TPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+3.0%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +0.3% median,
50% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 30
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.81 +4.5% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$31M/day volume
49% volatility
+15% 1-year
-22% from ATH
52-week range · 49% of the way up · -22% from the high
$57.90$102.30
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.34.
1-day std dev
12.7%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+34.4%
Biggest drop
-26.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 1.26 | 1.74 | +37.6% | +12.1% | +13.3% | +12.0% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.96 | 1.03 | +7.8% | -12.4% | -15.5% | -14.4% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | 0.92 | 0.54 | -41.3% | -11.4% | -15.7% | -18.5% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.89 | 1.15 | +28.6% | +11.9% | -0.8% | -12.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +12.4% | +35.1% | +16.5% | +21.1% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.09 | 0.53 | +489.9% | +21.8% | +26.4% | +53.8% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | 0.10 | -1.51 | -1653.2% | +13.3% | +34.4% | +21.5% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | 0.33 | -1.92 | -677.8% | -0.7% | +9.8% | -9.0% |
| 2024-08-01 | miss | 0.23 | 0.02 | -91.5% | -20.4% | -26.8% | -19.9% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | -0.16 | 0.30 | +282.7% | +13.8% | +28.0% | +29.5% |
| 2024-02-28 | miss | 0.19 | -0.91 | -567.8% | +14.7% | +22.6% | +25.9% |
| 2023-11-09 | miss | 0.12 | -0.71 | -716.8% | -1.6% | -0.1% | +11.3% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | -0.04 | -0.72 | -1585.0% | -3.3% | -3.8% | +4.8% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | — | -0.95 | -74318.8% | -13.3% | +1.0% | -6.7% |
| 2023-03-15 | miss | 0.15 | -1.08 | -820.0% | -3.9% | -14.1% | -18.1% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | -0.13 | -0.63 | -384.6% | +4.1% | +6.0% | +7.7% |
| 2022-08-05 | miss | 0.39 | -1.23 | -419.5% | -8.5% | -14.2% | -20.5% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 0.09 | -0.42 | -546.4% | -4.8% | +0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +12.8% | -10.8% | -8.4% | -14.2% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | 0.63 | 0.30 | -52.7% | -4.5% | -8.2% | +5.1% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.51 | 0.61 | +19.4% | +4.0% | +2.1% | +5.0% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +43.3% | +0.8% | -1.4% | -6.1% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +13.7% | -2.4% | -4.2% | -12.8% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.65 | 0.72 | +11.1% | +6.1% | +0.9% | -1.4% |
| 2020-07-29 | miss | 0.41 | 0.37 | -10.8% | +4.0% | +0.3% | +3.6% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.12 | 0.34 | +194.6% | +10.0% | +29.7% | +7.8% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +21.8% | -15.8% | +1.1% | +16.4% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | 0.63 | 0.38 | -39.7% | +8.4% | +17.6% | +16.6% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | 0.46 | 0.18 | -60.6% | -4.8% | -9.7% | -7.4% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | 0.04 | -0.01 | -124.0% | -6.2% | -12.5% | -15.2% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | 0.79 | 0.98 | +23.9% | +12.6% | +7.4% | +5.1% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | 0.73 | 0.42 | -42.8% | -15.0% | -5.1% | -6.1% |
| 2018-08-06 | beat | 0.25 | 0.49 | +96.1% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +5.5% |
| 2018-05-09 | miss | 0.25 | 0.01 | -95.9% | -5.8% | -7.7% | -2.6% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +8.2% | +6.6% | +10.5% | +6.9% |
| 2017-11-09 | miss | 0.73 | 0.47 | -35.2% | -9.1% | -4.3% | -7.1% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.9% | -1.3% | +4.8% | -2.7% |
| 2017-05-03 | miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -6.5% | -3.7% | -1.2% | -7.2% |
| 2017-02-23 | miss | 0.60 | 0.60 | -0.1% | +0.7% | -4.9% | +7.6% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.57 | 0.57 | +0.2% | -1.6% | +10.5% | +20.4% |
| 2016-08-02 | miss | 0.51 | 0.43 | -15.9% | -6.6% | -4.0% | -4.1% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | 0.18 | 0.31 | +72.2% | +12.5% | +26.1% | +36.4% |
| 2016-02-29 | beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +33.3% | +4.0% | +10.0% | +11.3% |
| 2015-11-13 | miss | 0.82 | 0.68 | -17.5% | -0.9% | +3.6% | +3.8% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | 0.52 | 0.41 | -20.8% | -12.8% | -15.2% | -15.8% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 0.23 | 0.10 | -56.9% | +0.4% | +1.2% | +2.1% |
| 2015-02-26 | miss | 0.71 | 0.56 | -20.8% | -8.0% | -10.1% | -18.7% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +6.0% | +0.5% | +0.1% | -6.8% |
| 2014-08-05 | beat | 0.48 | 0.58 | +19.6% | +1.9% | +5.7% | +5.0% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | 0.20 | 0.33 | +61.5% | +7.7% | +9.5% | +7.9% |
| 2014-02-24 | beat | 0.61 | 0.68 | +11.4% | +8.9% | +6.5% | +14.7% |
| 2013-11-04 | miss | 0.55 | 0.49 | -11.3% | -6.0% | -3.2% | -6.5% |
| 2013-08-09 | miss | 0.36 | 0.32 | -12.2% | -3.2% | -4.3% | -1.2% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +31.6% | +2.0% | +11.9% | +10.3% |
| 2013-02-21 | beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.1% | +0.0% | -4.2% | -7.2% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +13.5% | +1.3% | +18.4% | +21.7% |
| 2012-08-06 | miss | 0.34 | 0.16 | -53.1% | -7.7% | -12.8% | -9.5% |
| 2012-05-04 | miss | 0.42 | 0.08 | -80.8% | -6.3% | -14.5% | -17.2% |
| 2012-03-01 | miss | 0.75 | 0.50 | -33.1% | -6.4% | -11.1% | -8.0% |
| 2011-11-03 | miss | 0.76 | 0.74 | -3.2% | -1.8% | +2.0% | +7.9% |
Not investment advice.
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