TNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.4%
Next 1 month
+4.3%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): -6.0% median,
38% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 8
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.33%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.82 +4.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$7M/day volume
71% volatility
-72% 1-year
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -75% from the high
$4.96$20.56
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, before open, in 7 days) · EPS est. -2.24.
1-day std dev
8.0%
Finished up
35%
Biggest pop
+32.9%
Biggest drop
-25.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 54 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | -2.62 | -2.47 | +5.6% | -3.4% | +4.7% | +5.2% |
| 2026-05-11 | miss | -2.54 | -2.93 | -15.3% | -9.4% | -5.9% | -2.8% |
| 2026-03-12 | miss | -2.94 | -3.98 | -35.4% | +1.9% | -1.3% | +11.9% |
| 2025-11-10 | miss | -2.75 | -3.70 | -34.5% | +1.8% | +4.1% | -3.1% |
| 2025-08-11 | miss | -1.88 | -4.00 | -112.8% | +1.5% | +32.9% | -18.8% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -3.09 | -2.64 | +14.5% | +0.8% | +5.2% | +55.8% |
| 2025-03-18 | beat | -768.00 | -10.18 | +98.7% | -5.4% | -19.8% | +40.1% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -736.00 | -25.56 | +96.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +14.3% |
| 2024-08-16 | beat | -720.00 | -464.22 | +35.5% | +33.3% | +0.0% | -17.8% |
| 2024-05-13 | beat | -1136.00 | -576.00 | +49.3% | +0.0% | +5.9% | +5.9% |
| 2024-04-01 | beat | -4400.00 | 1760.00 | +140.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | -4496.00 | -5856.00 | -30.2% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2023-08-10 | miss | -5264.00 | -8576.00 | -62.9% | -2.0% | -1.0% | -6.1% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | -11400.00 | -10400.00 | +8.8% | +0.0% | -1.9% | -40.9% |
| 2023-03-13 | beat | -28200.00 | -11200.00 | +60.3% | +0.0% | +12.9% | -4.8% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | -26400.00 | -13800.00 | +47.7% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +8.9% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | -28600.00 | -24400.00 | +14.7% | +2.5% | -3.8% | +0.6% |
| 2022-05-09 | -32000.00 | -32000.00 | — | -7.1% | -7.1% | -35.7% | |
| 2022-03-14 | miss | -32000.00 | -44800.00 | -40.0% | +4.5% | -4.5% | +9.1% |
| 2021-11-08 | beat | -44800.00 | -32000.00 | +28.6% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +5.5% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | -38400.00 | -44800.00 | -16.7% | +2.9% | +11.4% | -4.3% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | -38400.00 | -44800.00 | -16.7% | -6.8% | +1.0% | +5.8% |
| 2021-03-15 | beat | -48000.00 | -38400.00 | +20.0% | +1.5% | -3.1% | +5.3% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -70400.00 | -57600.00 | +18.2% | +1.8% | -5.4% | +8.9% |
| 2020-08-10 | miss | -134400.00 | -147200.00 | -9.5% | +0.9% | -3.4% | -11.2% |
| 2020-05-12 | miss | -134400.00 | -236800.00 | -76.2% | +1.4% | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2020-03-24 | miss | -953600.00 | -1830400.00 | -92.0% | -7.1% | -25.3% | -34.3% |
| 2019-11-08 | miss | -2784000.00 | -3641600.00 | -30.8% | -4.8% | -5.9% | -43.3% |
| 2019-08-12 | beat | -6272000.00 | -6080000.00 | +3.1% | -4.3% | -2.2% | +2.2% |
| 2019-05-13 | miss | -7424000.00 | -8256000.00 | -11.2% | -5.0% | -9.5% | -22.0% |
| 2019-03-18 | miss | -24960000.00 | -39040000.00 | -56.4% | -9.4% | -2.4% | -18.4% |
| 2018-11-09 | beat | -46293333.33 | -36480000.00 | +21.2% | +0.0% | -10.8% | -20.0% |
| 2018-08-13 | beat | -51840000.00 | -46720000.00 | +9.9% | +4.8% | +0.0% | +19.0% |
| 2018-05-11 | miss | -45120000.00 | -56320000.00 | -24.8% | +0.0% | +4.7% | +15.9% |
| 2018-03-09 | beat | -48853333.33 | -43520000.00 | +10.9% | -5.0% | -4.7% | -6.4% |
| 2017-11-06 | miss | -43200000.00 | -49280000.00 | -14.1% | +0.3% | -3.3% | -1.9% |
| 2017-08-11 | beat | -44160000.00 | -41600000.00 | +5.8% | +1.0% | -0.6% | -3.5% |
| 2017-05-12 | miss | -70080000.00 | -81280000.00 | -16.0% | -1.2% | +1.9% | +4.6% |
| 2017-04-13 | beat | -102400000.00 | -58240000.00 | +43.1% | -0.6% | -9.2% | -14.8% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | -217600000.00 | -185600000.00 | +14.7% | +2.2% | -4.3% | -8.7% |
| 2016-08-05 | beat | -353600000.00 | -320000000.00 | +9.5% | +1.4% | +10.1% | +20.8% |
| 2016-05-06 | miss | -396800000.00 | -473600000.00 | -19.4% | +0.5% | +11.9% | +41.2% |
| 2016-03-04 | miss | -406400000.00 | -454400000.00 | -11.8% | +0.4% | -2.4% | -6.9% |
| 2015-11-06 | miss | -382400000.00 | -460800000.00 | -20.5% | -0.8% | -4.7% | -8.2% |
| 2015-08-10 | miss | -401600000.00 | -467200000.00 | -16.3% | -0.7% | -3.7% | -7.7% |
| 2015-05-08 | miss | -328533333.33 | -454400000.00 | -38.3% | +0.7% | +4.0% | +3.3% |
| 2015-03-03 | miss | -454400000.00 | -531200000.00 | -16.9% | +0.5% | +2.2% | +18.1% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | -451200000.00 | -454400000.00 | -0.7% | -0.1% | -3.0% | -5.8% |
| 2014-08-08 | miss | -313600000.00 | -390400000.00 | -24.5% | +5.7% | +2.8% | +5.5% |
| 2014-05-13 | miss | -224000000.00 | -377600000.00 | -68.6% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.4% |
| 2014-03-28 | miss | -355200000.00 | -409600000.00 | -15.3% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +7.5% |
| 2013-11-13 | miss | -361600000.00 | -556800000.00 | -54.0% | -0.7% | +1.0% | +1.0% |
| 2013-08-14 | miss | -512000000.00 | -608000000.00 | -18.8% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -4.0% |
| 2013-05-07 | miss | -512000000.00 | -595200000.00 | -16.2% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -9.0% |
Not investment advice.
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