SWModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -1.0% median,
46% of the last 26 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 3
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.29%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.63 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$7M/day volume
45% volatility
+32% 1-year
-67% from ATH
52-week range · 54% of the way up · -25% from the high
$8.14$17.56
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-03 (Thursday, after close, in 31 days) · EPS est. 0.08.
1-day std dev
14.8%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+43.6%
Biggest drop
-30.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | beat | -0.05 | 0.06 | +220.0% | +15.1% | +5.1% | +7.6% |
| 2026-06-17 | beat | 0.23 | 0.36 | +56.5% | +15.1% | +17.1% | +10.9% |
| 2026-03-05 | beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +60.0% | +9.2% | +18.7% | +17.0% |
| 2025-12-04 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +100.0% | +5.4% | +23.0% | +21.5% |
| 2025-09-04 | beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +33.3% | -0.1% | +6.5% | +13.9% |
| 2025-06-18 | miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -13.0% | -13.6% | -19.8% | -20.4% |
| 2025-03-06 | 0.02 | 0.02 | — | -9.8% | -10.9% | -8.9% | |
| 2024-12-05 | miss | 0.17 | 0.11 | -33.3% | -16.4% | -20.3% | -19.1% |
| 2024-09-05 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | -5.6% | -9.4% | -7.7% | |
| 2024-06-20 | beat | 0.36 | 0.45 | +26.8% | -4.2% | -12.9% | -12.6% |
| 2024-03-07 | beat | 0.11 | 0.19 | +81.0% | +12.1% | +29.4% | +30.5% |
| 2023-12-07 | miss | 0.18 | 0.14 | -22.2% | -7.1% | -9.1% | -6.0% |
| 2023-09-07 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +18.2% | +15.9% | +10.8% | +9.1% |
| 2023-06-22 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +10.3% | +6.8% | +20.2% | +16.0% |
| 2023-03-09 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +8.7% | +4.4% | +6.2% | +4.0% |
| 2022-12-06 | miss | 0.44 | 0.26 | -40.9% | -8.3% | -19.6% | -23.2% |
| 2022-09-08 | miss | 0.21 | 0.11 | -46.3% | -2.8% | -6.3% | -15.6% |
| 2022-06-23 | beat | 0.67 | 0.82 | +23.3% | -1.3% | +14.5% | -5.8% |
| 2022-03-03 | miss | 0.83 | 0.69 | -16.9% | -20.2% | -12.5% | -11.8% |
| 2021-12-02 | miss | 1.29 | 1.13 | -12.2% | -19.9% | -28.7% | -21.2% |
| 2021-09-01 | beat | 1.26 | 1.57 | +24.4% | -6.8% | -11.2% | -14.9% |
| 2021-06-17 | beat | 1.08 | 1.71 | +58.3% | +4.7% | +17.2% | +52.7% |
| 2021-03-04 | beat | 0.81 | 1.12 | +38.3% | +2.0% | +1.8% | +18.2% |
| 2020-12-03 | beat | 0.63 | 0.93 | +48.1% | -0.9% | +5.2% | +2.0% |
| 2020-09-03 | beat | 0.49 | 0.97 | +98.0% | +5.8% | -3.5% | -11.2% |
| 2020-06-18 | beat | 0.42 | 0.57 | +37.4% | -4.1% | -5.4% | +3.7% |
| 2020-03-05 | miss | 0.23 | 0.13 | -44.4% | -31.0% | -30.8% | -24.5% |
| 2019-12-05 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +32.4% | +5.3% | -2.5% | -2.1% |
| 2019-08-29 | miss | 0.07 | 0.03 | -55.9% | -13.4% | -21.7% | -19.0% |
| 2019-06-19 | beat | 0.16 | 0.26 | +60.5% | +9.9% | +3.3% | -8.8% |
| 2019-03-07 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +37.9% | -7.0% | -12.4% | -14.8% |
| 2018-12-06 | beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +42.9% | +16.1% | +15.4% | +4.3% |
| 2018-08-30 | beat | 0.12 | 0.21 | +75.0% | +21.8% | +43.6% | +51.3% |
| 2018-06-20 | beat | 0.11 | 0.24 | +122.2% | -7.4% | -3.2% | -6.5% |
| 2018-03-01 | beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +9.8% | -11.6% | +3.6% | +13.4% |
| 2017-12-07 | beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +37.5% | -14.6% | -9.5% | -9.0% |
| 2017-09-07 | miss | 0.11 | 0.02 | -81.2% | -18.1% | -17.8% | -15.8% |
| 2017-06-29 | beat | 0.38 | 0.57 | +50.6% | -9.1% | -7.4% | -9.1% |
| 2017-03-02 | beat | 0.55 | 0.66 | +20.3% | -6.5% | -2.8% | +0.7% |
| 2016-12-01 | beat | 0.58 | 0.68 | +17.2% | -7.3% | -12.0% | -12.1% |
| 2016-09-01 | beat | 0.54 | 0.62 | +14.8% | -1.6% | -6.4% | -9.0% |
| 2016-06-16 | beat | 0.54 | 0.66 | +23.0% | +10.9% | +8.7% | +18.8% |
| 2016-03-03 | beat | 0.41 | 0.59 | +43.9% | +5.5% | +6.5% | +10.7% |
| 2015-12-08 | beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +22.4% | -0.7% | +1.2% | +2.6% |
| 2015-08-27 | beat | 0.23 | 0.32 | +42.2% | +6.4% | +11.2% | +12.0% |
| 2015-06-18 | beat | 0.35 | 0.45 | +28.6% | -1.7% | +0.5% | +4.3% |
| 2015-03-03 | beat | 0.12 | 0.20 | +70.7% | +9.7% | +9.9% | +3.8% |
| 2014-12-04 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +31.2% | -1.7% | +4.1% | +2.0% |
| 2014-08-26 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +3.0% | -11.8% | -13.6% | -18.3% |
| 2014-06-19 | beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +11.2% | -8.7% | -8.7% | -15.4% |
| 2014-03-04 | beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +19.8% | +12.5% | +16.4% | +18.5% |
| 2013-12-10 | beat | 0.21 | 0.28 | +31.0% | +4.9% | +4.0% | +6.1% |
| 2013-09-05 | beat | 0.36 | 0.40 | +10.7% | -5.5% | -10.2% | -2.4% |
| 2013-06-25 | beat | 0.44 | 0.44 | +1.1% | +0.0% | -2.1% | +1.0% |
| 2013-03-05 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +12.2% | -3.2% | -4.6% | -6.8% |
| 2012-12-06 | beat | 0.24 | 0.24 | +2.1% | +1.9% | -8.6% | -15.9% |
| 2012-09-06 | beat | 0.18 | 0.28 | +54.1% | +22.2% | +11.9% | +17.2% |
| 2012-06-28 | beat | 0.17 | 0.27 | +60.7% | +13.6% | +20.6% | +32.1% |
| 2012-03-08 | beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +84.6% | +5.8% | +22.8% | +19.1% |
| 2011-12-08 | beat | -0.04 | 0.01 | +126.3% | +1.2% | +15.0% | +17.1% |
Not investment advice.
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