TBModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.3% median,
68% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 83
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.59 +1.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$2M/day volume
72% volatility
+96% 1-year
-70% from ATH
52-week range · 84% of the way up · -11% from the high
$3.18$11.03
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.19.
1-day std dev
12.3%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+28.7%
Biggest drop
-25.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | -0.10 | 0.06 | +160.0% | +20.8% | +28.7% | +29.0% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | -0.45 | -0.41 | +8.9% | +8.3% | +0.2% | -3.8% |
| 2026-02-18 | miss | -0.05 | -0.25 | -368.8% | -15.9% | -13.5% | -12.6% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | -0.08 | 0.03 | +136.4% | +2.8% | +17.3% | +12.0% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | -0.10 | -0.07 | +28.2% | +0.8% | -3.9% | -6.0% |
| 2025-05-05 | miss | -0.32 | -0.40 | -26.0% | -9.3% | -10.5% | +28.2% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | -0.16 | -0.02 | +87.7% | +5.5% | -15.0% | -16.9% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | -0.15 | -0.11 | +29.0% | +5.1% | -4.3% | -4.2% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | -0.02 | -0.35 | -1455.6% | -19.5% | -24.4% | -28.8% |
| 2024-05-06 | beat | -0.37 | 0.03 | +108.1% | +3.9% | -0.3% | +4.5% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +26.3% | +3.0% | -11.2% | -5.5% |
| 2023-10-23 | miss | 0.24 | 0.16 | -31.9% | -18.7% | -21.7% | -19.0% |
| 2023-07-24 | miss | 0.22 | 0.17 | -21.5% | -20.0% | -18.4% | -18.5% |
| 2023-04-24 | beat | -0.11 | -0.06 | +45.5% | -2.5% | -12.9% | -13.3% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +5.7% | -8.6% | -10.0% | -9.4% |
| 2022-10-24 | beat | 0.75 | 0.75 | +0.3% | -3.4% | -9.1% | -8.9% |
| 2022-07-25 | beat | 0.54 | 0.82 | +53.3% | +9.2% | +7.7% | +9.9% |
| 2022-04-25 | beat | 0.36 | 0.44 | +23.9% | -1.4% | -8.5% | -9.3% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | 0.43 | 0.69 | +61.4% | +1.7% | +7.5% | +0.9% |
| 2021-10-25 | miss | 0.60 | 0.59 | -0.8% | -4.3% | -11.9% | -16.2% |
| 2021-07-26 | beat | 0.38 | 0.47 | +23.0% | +0.3% | +3.0% | +0.9% |
| 2021-04-26 | beat | -0.08 | 0.25 | +400.0% | +9.9% | +24.9% | +23.8% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.18 | 0.33 | +85.4% | +6.9% | +3.5% | +0.9% |
| 2020-10-26 | beat | 0.08 | 0.24 | +200.0% | -1.2% | -8.3% | -6.1% |
| 2020-07-27 | beat | -0.42 | -0.12 | +71.2% | +13.8% | +23.3% | +11.9% |
| 2020-05-04 | miss | 0.03 | -0.01 | -136.0% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -5.3% |
| 2020-02-05 | miss | 0.41 | 0.39 | -4.1% | -11.6% | -25.7% | -26.7% |
| 2019-10-28 | beat | 0.66 | 0.76 | +14.3% | +0.0% | +4.5% | +3.9% |
| 2019-07-29 | beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +9.3% | -8.0% | -13.2% | -12.4% |
| 2019-04-29 | beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +12.2% | -9.5% | -5.3% | -4.4% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +4.3% | -6.6% | -10.4% | -3.7% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +1.7% | -3.4% | -2.1% | +0.4% |
| 2018-07-30 | beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +15.5% | +7.3% | -0.9% | +3.8% |
| 2018-04-30 | beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +40.9% | -0.6% | -9.2% | -7.9% |
| 2018-02-07 | beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +7.4% | -3.1% | +4.8% | +11.2% |
| 2017-10-30 | beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +4.3% | +2.5% | +14.1% | +14.9% |
| 2017-07-31 | beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +0.6% | -9.2% | -13.1% | -17.8% |
| 2017-05-01 | beat | 0.12 | 0.21 | +75.0% | +2.2% | -1.5% | -0.2% |
| 2017-02-08 | beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +8.2% | -1.0% | +2.5% | +7.5% |
| 2016-10-19 | miss | 0.75 | 0.70 | -6.0% | -10.0% | -7.3% | -16.2% |
| 2016-07-20 | beat | 0.43 | 0.51 | +17.9% | +14.3% | +10.8% | +9.2% |
| 2016-04-20 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +2.1% | -25.9% | -22.8% | -24.4% |
| 2016-02-03 | beat | 0.60 | 0.66 | +10.1% | +12.9% | +4.3% | -5.0% |
| 2015-10-21 | miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -1.7% | +16.5% | +20.9% | +27.2% |
| 2015-07-22 | beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +11.4% | +0.7% | -6.9% | -8.0% |
| 2015-04-23 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +16.9% | +3.5% | +17.7% | +15.7% |
| 2015-02-05 | beat | 0.46 | 0.46 | +0.4% | +4.3% | -5.1% | +1.1% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 0.46 | 0.54 | +16.6% | -2.0% | -9.1% | -7.1% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +31.1% | -6.9% | -5.5% | -12.4% |
| 2014-04-22 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +48.9% | +9.8% | +1.4% | -3.5% |
| 2014-02-06 | beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +10.3% | +6.0% | +12.5% | +14.6% |
| 2013-10-23 | miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -1.6% | -1.4% | -1.5% | -6.4% |
| 2013-07-24 | beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +14.7% | +5.1% | +10.4% | +13.9% |
| 2013-04-24 | beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +51.5% | +2.5% | +0.8% | +2.0% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | 0.13 | 0.19 | +41.1% | +0.0% | +8.6% | +10.4% |
| 2012-10-24 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -2.2% | -13.1% | -15.5% | -14.6% |
| 2012-07-25 | miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -0.3% | -0.1% | -4.0% | -4.6% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +2.4% | -0.4% | +2.0% | +1.6% |
| 2012-02-08 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +18.9% | +5.1% | +1.2% | -2.5% |
| 2011-10-26 | beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +11.8% | +5.1% | +12.4% | +4.6% |
Not investment advice.
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