TRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +5.0% median,
65% of the last 26 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 87
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.39 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$77M/day volume
50% volatility
+5% 1-year
-64% from ATH
52-week range · 97% of the way up · -1% from the high
$29.77$51.75
Congressional trades in TREX Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 3 sells · $18K–$95K disclosed · latest filing May 12, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.48.
1-day std dev
10.8%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+25.6%
Biggest drop
-31.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -2.1% | +1.0% | +4.9% | +11.0% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 0.51 | 0.59 | +16.1% | +9.6% | -1.8% | -3.3% |
| 2026-02-24 | beat | -0.01 | 0.04 | +382.3% | +7.7% | +0.6% | -3.0% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | 0.57 | 0.51 | -10.2% | -27.7% | -31.1% | -29.7% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 0.71 | 0.73 | +2.8% | -2.0% | +2.3% | -4.9% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.6% | +5.1% | -0.9% | +4.3% |
| 2025-02-24 | beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +109.4% | +2.4% | +1.2% | -5.6% |
| 2024-10-28 | beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +15.6% | +5.2% | +6.2% | +8.6% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +3.1% | -20.3% | -21.5% | -21.0% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 0.72 | 0.82 | +14.2% | -6.8% | -6.5% | -6.2% |
| 2024-02-26 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +4.8% | +3.6% | -1.8% | -1.0% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +14.5% | +5.3% | +1.6% | +10.6% |
| 2023-07-31 | beat | 0.54 | 0.71 | +32.2% | +7.0% | +9.8% | +6.7% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +13.7% | +8.3% | +8.2% | -0.6% |
| 2023-02-27 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +6.8% | +3.1% | -0.5% | -0.7% |
| 2022-10-31 | miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -2.2% | -4.9% | -8.3% | -6.4% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 0.67 | 0.79 | +17.4% | -12.7% | -15.0% | -10.9% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.54 | 0.62 | +15.2% | +10.8% | +5.3% | +9.6% |
| 2022-02-28 | beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +4.0% | -4.8% | -9.5% | -25.5% |
| 2021-11-08 | beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +10.0% | +3.6% | +14.7% | +13.0% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 0.53 | 0.53 | +0.5% | -5.4% | +0.5% | +7.1% |
| 2021-05-10 | beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +10.5% | -1.5% | -1.6% | -7.9% |
| 2021-02-22 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.2% | -3.4% | -9.0% | -7.1% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +8.8% | +3.5% | -1.2% | -5.6% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 0.33 | 0.41 | +23.8% | -1.6% | -3.9% | -6.2% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | 0.30 | 0.37 | +21.7% | +6.8% | +9.3% | +13.5% |
| 2020-02-24 | beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +19.4% | +0.9% | +1.0% | -0.9% |
| 2019-10-28 | beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.2% | -5.9% | -8.4% | -4.5% |
| 2019-07-29 | 0.32 | 0.32 | — | +7.9% | +19.1% | +19.1% | |
| 2019-04-29 | miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -9.0% | -14.4% | -9.5% | -16.3% |
| 2019-02-14 | beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +19.4% | -5.0% | -2.0% | -1.8% |
| 2018-10-29 | beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +10.3% | -10.5% | +3.3% | +15.9% |
| 2018-07-30 | beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +12.2% | +6.4% | +21.3% | +23.6% |
| 2018-05-07 | beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +5.5% | +9.8% | +10.7% | +3.6% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +3.7% | +3.2% | -5.0% | -7.1% |
| 2017-10-30 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +23.6% | +13.3% | +25.6% | +18.8% |
| 2017-07-31 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +9.9% | +1.1% | +2.9% | +5.2% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.2% | +0.1% | -9.3% | -14.1% |
| 2017-02-21 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +3.9% | +4.2% | +1.9% | -2.6% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +7.8% | +4.8% | +11.1% | +26.5% |
| 2016-08-01 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +11.5% | +6.1% | +16.5% | +20.1% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +19.5% | +7.4% | -4.5% | -7.6% |
| 2016-02-23 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +16.7% | +6.1% | +9.8% | +20.2% |
| 2015-10-27 | miss | 0.07 | 0.07 | -8.2% | -3.2% | -5.8% | -6.4% |
| 2015-08-03 | beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +0.8% | -14.2% | -14.4% | -7.6% |
| 2015-05-08 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +7.2% | +10.4% | +3.7% | -0.9% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +9.4% | +1.0% | +7.4% | +8.0% |
| 2014-10-27 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +18.1% | +2.6% | +6.5% | +15.6% |
| 2014-08-04 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +4.5% | +5.2% | +15.1% | +26.6% |
| 2014-05-05 | miss | 0.12 | 0.09 | -21.5% | -9.3% | -9.8% | -13.5% |
| 2014-02-24 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +260.7% | +9.6% | +20.7% | +10.7% |
| 2013-10-25 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +27.2% | +5.8% | +24.6% | +29.2% |
| 2013-08-06 | miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -14.0% | -8.4% | -11.9% | -13.6% |
| 2013-05-03 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +11.6% | +1.8% | +7.5% | +11.6% |
| 2013-02-19 | beat | -0.02 | -0.02 | +21.2% | -2.5% | +6.0% | +3.0% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +118.2% | +6.2% | +6.7% | +12.3% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.07 | 0.07 | +11.3% | +1.8% | -4.1% | -6.9% |
| 2012-05-07 | beat | 0.06 | 0.09 | +47.0% | +4.1% | -6.5% | -5.9% |
| 2012-02-27 | miss | -0.05 | -0.07 | -33.6% | -4.4% | +0.4% | +2.3% |
| 2011-10-31 | beat | — | — | +100.0% | -0.6% | +9.1% | +16.9% |
Not investment advice.
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