TNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.1%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -0.9% median,
44% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 12
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.14%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.19 +0.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$40M/day volume
40% volatility
+62% 1-year
-54% from ATH
52-week range · 75% of the way up · -14% from the high
$50.94$110.65
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, after close, in 9 days) · EPS est. 4.32.
1-day std dev
5.8%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+16.1%
Biggest drop
-11.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | beat | 5.53 | 5.56 | +0.5% | -2.6% | -1.0% | -1.4% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | 3.54 | 3.69 | +4.3% | +2.7% | -0.3% | +0.2% |
| 2026-02-18 | beat | 2.73 | 2.80 | +2.4% | +0.4% | +1.9% | +6.1% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 1.46 | 1.54 | +5.7% | -3.8% | -2.4% | +1.3% |
| 2025-07-30 | miss | 1.42 | 1.41 | -0.4% | -5.4% | -5.9% | +1.0% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 1.14 | 1.21 | +5.7% | -0.4% | -4.9% | -0.6% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | 1.47 | 1.50 | +1.8% | -3.4% | -0.9% | -7.0% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | 2.15 | 1.84 | -14.6% | -0.9% | -0.4% | -2.3% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | 3.20 | 3.11 | -2.7% | -2.9% | -5.8% | -15.4% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 3.82 | 3.86 | +1.0% | +3.0% | +9.1% | +13.7% |
| 2024-02-22 | miss | 3.49 | 2.91 | -16.6% | -2.3% | -5.5% | -5.4% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 2.09 | 2.24 | +7.0% | +0.0% | +1.0% | +2.1% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | 4.48 | 4.33 | -3.5% | -0.2% | +2.0% | +2.9% |
| 2023-05-11 | beat | 4.37 | 5.13 | +17.5% | +8.4% | +12.7% | +2.4% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | 3.42 | 4.33 | +26.6% | -0.4% | +2.4% | +12.4% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 1.56 | 1.70 | +8.8% | +6.2% | +3.8% | -5.5% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +8.6% | +2.4% | -0.1% | +11.0% |
| 2022-05-12 | beat | -0.61 | -0.41 | +33.3% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +17.8% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | -0.79 | -0.74 | +6.9% | +1.3% | +8.7% | +11.3% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | -1.62 | -1.23 | +24.0% | -1.1% | -1.9% | -2.8% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | -1.07 | -1.23 | -14.4% | +3.0% | -5.2% | -3.1% |
| 2021-05-13 | beat | -0.76 | -0.65 | +14.1% | -2.3% | +2.8% | +9.8% |
| 2021-02-25 | miss | -0.90 | -1.21 | -34.4% | -1.3% | +1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2020-11-12 | miss | 0.19 | 0.09 | -53.1% | -3.3% | -6.6% | +0.8% |
| 2020-08-13 | miss | 2.58 | 2.39 | -7.2% | -4.7% | -6.3% | -17.9% |
| 2020-05-21 | beat | 2.91 | 3.27 | +12.4% | +4.0% | +4.7% | +8.3% |
| 2020-02-27 | beat | 2.25 | 2.47 | +9.7% | +3.9% | +16.1% | +15.6% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | -0.86 | -0.64 | +25.9% | +3.0% | +10.9% | +23.3% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | -0.56 | -0.40 | +28.6% | -3.3% | -7.3% | -14.6% |
| 2019-05-23 | miss | 0.62 | 0.40 | -35.5% | -3.7% | -9.6% | -17.0% |
| 2019-02-21 | beat | 0.18 | 0.40 | +126.6% | +3.8% | +0.0% | +0.9% |
| 2018-11-15 | beat | -0.84 | -0.56 | +33.7% | +4.7% | +6.6% | +2.8% |
| 2018-08-02 | miss | -0.86 | -0.88 | -2.2% | +4.2% | +9.5% | +8.4% |
| 2018-05-17 | miss | -0.63 | -0.64 | -0.9% | -4.3% | -6.8% | -13.7% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | -0.52 | -0.24 | +53.5% | +11.8% | +11.8% | +4.5% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | -1.00 | -0.64 | +35.7% | +2.8% | +1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | -0.22 | -0.32 | -45.7% | +1.8% | -2.3% | -8.8% |
| 2017-05-18 | miss | 0.42 | 0.32 | -23.1% | +2.1% | +1.6% | +3.2% |
| 2017-02-23 | miss | 0.40 | 0.24 | -40.3% | -2.4% | -2.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | 0.23 | -0.08 | -135.1% | -3.5% | +3.5% | +16.2% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | 1.58 | 1.60 | +1.1% | -1.0% | -0.7% | -4.4% |
| 2016-05-19 | miss | 2.92 | 2.32 | -20.7% | -2.3% | -8.2% | -12.1% |
| 2016-02-18 | miss | 3.30 | 2.48 | -24.8% | +2.0% | -1.8% | -8.3% |
| 2015-11-05 | miss | 2.92 | 2.40 | -17.7% | -1.5% | -4.7% | -5.7% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | 3.30 | 2.80 | -15.3% | -2.0% | +3.3% | -2.2% |
| 2015-05-14 | beat | 2.64 | 2.72 | +3.2% | +1.5% | +2.9% | +17.3% |
| 2015-02-19 | beat | 1.38 | 1.68 | +21.8% | +6.9% | +5.3% | +4.1% |
| 2014-11-06 | miss | 0.41 | 0.24 | -41.9% | +0.2% | +1.9% | -2.6% |
| 2014-08-07 | miss | -0.27 | -0.40 | -46.8% | -0.5% | -1.2% | +6.2% |
| 2014-05-15 | beat | 0.72 | 1.60 | +122.2% | +4.8% | -0.6% | +0.9% |
| 2014-02-20 | beat | -0.40 | -0.24 | +40.1% | +0.0% | +13.4% | +38.4% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | -0.90 | -0.40 | +55.7% | -0.4% | +0.8% | +3.8% |
| 2013-08-08 | miss | -0.36 | -0.64 | -79.2% | +0.4% | -2.2% | -1.1% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | -0.24 | -0.32 | -33.3% | +0.4% | -0.4% | +13.3% |
| 2013-02-21 | miss | -0.43 | -0.72 | -65.8% | -2.8% | -1.2% | -1.6% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | -0.44 | -0.72 | -64.1% | -9.4% | -11.2% | -28.5% |
| 2012-08-09 | beat | -0.05 | 0.08 | +275.0% | -0.7% | -4.0% | -0.9% |
| 2012-05-17 | miss | 0.41 | 0.32 | -21.0% | +3.8% | +0.7% | -5.8% |
| 2012-02-23 | miss | -0.08 | -0.16 | -100.0% | +1.2% | +2.4% | +4.9% |
| 2011-11-25 | beat | 0.08 | 0.16 | +100.0% | -0.3% | -1.9% | +2.2% |
Not investment advice.
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