TFIN

Triumph Financial, Inc. $62.10 as of 2026-10-30
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+1.6%
Next 1 month
+3.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +8.2% median, 100% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.14%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.00 +2.4% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +1.5%
$17M/day volume 38% volatility +11% 1-year -54% from ATH
52-week range · 37% of the way up · -26% from the high
$49.27$83.52

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-02-01 (Monday, after close, in 93 days) · EPS est. 0.77.

1-day std dev
5.7%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+15.6%
Biggest drop
-14.3%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-21 miss 0.60 0.52 -13.0% -3.9% +0.4% +2.4%
2026-07-21 beat 0.44 0.44 +0.6% +1.1% +2.4% -4.2%
2026-04-21 beat 0.15 0.23 +53.3% -0.8% -6.3% -0.4%
2026-01-26 beat 0.30 0.77 +160.1% +6.4% -7.2% -8.0%
2025-10-15 beat — 0.04 +121.8% +1.7% +7.1% +19.7%
2025-07-16 beat 0.05 0.15 +212.5% -2.9% -2.5% -0.8%
2025-04-16 miss 0.04 -0.03 -171.4% -3.6% -2.7% +5.4%
2025-01-22 miss 0.25 0.13 -47.3% -3.6% -14.3% -16.0%
2024-10-16 beat 0.18 0.19 +3.3% -0.7% +4.8% +7.8%
2024-07-17 miss 0.22 0.08 -63.6% -3.9% -12.0% -2.2%
2024-04-17 miss 0.34 0.14 -58.6% -5.9% -8.1% -4.8%
2024-01-23 miss 0.40 0.37 -7.5% -3.9% -3.6% -8.1%
2023-10-19 beat 0.38 0.51 +36.0% +5.8% +5.7% +4.7%
2023-07-20 miss 0.41 0.29 -29.3% -0.9% -2.6% +5.7%
2023-04-25 miss 0.52 0.43 -16.5% -3.4% -1.5% -3.9%
2023-01-25 beat 0.66 0.67 +1.5% +5.9% +4.0% +23.7%
2022-10-19 miss 0.80 0.62 -22.7% -3.3% -8.0% -8.4%
2022-07-20 beat 0.88 1.74 +96.8% +1.3% +3.2% +3.7%
2022-04-20 miss 1.00 0.93 -6.6% -5.3% -7.4% -12.0%
2022-01-20 miss 1.06 1.02 -4.2% -3.0% -9.1% -21.3%
2021-10-20 miss 1.08 0.94 -13.1% -6.6% -2.3% +2.3%
2021-07-21 beat 1.02 1.17 +14.9% -4.8% -0.5% +2.5%
2021-04-21 beat 0.91 1.32 +45.7% +1.4% -2.8% -0.6%
2021-01-21 beat 0.82 1.25 +51.6% -1.5% +2.0% -2.0%
2020-10-19 beat 0.49 0.91 +86.8% +1.2% +2.5% +3.4%
2020-07-20 beat 0.09 0.25 +166.0% +13.2% +15.6% +9.9%
2020-04-20 miss 0.28 -0.18 -163.2% -7.2% -1.5% +8.1%
2020-01-21 beat 0.61 0.66 +8.2% +2.5% +5.5% +1.4%
2019-10-16 beat 0.56 0.56 +0.3% -0.1% +0.6% +3.7%
2019-07-17 beat 0.47 0.48 +2.1% +6.1% +9.1% +14.9%
2019-04-17 beat 0.54 0.55 +2.8% -1.0% -4.5% +0.2%
2019-01-22 miss 0.70 0.67 -3.7% +0.1% -7.7% -3.3%
2018-10-17 beat 0.47 0.51 +9.2% -0.4% -2.0% -8.0%
2018-07-18 miss 0.52 0.50 -4.6% -3.4% -2.7% -3.8%
2018-04-18 miss 0.54 0.52 -3.5% -1.4% +0.5% -1.6%
2018-01-22 miss 0.46 0.34 -25.8% +0.0% +2.8% +7.9%
2017-10-18 beat 0.45 0.47 +5.2% -0.6% -1.4% +2.4%
2017-07-19 beat 0.33 0.51 +54.5% +8.1% +7.1% +10.9%
2017-04-19 miss 0.36 0.02 -94.5% -2.2% -4.9% -10.3%
2017-01-23 miss 0.40 0.33 -16.5% -1.5% +3.4% +3.4%
2016-10-26 miss 0.33 0.32 -2.3% +2.1% -2.5% -5.3%
2016-07-26 beat 0.25 0.25 +1.6% +1.0% +3.1% -1.0%
2016-04-27 beat 0.24 0.27 +11.6% +0.4% +1.2% -4.7%
2016-02-03 miss 0.23 0.19 -16.5% -1.7% -0.4% -2.3%
2015-10-28 miss 0.23 0.22 -4.3% -0.3% -1.5% -1.9%
2015-07-27 beat 0.18 0.25 +42.9% +4.1% +6.4% +13.8%
2015-04-29 miss 0.19 0.14 -26.3% -6.4% -3.4% -5.3%
2015-03-04 miss 0.20 0.14 -28.2% -3.5% +0.5% +0.2%
2014-12-17 miss 0.26 0.16 -38.5% +0.6% +5.5% +6.2%

Not investment advice.