| 2018-04-24 | beat | 0.84 | 0.85 | +1.2% | -1.3% | -4.3% | -7.7% |
| 2018-02-01 | beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.9% | -0.9% | +0.6% | -9.4% |
| 2017-10-24 | beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +1.1% | -6.6% | -1.7% | -2.8% |
| 2017-07-25 | beat | 0.78 | 0.81 | +3.3% | +2.6% | +3.7% | +0.8% |
| 2017-04-25 | beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.0% | -3.2% | -3.8% | -7.2% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +2.2% | -2.5% | +0.7% | -1.9% |
| 2016-10-25 | beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +0.8% | -2.0% | -0.6% | -3.6% |
| 2016-07-26 | beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.4% | +0.1% | +4.8% | -4.9% |
| 2016-04-26 | beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +2.4% | +1.7% | +4.0% | -3.4% |
| 2016-02-02 | beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.1% | +2.2% | -8.0% | -16.9% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.2% | -4.0% | -1.5% | +1.8% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.0% | -1.3% | -1.7% | +3.5% |
| 2015-04-28 | beat | 0.65 | 0.65 | +0.2% | -0.8% | -2.5% | -6.9% |
| 2015-02-03 | beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +9.0% | +0.5% | +1.4% | +4.4% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +2.3% | +1.2% | +4.4% | +4.0% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | 0.62 | 0.62 | +0.5% | +1.5% | -1.0% | -2.6% |
| 2014-04-29 | beat | 0.56 | 0.56 | +0.4% | +1.2% | -2.5% | -4.6% |
| 2014-02-04 | beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +6.9% | +5.2% | +7.4% | +10.1% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.8% | -6.5% | -5.2% | -7.2% |
| 2013-07-23 | beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.9% | -0.3% | -2.7% | +0.3% |
| 2013-04-23 | beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +5.0% | +5.2% | +6.7% | +6.6% |
| 2013-01-30 | beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +1.6% | -3.6% | -3.2% | -2.3% |
| 2012-10-23 | beat | 0.47 | 0.47 | +1.0% | -1.6% | -3.9% | +4.4% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +2.2% | +0.3% | +3.4% | +5.2% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.0% | -2.0% | -2.4% | +1.1% |
| 2012-02-01 | beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +3.0% | +0.0% | +6.5% | +10.7% |
Posted about ST
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TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
49.65
Tue, 09 Jun
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 7 May 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
45.29
Mon, 11 May
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 1 May 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…
Not investment advice.
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