TNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +4.9% median,
63% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 97
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.93 +2.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$53M/day volume
33% volatility
+12% 1-year
-12% from ATH
52-week range · 55% of the way up · -12% from the high
$60.34$81.00
Congressional trades in TNL Full tracker →
2 members · 3 buys / 2 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-17 (Wednesday, before open, in 110 days) · EPS est. 2.23.
1-day std dev
5.8%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+19.0%
Biggest drop
-13.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | beat | 2.06 | 2.21 | +7.5% | -0.8% | +2.5% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | miss | 1.91 | 1.88 | -1.3% | +1.8% | +3.1% | +5.9% |
| 2026-04-22 | beat | 1.31 | 1.45 | +10.5% | +0.3% | -13.6% | -17.1% |
| 2026-02-18 | beat | 1.82 | 1.83 | +0.6% | +3.4% | +3.5% | +3.7% |
| 2025-10-22 | beat | 1.73 | 1.80 | +4.2% | +3.0% | +15.2% | +5.1% |
| 2025-07-23 | miss | 1.66 | 1.65 | -0.4% | +0.3% | +6.9% | +7.0% |
| 2025-04-23 | miss | 1.12 | 1.11 | -1.1% | +3.4% | +1.0% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-19 | beat | 1.69 | 1.72 | +1.9% | -1.8% | +0.7% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 1.49 | 1.57 | +5.4% | +4.0% | +4.0% | +8.3% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 1.41 | 1.52 | +7.4% | -2.5% | -9.8% | -6.7% |
| 2024-04-24 | beat | 0.86 | 0.97 | +12.5% | -1.7% | +0.4% | -5.1% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 1.37 | 1.98 | +44.1% | +0.7% | +5.5% | +9.3% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 1.46 | 1.54 | +5.6% | -3.1% | -1.8% | +0.5% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 1.32 | 1.33 | +0.4% | -4.2% | -5.3% | -0.9% |
| 2023-04-26 | beat | 0.78 | 0.89 | +13.7% | +4.3% | -4.0% | -6.9% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 1.22 | 1.30 | +6.9% | +3.4% | +1.1% | +3.7% |
| 2022-10-27 | miss | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.3% | -1.1% | -7.4% | -11.7% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 1.19 | 1.27 | +7.0% | -1.9% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 2022-04-28 | miss | 0.72 | 0.69 | -4.5% | -0.8% | +2.2% | -2.7% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.95 | 1.19 | +24.7% | +2.4% | -3.7% | -5.3% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 1.03 | 1.19 | +15.8% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +7.9% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.73 | 0.88 | +21.3% | -0.7% | -5.5% | -12.6% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.21 | 0.39 | +90.0% | +3.7% | +0.2% | -2.8% |
| 2021-02-24 | miss | 0.61 | 0.32 | -48.0% | -0.2% | +1.4% | +1.5% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.36 | 0.83 | +132.4% | -1.5% | -5.6% | +5.2% |
| 2020-07-30 | miss | -1.10 | -1.11 | -0.8% | -4.1% | -6.5% | -6.4% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.55 | -0.98 | -279.8% | +0.6% | -7.2% | -7.7% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 1.56 | 1.58 | +1.1% | +1.4% | -3.3% | -4.5% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 1.47 | 1.57 | +6.7% | +2.2% | +1.6% | +6.1% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 1.36 | 1.45 | +7.0% | +2.1% | +3.8% | -15.3% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.90 | 1.03 | +13.8% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +0.3% |
| 2019-02-26 | beat | 1.27 | 1.27 | +0.1% | -0.2% | -3.8% | -2.5% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 1.42 | 1.47 | +3.7% | +2.0% | +19.0% | +19.0% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 1.20 | 1.25 | +4.2% | +0.6% | -3.9% | -2.9% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 1.28 | 1.33 | +4.0% | -0.8% | -5.6% | -3.6% |
| 2018-02-14 | beat | 1.35 | 1.47 | +8.6% | +0.0% | +3.2% | +1.6% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 2.01 | 2.03 | +1.1% | -5.8% | -3.9% | -1.2% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 1.50 | 1.53 | +2.3% | +1.9% | -0.7% | -5.2% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 1.11 | 1.14 | +3.1% | +1.6% | +9.0% | +4.1% |
| 2017-02-15 | beat | 1.30 | 1.35 | +4.0% | +0.1% | +4.8% | +1.8% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | 1.88 | 1.89 | +0.3% | -2.9% | -6.7% | -4.2% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 1.37 | 1.40 | +1.9% | -5.4% | -8.5% | -11.0% |
| 2016-04-26 | beat | 1.11 | 1.12 | +1.4% | -6.4% | -7.5% | -6.7% |
| 2016-02-09 | beat | 0.97 | 0.98 | +1.4% | +2.7% | +2.6% | +11.9% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 1.68 | 1.78 | +6.1% | +3.9% | +5.4% | +8.1% |
| 2015-07-28 | beat | 1.26 | 1.32 | +5.0% | +1.1% | -1.2% | -0.5% |
| 2015-04-28 | beat | 0.92 | 1.03 | +11.7% | -0.1% | -4.1% | -5.1% |
| 2015-02-10 | beat | 0.84 | 0.90 | +6.8% | +5.3% | +8.7% | +12.8% |
| 2014-10-24 | beat | 1.63 | 1.67 | +2.7% | -3.2% | -2.7% | -0.9% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 1.14 | 1.17 | +2.8% | +1.2% | +1.9% | -1.3% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +4.7% | +1.2% | +2.2% | -2.2% |
| 2014-02-07 | beat | 0.73 | 0.73 | +0.1% | -4.1% | -2.8% | -1.8% |
| 2013-10-23 | beat | 1.36 | 1.41 | +3.9% | -1.2% | -0.1% | +1.4% |
| 2013-07-24 | beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +8.2% | +2.6% | +2.2% | +4.0% |
| 2013-04-24 | beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +6.2% | +0.9% | -4.0% | -6.6% |
| 2013-02-06 | beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +5.3% | +1.5% | +6.8% | +5.1% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | 1.10 | 1.13 | +2.3% | +1.2% | -1.9% | -5.2% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 0.84 | 0.87 | +3.4% | +3.2% | +2.9% | +6.2% |
| 2012-04-25 | beat | 0.55 | 0.60 | +8.4% | +1.8% | +3.9% | +9.0% |
| 2012-02-08 | beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +6.4% | +1.6% | +6.1% | +5.0% |
Not investment advice.
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