TAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +12.8% median,
82% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 45
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.14%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.05 +2.5% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +0.9%
$3M/day volume
74% volatility
-52% 1-year
52-week range · 4% of the way up · -68% from the high
$2.28$7.82
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-10 (Tuesday, before open, in 8 days) · EPS est. -0.36.
1-day std dev
4.5%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+11.6%
Biggest drop
-8.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 27 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | miss | -0.31 | -0.36 | -14.6% | -2.7% | -4.9% | -3.2% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | -0.37 | -0.31 | +15.6% | +2.9% | +1.0% | -7.6% |
| 2026-03-10 | miss | -0.31 | -0.38 | -21.8% | +2.1% | -0.7% | -5.2% |
| 2025-11-10 | beat | -0.38 | -0.31 | +19.5% | -0.2% | +5.6% | +29.8% |
| 2025-08-11 | beat | -0.41 | -0.35 | +15.3% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +2.9% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -0.48 | -0.29 | +39.3% | +2.1% | +0.6% | -7.2% |
| 2025-03-05 | beat | -0.56 | -0.43 | +23.9% | +0.0% | +8.0% | +21.1% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -0.52 | -0.50 | +3.9% | -2.7% | +0.0% | -10.1% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | -0.74 | -0.45 | +39.0% | +2.4% | +0.0% | -7.7% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | -0.92 | -0.97 | -5.4% | +1.0% | -1.4% | +1.7% |
| 2024-03-13 | beat | -0.92 | -0.90 | +1.9% | +3.6% | +2.2% | +12.9% |
| 2023-11-03 | beat | -0.98 | -0.87 | +11.2% | +2.5% | +11.6% | -1.7% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | -0.94 | -1.00 | -6.0% | +0.4% | +1.2% | -4.8% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -0.87 | -0.80 | +8.4% | +4.9% | -1.3% | +9.5% |
| 2023-03-08 | miss | -0.65 | -0.84 | -29.0% | -2.9% | -1.8% | -19.0% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | -0.70 | -0.68 | +3.5% | -3.1% | -3.4% | -11.2% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -0.78 | -0.80 | -2.6% | +3.1% | +7.5% | +11.6% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -0.77 | -0.96 | -24.7% | +0.0% | -2.6% | -15.5% |
| 2022-03-09 | miss | -0.80 | -0.91 | -13.0% | +1.3% | +3.1% | +10.5% |
| 2021-11-04 | -0.96 | -0.96 | — | +1.1% | +1.7% | +4.6% | |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | -0.96 | -1.14 | -18.8% | +1.7% | -3.0% | -9.3% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | -0.63 | -1.20 | -90.5% | -0.6% | -5.7% | -16.3% |
| 2021-03-11 | beat | -0.60 | -0.44 | +27.3% | +2.1% | +6.4% | +9.8% |
| 2021-03-10 | beat | -0.71 | -0.60 | +15.5% | +2.1% | +6.4% | +9.8% |
| 2020-11-12 | miss | -0.62 | -1.26 | -101.6% | -0.7% | +2.2% | +5.8% |
| 2020-07-31 | miss | -0.83 | -1.22 | -47.0% | -3.6% | +0.4% | -0.5% |
| 2020-05-13 | miss | -0.41 | -1.81 | -341.5% | -8.5% | -8.5% | +58.5% |
Not investment advice.
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