SVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+3.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +8.2% median,
62% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.35 +3.2% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.1%
$11M/day volume
54% volatility
+10% 1-year
-72% from ATH
52-week range · 28% of the way up · -32% from the high
$3.86$7.01
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, after close, in 8 days) · EPS est. -0.17.
1-day std dev
4.6%
Finished up
44%
Biggest pop
+9.7%
Biggest drop
-9.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 36 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | miss | -0.15 | -0.16 | -9.6% | +6.1% | +2.3% | +0.2% |
| 2026-03-13 | miss | -0.12 | -0.13 | -11.4% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -6.8% |
| 2025-11-12 | miss | -0.13 | -0.14 | -6.1% | +0.5% | +3.4% | +13.3% |
| 2025-08-13 | miss | -0.12 | -0.14 | -16.7% | -1.9% | +4.7% | +19.8% |
| 2025-05-13 | beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +6.2% | -0.7% | +0.7% | -2.0% |
| 2025-03-27 | miss | -0.11 | -0.13 | -14.0% | -0.7% | +3.0% | +7.4% |
| 2024-11-12 | -0.11 | -0.11 | — | +1.7% | -5.9% | -27.8% | |
| 2024-08-12 | miss | -0.11 | -0.12 | -12.5% | +2.4% | +1.0% | +9.8% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | -0.10 | -0.11 | -13.8% | -3.2% | -8.2% | -11.6% |
| 2024-03-07 | beat | -0.10 | -0.09 | +12.9% | -2.1% | -5.2% | -15.7% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | -0.07 | -0.10 | -38.9% | +7.2% | +1.8% | +9.4% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +9.7% | +1.6% | +1.0% | -7.8% |
| 2023-05-15 | -0.07 | -0.07 | — | +0.5% | -0.5% | +29.6% | |
| 2023-03-30 | beat | -0.07 | -0.07 | +3.5% | +0.0% | -4.4% | -15.7% |
| 2022-11-10 | miss | -0.07 | -0.07 | -3.7% | +0.0% | +2.6% | +20.2% |
| 2022-08-11 | -0.06 | -0.06 | — | -0.6% | +0.6% | -2.9% | |
| 2022-05-11 | beat | -0.08 | -0.05 | +37.5% | -2.7% | +1.8% | +24.1% |
| 2022-03-30 | miss | -0.07 | -0.07 | -3.7% | +0.0% | +3.1% | +1.6% |
| 2021-11-12 | beat | -0.09 | -0.07 | +25.5% | -0.9% | -2.6% | -6.9% |
| 2021-08-12 | beat | -0.12 | -0.07 | +41.7% | +3.3% | -1.7% | +2.5% |
| 2021-05-13 | miss | -0.09 | -0.13 | -36.8% | +4.4% | +3.3% | +13.2% |
| 2021-03-10 | miss | -0.10 | -0.23 | -130.0% | +2.2% | -2.7% | +26.6% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | -0.20 | -0.18 | +12.2% | +2.7% | -6.2% | -7.1% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.20 | -0.16 | +21.9% | +2.0% | +3.9% | -8.3% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.28 | -0.27 | +3.6% | +0.0% | -7.8% | -9.4% |
| 2020-03-12 | beat | -0.33 | -0.28 | +15.7% | -22.0% | -9.8% | -16.9% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | -0.41 | -0.30 | +26.8% | +15.4% | -6.9% | -19.2% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | -0.41 | -0.38 | +7.3% | -4.0% | -8.4% | -12.4% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | -0.35 | -0.34 | +2.2% | +1.3% | +4.6% | +7.1% |
| 2019-03-13 | beat | -0.36 | -0.24 | +35.3% | +0.3% | -5.5% | -6.5% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | -0.34 | -0.37 | -8.0% | -1.5% | +9.7% | -3.2% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | -0.37 | -0.38 | -1.8% | -5.3% | -3.3% | -8.0% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | -0.36 | -0.29 | +19.0% | -4.0% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| 2018-03-14 | beat | -0.27 | -0.01 | +97.0% | +6.9% | -4.4% | -4.4% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | -0.68 | -0.28 | +58.8% | +1.6% | -3.2% | +24.7% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | -0.26 | -0.90 | -246.2% | +4.2% | -2.3% | -5.3% |
Not investment advice.
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