STModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+2.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.3% median,
62% of the last 29 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.05 +2.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$38.6B market cap (#534 US)
$236M/day volume
36% volatility
+58% 1-year
-13% from ATH
52-week range · 72% of the way up · -13% from the high
$150.03$288.74
Congressional trades in STLD Full tracker →
3 members · 3 buys / 1 sells · $67K–$180K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-25 (Monday, after close, in 88 days) · EPS est. 5.90.
1-day std dev
3.6%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+10.0%
Biggest drop
-6.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | miss | 5.41 | 5.26 | -2.7% | -5.1% | -0.3% | +0.7% |
| 2026-07-20 | beat | 3.67 | 3.69 | +0.6% | +3.7% | +1.3% | +12.7% |
| 2026-04-20 | miss | 2.79 | 2.78 | -0.2% | +1.3% | +5.2% | +8.4% |
| 2026-01-26 | beat | 1.69 | 1.82 | +7.9% | +1.7% | -4.4% | +2.9% |
| 2025-10-20 | beat | 2.63 | 2.74 | +4.2% | -0.1% | +5.2% | +10.1% |
| 2025-07-21 | miss | 2.08 | 2.01 | -3.5% | -4.8% | -1.7% | -5.2% |
| 2025-04-22 | beat | 1.38 | 1.44 | +4.0% | +3.0% | +4.3% | +10.5% |
| 2025-01-22 | beat | 1.29 | 1.36 | +5.5% | -1.5% | -0.4% | +6.4% |
| 2024-10-16 | beat | 1.98 | 2.05 | +3.4% | +4.7% | +4.0% | +0.4% |
| 2024-07-17 | beat | 2.67 | 2.72 | +1.9% | -2.0% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
| 2024-04-23 | beat | 3.45 | 3.67 | +6.5% | +5.1% | -3.2% | -3.4% |
| 2024-01-23 | miss | 2.62 | 2.61 | -0.5% | -5.2% | +0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2023-10-18 | miss | 3.50 | 3.47 | -0.8% | +1.4% | -4.1% | -1.0% |
| 2023-07-19 | beat | 4.80 | 4.81 | +0.3% | +0.0% | -3.0% | -2.7% |
| 2023-04-19 | beat | 3.62 | 4.01 | +10.7% | -3.0% | +4.9% | -1.7% |
| 2023-01-25 | beat | 3.59 | 4.37 | +21.6% | +2.5% | +10.0% | +14.0% |
| 2022-10-19 | beat | 5.13 | 5.46 | +6.4% | +0.0% | +6.2% | +20.8% |
| 2022-07-20 | beat | 6.14 | 6.73 | +9.7% | +1.2% | +3.9% | +8.9% |
| 2022-04-20 | beat | 5.72 | 6.02 | +5.2% | +2.0% | +1.9% | -2.0% |
| 2022-01-24 | beat | 5.71 | 5.78 | +1.2% | -5.9% | -1.1% | +5.3% |
| 2021-10-18 | beat | 4.85 | 4.96 | +2.3% | -0.1% | +1.7% | +7.8% |
| 2021-07-19 | beat | 3.38 | 3.40 | +0.6% | -2.9% | +2.1% | +5.5% |
| 2021-04-19 | beat | 1.98 | 2.10 | +6.0% | +0.2% | -2.1% | +7.5% |
| 2021-01-25 | beat | 0.82 | 0.97 | +18.2% | +1.3% | -4.8% | -8.1% |
| 2020-10-19 | beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +6.0% | -2.7% | -3.7% | -5.2% |
| 2020-07-20 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +10.3% | +0.9% | +2.2% | +3.2% |
| 2020-04-20 | beat | 0.84 | 0.88 | +4.2% | -4.5% | -1.6% | +9.5% |
| 2020-01-22 | beat | 0.56 | 0.62 | +10.1% | +2.4% | -1.4% | -5.1% |
| 2019-10-16 | miss | 0.69 | 0.69 | -0.2% | +0.5% | -0.5% | +5.0% |
| 2019-07-22 | miss | 0.89 | 0.87 | -2.0% | -0.1% | +1.8% | +4.2% |
| 2019-04-22 | miss | 0.91 | 0.91 | -0.5% | -0.8% | -4.9% | -5.8% |
| 2019-01-22 | beat | 1.21 | 1.31 | +8.4% | -0.8% | +1.8% | +4.6% |
| 2018-10-17 | beat | 1.66 | 1.69 | +1.9% | +1.7% | +1.9% | -2.4% |
| 2018-07-23 | beat | 1.49 | 1.53 | +2.8% | +2.7% | +2.8% | -1.5% |
| 2018-04-18 | beat | 0.89 | 0.96 | +7.3% | -2.7% | -0.3% | -0.4% |
| 2018-01-22 | beat | 0.49 | 0.54 | +9.5% | +1.7% | -0.5% | +0.5% |
| 2017-10-18 | beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.2% | -0.5% | +3.7% | +6.7% |
| 2017-07-19 | 0.63 | 0.63 | — | -3.0% | +0.5% | -2.6% | |
| 2017-04-19 | beat | 0.79 | 0.82 | +3.8% | +2.4% | +6.8% | +10.9% |
| 2017-01-24 | beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.8% | -1.9% | -6.6% | -7.7% |
| 2016-10-19 | miss | 0.65 | 0.65 | -0.1% | -4.9% | +5.2% | +6.4% |
| 2016-07-18 | beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +3.0% | -3.1% | -4.0% | -3.1% |
| 2016-04-20 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +6.5% | +1.0% | +0.7% | +0.7% |
| 2016-01-25 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +34.4% | +1.5% | +6.1% | +9.9% |
| 2015-10-19 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +7.9% | -2.7% | -1.4% | +1.1% |
| 2015-07-20 | beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +2.8% | +1.2% | +3.2% | +6.8% |
| 2015-04-20 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +17.4% | +0.2% | +1.9% | +6.5% |
| 2015-01-28 | miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -2.2% | -4.7% | -4.4% | +7.6% |
| 2014-10-20 | beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +6.7% | +7.6% | +3.8% | +7.1% |
| 2014-07-21 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +4.4% | -0.1% | +4.5% | +3.3% |
| 2014-04-16 | miss | 0.18 | 0.16 | -8.6% | -1.7% | -4.8% | -2.8% |
| 2014-01-27 | beat | 0.24 | 0.24 | +1.4% | +1.2% | +2.2% | -3.2% |
| 2013-10-16 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.1% | +0.8% | +4.0% | +5.9% |
| 2013-07-17 | miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -0.5% | -0.7% | -1.4% | +0.7% |
| 2013-04-17 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +3.6% | +0.1% | +1.0% | +4.2% |
| 2013-01-28 | beat | 0.15 | 0.19 | +29.1% | +1.8% | +2.9% | +1.3% |
| 2012-10-17 | beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +20.4% | -3.5% | +3.0% | +2.1% |
| 2012-07-23 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +5.6% | +0.0% | -2.1% | +5.5% |
| 2012-04-18 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +5.5% | -3.2% | -5.5% | -5.5% |
| 2012-01-24 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +32.1% | +3.4% | +3.6% | +5.2% |
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TRACKER - Halftime Report Final Trades · CNBC
long
244.59
Mon, 05 Oct
Named as a final trade on CNBC’s Halftime Report. The call: on 5 October 2026 (named as “Steel Dynamics”). The price: The price on this post is STLD…
Not investment advice.
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