TLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.0%
Next 1 month
+0.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.8% median,
70% of the last 23 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 21
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.22 +0.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$3.3B/day volume
10% volatility
-12% 1-year
-55% from ATH
52-week range · 29% of the way up · -12% from the high
$76.43$92.18
Congressional trades in TLT Full tracker →
9 members · 28 buys / 17 sells · $3.0M–$12.7M disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2026.
| SELL | $1.0M–$5.0M | |
| BUY | $500K–$1.0M | |
| BUY | $1.0M–$5.0M | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Not investment advice.
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