SUModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.9%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+4.8%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +1.9% median,
56% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 2
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.07 +4.8% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.1%
$4M/day volume
63% volatility
-45% 1-year
-82% from ATH
52-week range · 0% of the way up · -55% from the high
$6.06$13.55
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-17 (Tuesday, after close, in 15 days) · EPS est. 0.27.
1-day std dev
6.7%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+8.3%
Biggest drop
-33.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 39 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | beat | 0.15 | 0.28 | +78.7% | +4.5% | -1.3% | -9.0% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | 0.10 | 0.06 | -42.4% | +1.0% | -7.1% | -12.6% |
| 2026-03-01 | miss | -0.03 | -0.16 | -466.2% | -9.9% | -4.7% | +0.9% |
| 2025-11-25 | miss | 0.09 | -0.40 | -532.6% | -2.3% | +6.8% | +11.7% |
| 2025-08-13 | miss | 0.27 | 0.12 | -56.4% | -2.3% | -9.6% | -15.4% |
| 2025-03-10 | beat | 0.23 | 0.30 | +33.9% | +1.4% | +0.6% | +3.0% |
| 2024-11-25 | miss | 0.14 | 0.10 | -30.1% | -3.0% | +4.9% | +7.8% |
| 2024-08-14 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +17.7% | +1.1% | +2.6% | -6.0% |
| 2024-03-05 | miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -18.4% | +2.8% | +8.3% | +23.2% |
| 2023-11-26 | beat | 0.10 | 0.30 | +213.7% | +2.4% | +1.5% | +6.1% |
| 2023-08-24 | beat | 0.10 | 0.20 | +106.4% | -1.4% | +3.1% | +2.1% |
| 2023-05-22 | miss | 0.10 | 0.03 | -72.6% | +3.3% | +2.3% | +4.2% |
| 2023-03-12 | beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +78.4% | +1.6% | -2.4% | -7.3% |
| 2022-11-10 | beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +75.7% | -2.7% | -5.3% | -13.3% |
| 2022-08-20 | miss | 0.01 | -0.10 | -795.4% | -2.9% | +4.1% | +11.8% |
| 2022-05-16 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +105.0% | +2.8% | +3.9% | +3.9% |
| 2022-03-02 | beat | 0.07 | 0.43 | +561.5% | +0.5% | -1.5% | +0.5% |
| 2021-11-18 | beat | 0.06 | 0.30 | +434.4% | -0.5% | -2.4% | -8.3% |
| 2021-08-25 | beat | 0.05 | 0.32 | +536.5% | -6.9% | -3.5% | +4.8% |
| 2021-05-27 | beat | 0.06 | 0.34 | +493.3% | -0.5% | +4.8% | +26.7% |
| 2021-03-07 | beat | 0.05 | 0.12 | +116.1% | -5.7% | -2.3% | +10.3% |
| 2020-11-20 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +50.6% | -1.0% | +1.0% | -1.5% |
| 2020-08-19 | beat | 0.11 | 0.20 | +73.4% | +1.2% | +3.6% | -2.0% |
| 2020-05-28 | miss | 0.13 | 0.07 | -41.9% | +0.5% | -8.4% | +21.4% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 0.08 | 0.26 | +242.2% | +1.7% | +2.7% | -10.7% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +15.3% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -19.1% |
| 2019-08-13 | beat | 0.23 | 0.36 | +58.0% | -1.4% | -4.3% | +0.0% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -11.7% | -0.9% | -2.5% | -5.2% |
| 2019-03-07 | miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -21.9% | +1.8% | +3.6% | +4.8% |
| 2018-11-19 | beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +10.4% | -3.5% | -4.5% | -6.8% |
| 2018-08-23 | miss | 0.49 | 0.10 | -80.2% | -14.1% | -33.2% | -25.2% |
| 2018-05-21 | miss | 0.51 | 0.32 | -36.8% | -0.4% | -7.8% | -18.1% |
| 2018-02-19 | miss | 0.52 | 0.47 | -9.6% | -0.2% | -0.7% | -4.5% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +3.8% | +1.4% | -1.9% | -4.1% |
| 2017-08-09 | beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +11.0% | +1.5% | +3.5% | +15.5% |
| 2017-05-11 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +9.0% | +0.8% | +0.0% | -1.3% |
| 2017-02-16 | beat | 0.39 | 0.47 | +23.3% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +1.5% |
| 2016-11-11 | beat | 0.31 | 0.39 | +27.1% | +0.5% | -2.0% | -1.8% |
| 2016-08-08 | miss | 0.23 | 0.19 | -18.2% | +1.8% | -1.1% | -3.4% |
Not investment advice.
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