TBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.5%
Next 1 week
+1.6%
Next 1 month
+3.2%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -15.9% median,
40% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 3
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.70%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.75 +4.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.8%
$9M/day volume
51% volatility
-4% 1-year
-82% from ATH
52-week range · 82% of the way up · -8% from the high
$9.84$17.04
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. 0.28.
1-day std dev
17.4%
Finished up
43%
Biggest pop
+64.6%
Biggest drop
-31.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 51 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.27 | -0.36 | -33.2% | +4.9% | +11.2% | +1.6% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | -0.44 | -0.62 | -39.2% | -12.8% | -0.9% | -12.6% |
| 2026-03-12 | miss | 1.12 | 0.98 | -12.4% | -6.0% | -0.7% | -16.1% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | 0.18 | 0.12 | -32.7% | -1.3% | -3.5% | -5.4% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -0.24 | -0.41 | -71.1% | -2.4% | +8.8% | +8.3% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.06 | -0.13 | -109.0% | +1.8% | +8.9% | +24.0% |
| 2025-03-13 | beat | 1.12 | 1.26 | +12.3% | -9.0% | -5.1% | +1.9% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.18 | 0.40 | +125.0% | +2.2% | +5.9% | -8.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -0.28 | -0.20 | +29.4% | +14.7% | +15.2% | +18.4% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | -0.18 | 0.26 | +244.7% | +8.3% | +5.2% | +10.5% |
| 2024-03-13 | miss | 0.56 | 0.17 | -70.0% | +27.8% | +26.5% | +58.3% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | -0.24 | -0.14 | +42.6% | +12.6% | +12.6% | +13.4% |
| 2023-08-07 | miss | -0.34 | -0.41 | -21.8% | +1.9% | +8.5% | -0.7% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -0.41 | -0.27 | +33.9% | +7.3% | +16.1% | -4.3% |
| 2023-03-13 | miss | 0.21 | 0.10 | -51.6% | -5.2% | +5.8% | +21.0% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | -0.49 | -0.47 | +4.4% | +13.4% | +23.7% | +39.7% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | -0.46 | -0.77 | -65.6% | -34.5% | -31.8% | -24.8% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | -0.52 | -0.39 | +25.2% | -1.5% | -19.9% | -18.6% |
| 2022-03-02 | miss | 0.23 | 0.16 | -28.9% | -2.4% | -11.8% | -13.9% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.05 | 0.26 | +457.1% | +5.1% | +0.7% | +1.7% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -0.10 | 0.14 | +237.7% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -6.4% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +14.0% | -1.1% | -3.0% | -3.2% |
| 2021-03-04 | beat | 0.78 | 0.84 | +7.4% | -3.1% | -15.5% | -5.5% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.23 | 1.05 | +348.7% | +10.6% | +0.1% | -14.1% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.9% | +4.6% | -7.8% | -13.8% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.76 | -0.23 | +69.7% | -5.8% | -18.2% | -15.2% |
| 2020-03-10 | beat | 0.71 | 0.83 | +16.9% | +10.3% | +4.2% | -23.0% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | -0.27 | -0.18 | +33.3% | -8.5% | -13.4% | -13.3% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | -0.15 | -0.06 | +61.3% | -8.5% | -14.5% | -11.8% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.04 | 0.13 | +246.7% | +3.6% | -1.8% | -11.1% |
| 2019-03-14 | beat | 1.31 | 1.33 | +1.5% | -12.0% | -18.0% | -30.8% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.77 | 0.91 | +18.5% | -12.5% | -13.0% | -37.1% |
| 2018-08-06 | beat | -0.05 | 0.40 | +900.0% | +8.7% | +1.6% | -11.4% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | -0.05 | 0.16 | +420.0% | +63.0% | +64.6% | +135.3% |
| 2018-03-06 | beat | 1.13 | 1.16 | +2.4% | +3.6% | -8.9% | -12.5% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | -0.23 | -0.04 | +82.3% | -11.0% | -8.2% | -21.9% |
| 2017-08-10 | beat | -0.71 | -0.56 | +20.8% | +4.5% | +2.2% | -5.2% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | -0.98 | -0.76 | +22.1% | +5.5% | -8.7% | -10.3% |
| 2017-03-08 | beat | 0.65 | 1.00 | +53.1% | -13.5% | -24.1% | -28.6% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | -0.63 | -0.40 | +36.8% | +1.4% | +36.6% | +14.8% |
| 2016-08-08 | beat | -0.98 | -0.92 | +5.7% | +6.5% | +7.2% | +5.5% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | -1.14 | -1.01 | +11.0% | +7.8% | +43.8% | +11.1% |
| 2016-03-24 | miss | 0.36 | 0.32 | -12.4% | +0.0% | -6.0% | -0.9% |
| 2015-11-09 | beat | -0.54 | -0.52 | +3.7% | -7.0% | -15.2% | -24.5% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | -0.74 | -0.93 | -25.0% | -1.8% | -5.3% | -0.9% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | -0.77 | -0.98 | -28.2% | +5.2% | -6.1% | -8.5% |
| 2015-03-16 | miss | 0.57 | 0.25 | -55.6% | -7.1% | -7.5% | -12.4% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | -0.08 | -0.52 | -550.0% | -23.1% | -23.7% | -19.2% |
| 2014-08-11 | miss | -0.13 | -0.95 | -634.5% | -8.4% | -13.5% | -15.6% |
| 2014-05-12 | miss | -0.16 | -0.18 | -11.2% | -3.3% | -0.1% | +6.7% |
| 2014-03-28 | miss | 0.84 | 0.12 | -85.7% | +8.1% | +13.1% | +14.3% |
Not investment advice.
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