TRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +1.1% median,
60% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 66
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.13%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.33 +0.8% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$43M/day volume
20% volatility
+12% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 41% of the way up · -17% from the high
$56.09$78.94
Congressional trades in TRNO Full tracker →
1 member · 9 buys / 6 sells · $29K–$260K disclosed · latest filing Mar 3, 2022.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.43.
1-day std dev
2.1%
Finished up
63%
Biggest pop
+6.0%
Biggest drop
-7.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 57 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.41 | 0.65 | +58.6% | +0.2% | -1.9% | -0.9% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +12.5% | +0.4% | +0.7% | -0.6% |
| 2026-02-04 | miss | 0.51 | 0.46 | -9.1% | -0.8% | +1.0% | +0.1% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +7.2% | +1.2% | +1.7% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +2.3% | +2.0% | +0.0% | -0.9% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.0% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +3.6% |
| 2025-02-04 | beat | 0.36 | 0.76 | +109.7% | +1.8% | +0.9% | +0.7% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +2.2% | +3.1% | +1.2% | +1.9% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.5% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +2.2% |
| 2024-05-08 | miss | 0.37 | 0.34 | -6.8% | +0.1% | +1.0% | +6.3% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 0.36 | 0.68 | +91.5% | +1.2% | +5.5% | +4.7% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +5.5% | +2.0% | +1.3% | -0.5% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.30 | 0.48 | +60.8% | -0.7% | +2.3% | +1.4% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -0.1% | -1.1% | +0.8% | +1.3% |
| 2023-02-08 | miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -4.7% | +2.5% | +0.1% | -2.1% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +2.0% | -2.1% | -1.4% | +6.6% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.28 | 1.30 | +363.0% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +5.1% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -7.0% | -1.8% | -3.4% | -10.9% |
| 2022-02-09 | 0.25 | 0.25 | — | -2.6% | -3.1% | -6.4% | |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +3.3% | +0.5% | +2.2% | +0.2% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +5.3% | +0.7% | +1.5% | -0.2% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +9.1% | +0.6% | +1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +6.4% | +0.2% | +2.7% | -1.6% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +1.4% | +0.3% | +1.0% | +1.0% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.19 | 0.19 | +0.9% | +4.6% | +1.0% | -3.3% |
| 2020-05-06 | 0.19 | 0.19 | — | +1.8% | -2.3% | -12.0% | |
| 2020-02-06 | miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -13.6% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +6.3% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +7.0% | +0.5% | +1.7% | +0.1% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.19 | 0.16 | -15.3% | +0.8% | +1.9% | +1.6% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +0.3% | +4.8% | +0.7% | +0.3% |
| 2019-02-06 | miss | 0.19 | 0.16 | -15.3% | +4.0% | +6.0% | +2.8% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +9.0% | +1.3% | -0.1% | +3.9% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +4.7% | +0.6% | +2.4% | +1.7% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +10.6% | +0.1% | +1.2% | +1.9% |
| 2018-02-07 | miss | 0.14 | 0.10 | -23.3% | -0.1% | -3.6% | +1.9% |
| 2017-11-01 | miss | 0.09 | 0.06 | -31.0% | +0.5% | +1.3% | -0.7% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.14 | 0.09 | -38.6% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +31.6% | +0.2% | +3.8% | +3.4% |
| 2017-02-08 | miss | 0.07 | 0.02 | -69.2% | +0.2% | +1.7% | +2.5% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | 0.07 | 0.01 | -83.5% | +1.0% | -0.7% | +0.4% |
| 2016-07-27 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -20.0% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +2.3% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -28.2% | -0.3% | +0.6% | +0.0% |
| 2016-02-10 | miss | 0.06 | -0.08 | -233.3% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +63.2% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -3.4% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +68.3% | +0.5% | +2.4% | +3.4% |
| 2015-05-06 | miss | 0.07 | -0.04 | -157.1% | +0.0% | -2.0% | -1.4% |
| 2015-02-11 | beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +150.0% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +2.3% |
| 2013-08-07 | — | — | — | -0.2% | -0.3% | +0.8% | |
| 2013-05-08 | — | -0.01 | — | +1.1% | +2.5% | +5.8% | |
| 2012-11-07 | miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -62.0% | -1.1% | -3.2% | -5.9% |
| 2012-08-07 | beat | -0.02 | 0.02 | +200.0% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -0.3% |
| 2012-05-07 | — | -0.02 | — | -0.5% | +0.0% | +2.9% | |
| 2012-02-22 | beat | -0.06 | 0.01 | +119.3% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +0.1% |
| 2011-11-08 | beat | -0.11 | -0.03 | +72.7% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +3.1% |
| 2011-08-08 | beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +14.4% | -1.3% | -7.5% | -3.1% |
| 2011-05-05 | miss | -0.07 | -0.11 | -57.1% | -0.2% | -0.2% | +1.3% |
| 2011-02-24 | -0.07 | -0.07 | — | +0.4% | +1.5% | -2.4% |
Not investment advice.
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