TCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+1.3%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -0.3% median,
50% of the last 22 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 77
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.55 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$25.8B market cap (#303 US)
$101M/day volume
35% volatility
-45% 1-year
-50% from ATH
52-week range · 5% of the way up · -50% from the high
$37.58$78.99
Congressional trades in TCOM Full tracker →
2 members · 3 buys / 5 sells · $36K–$190K disclosed · latest filing Nov 21, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-16 (Monday, after close, in 17 days) · EPS est. 8.22.
1-day std dev
8.8%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+25.8%
Biggest drop
-19.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | beat | 5.74 | 7.27 | +26.8% | +4.3% | +3.0% | +3.5% |
| 2026-06-24 | miss | 6.15 | 5.73 | -6.9% | -13.3% | -12.5% | -11.4% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 4.67 | 4.97 | +6.5% | -2.8% | -2.6% | -3.2% |
| 2025-11-17 | beat | 7.98 | 27.56 | +245.4% | +0.1% | +2.2% | -0.8% |
| 2025-08-27 | beat | 6.13 | 7.20 | +17.5% | +7.5% | +14.9% | +11.5% |
| 2025-05-19 | beat | 5.56 | 5.96 | +7.3% | -5.1% | -5.5% | -5.9% |
| 2025-02-24 | beat | 3.90 | 4.35 | +11.4% | -8.7% | -11.4% | -8.2% |
| 2024-11-18 | beat | 6.97 | 8.75 | +25.6% | +4.2% | +2.3% | +2.6% |
| 2024-08-26 | beat | 5.24 | 7.25 | +38.4% | +9.7% | +8.6% | +11.9% |
| 2024-05-20 | beat | 4.14 | 6.00 | +45.0% | -1.1% | -2.1% | -9.9% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 2.31 | 4.00 | +73.4% | +7.1% | +6.6% | +6.1% |
| 2023-11-20 | beat | 4.93 | 7.26 | +47.1% | -10.9% | -10.6% | -6.0% |
| 2023-09-04 | beat | 3.63 | 5.11 | +40.6% | +0.4% | -1.0% | -6.3% |
| 2023-06-07 | beat | 1.81 | 3.07 | +69.3% | +4.2% | +5.4% | +4.6% |
| 2023-03-06 | beat | -0.16 | 0.76 | +567.4% | +1.8% | -2.8% | -2.1% |
| 2022-12-14 | beat | 1.29 | 1.58 | +22.1% | +1.1% | +0.6% | +1.2% |
| 2022-09-21 | miss | 0.16 | -0.31 | -295.4% | +2.3% | +4.8% | +11.3% |
| 2022-06-27 | beat | -0.55 | -0.06 | +89.0% | +13.7% | +10.8% | +1.3% |
| 2022-03-23 | beat | -0.50 | 0.48 | +195.4% | +4.7% | +2.0% | -3.7% |
| 2021-12-15 | beat | 0.08 | 0.81 | +943.4% | +0.8% | -7.5% | -2.0% |
| 2021-09-23 | beat | 0.43 | 1.13 | +163.3% | -0.8% | -0.9% | +5.7% |
| 2021-05-18 | beat | -2.12 | -0.34 | +84.0% | -0.6% | +4.0% | +3.1% |
| 2021-03-03 | beat | 0.29 | 1.75 | +507.3% | +3.0% | -1.9% | +4.0% |
| 2020-12-01 | beat | 1.10 | 2.32 | +111.5% | -0.8% | -3.7% | -1.3% |
| 2020-09-24 | beat | -3.00 | -1.93 | +35.7% | +4.7% | +8.6% | +11.8% |
| 2020-05-28 | miss | -3.52 | -3.73 | -6.0% | -0.6% | +4.9% | +14.8% |
| 2020-03-18 | beat | 0.87 | 1.94 | +123.5% | -1.1% | +6.6% | +15.7% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | 2.07 | 3.70 | +78.7% | -0.8% | -4.4% | -5.3% |
| 2019-09-09 | beat | 2.06 | 2.25 | +9.2% | -2.6% | -2.7% | +0.4% |
| 2019-05-22 | beat | 1.63 | 2.93 | +79.3% | -3.3% | -3.2% | -8.2% |
| 2019-03-04 | beat | -0.24 | 0.87 | +467.9% | +13.7% | +19.8% | +18.3% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 1.99 | 2.91 | +46.1% | -13.6% | -19.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018-09-05 | beat | 1.35 | 1.98 | +46.5% | +4.5% | +5.4% | +2.0% |
| 2018-05-22 | beat | 1.01 | 3.50 | +246.0% | +3.8% | +4.0% | +3.8% |
| 2018-03-14 | beat | 1.00 | 1.52 | +51.6% | -0.2% | -1.9% | -1.1% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 1.60 | 2.71 | +69.5% | -2.4% | -2.3% | -3.5% |
| 2017-08-30 | beat | 1.26 | 1.45 | +15.2% | -5.3% | -2.4% | -2.2% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | 0.86 | 1.10 | +28.4% | -4.0% | -3.5% | -1.2% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | 1.04 | 2.20 | +110.7% | +5.1% | +1.4% | +0.2% |
| 2016-11-23 | beat | 0.78 | 1.18 | +51.5% | +9.8% | +9.8% | +7.4% |
| 2016-08-31 | beat | -0.15 | 0.13 | +186.8% | -0.6% | +3.4% | -6.8% |
| 2016-06-15 | beat | -0.37 | 0.59 | +262.0% | +4.0% | +1.5% | +3.6% |
| 2016-03-16 | beat | 0.39 | 0.72 | +83.1% | -4.5% | -0.7% | +3.6% |
| 2015-11-18 | beat | 0.77 | 7.02 | +812.5% | +11.7% | +15.5% | +8.0% |
| 2015-08-03 | beat | 0.53 | 0.93 | +77.1% | +5.0% | +10.0% | +0.8% |
| 2015-05-13 | beat | -0.28 | 0.12 | +144.0% | +13.2% | +8.8% | +10.1% |
| 2015-03-19 | miss | -0.27 | -0.34 | -25.9% | +19.4% | +24.8% | +28.3% |
| 2014-11-25 | beat | 0.99 | 1.10 | +11.8% | -11.1% | -8.5% | -19.3% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 0.75 | 0.80 | +7.6% | -6.7% | -0.5% | +2.6% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.1% | +0.7% | -0.8% | +12.2% |
| 2014-02-12 | beat | 1.04 | 1.18 | +13.8% | -6.9% | +10.2% | +18.1% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 1.15 | 1.56 | +35.8% | -7.1% | -10.3% | -12.3% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 0.92 | 1.10 | +20.1% | +18.2% | +19.5% | +16.0% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | 0.74 | 0.92 | +23.8% | +15.5% | +25.8% | +28.9% |
| 2013-01-31 | beat | 0.78 | 1.09 | +40.2% | +10.6% | +3.2% | +8.4% |
| 2012-11-05 | beat | 0.96 | 1.09 | +14.1% | +7.0% | +1.3% | -0.9% |
| 2012-07-24 | beat | 0.68 | 0.77 | +13.1% | -4.8% | -11.9% | -14.8% |
| 2012-05-16 | beat | 0.80 | 0.89 | +10.7% | +8.8% | +6.4% | -5.6% |
| 2012-02-20 | miss | 0.90 | 0.85 | -5.9% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +19.3% |
| 2011-11-13 | miss | 1.10 | 1.05 | -4.6% | -0.7% | -8.3% | -10.5% |
Not investment advice.
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