TNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.1%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+6.1%
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.27%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.61 +6.1% · Seasonal tilt (4y) -0.1%
$2M/day volume
100% volatility
-71% 1-year
52-week range · 0% of the way up · -77% from the high
$0.36$1.56
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, after close, in 8 days) · EPS est. -0.10.
1-day std dev
9.3%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+30.9%
Biggest drop
-12.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 21 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.07 | -0.09 | -35.9% | -0.6% | -7.5% | -6.6% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -0.09 | -0.09 | -3.8% | +1.3% | +7.3% | +18.4% |
| 2026-03-11 | beat | -0.12 | -0.12 | +1.0% | -1.0% | +4.0% | -6.4% |
| 2025-11-10 | beat | -0.15 | -0.12 | +19.3% | -6.2% | +11.7% | -1.6% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | -0.19 | -0.14 | +24.8% | +0.7% | -1.8% | +40.3% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | -0.20 | -0.24 | -17.1% | +1.1% | -2.0% | -2.9% |
| 2025-03-10 | beat | -0.31 | -0.28 | +11.1% | +2.4% | +6.7% | +35.0% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | -0.37 | -0.30 | +18.3% | +4.9% | +12.1% | -9.4% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -0.39 | -0.34 | +12.8% | +1.5% | -1.1% | +7.8% |
| 2024-05-14 | beat | -0.42 | -0.40 | +5.1% | +4.3% | -3.4% | +0.5% |
| 2024-03-18 | beat | -0.44 | -0.40 | +8.8% | -0.8% | -6.0% | +0.2% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | -0.48 | -0.39 | +19.6% | +4.6% | -3.6% | -7.7% |
| 2023-08-09 | beat | -0.51 | -0.45 | +12.1% | +1.4% | +5.5% | -8.6% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | -0.55 | -0.43 | +21.5% | +2.6% | +7.6% | +6.2% |
| 2023-03-08 | beat | -0.65 | -0.61 | +6.2% | -5.7% | -12.6% | -26.0% |
| 2022-11-10 | miss | -0.68 | -0.74 | -9.4% | -4.4% | +30.9% | +16.2% |
| 2022-08-10 | beat | -0.74 | -0.69 | +7.3% | +2.6% | -0.5% | -11.1% |
| 2022-05-11 | miss | -0.64 | -0.75 | -17.2% | -1.2% | +7.1% | -14.8% |
| 2022-03-23 | miss | -0.53 | -0.63 | -18.9% | +0.7% | +12.5% | +16.1% |
| 2021-11-10 | miss | -0.48 | -0.68 | -41.7% | +1.3% | +5.9% | -23.9% |
| 2021-09-08 | beat | -13.62 | -13.26 | +2.6% | -2.5% | +0.2% | -2.8% |
Not investment advice.
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