TRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.2%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +0.5% median,
75% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 79
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.46 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.0%
$10M/day volume
23% volatility
-25% 1-year
-70% from ATH
52-week range · 24% of the way up · -30% from the high
$5.60$9.35
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-16 (Tuesday, after close, in 108 days) · EPS est. 0.26.
1-day std dev
6.7%
Finished up
39%
Biggest pop
+16.6%
Biggest drop
-16.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | miss | 0.26 | 0.24 | -5.9% | +2.1% | +0.8% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | miss | 0.26 | 0.23 | -9.8% | -2.2% | -3.9% | -7.0% |
| 2026-04-28 | miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -0.7% | +3.1% | -0.8% | +2.5% |
| 2026-02-17 | miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -5.3% | -3.5% | -4.1% | -4.0% |
| 2025-10-28 | miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -1.6% | +0.4% | -2.8% | +1.5% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +6.2% | +3.8% | +4.4% | +5.4% |
| 2025-04-29 | miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -2.4% | -1.6% | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| 2025-02-18 | miss | 0.27 | 0.10 | -62.3% | -4.1% | -5.2% | -3.0% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +2.4% | +2.9% | +5.9% | +6.1% |
| 2024-07-30 | beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +12.8% | -1.5% | -1.4% | -7.4% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 0.18 | 0.30 | +66.7% | +7.4% | +13.1% | +20.2% |
| 2024-02-20 | miss | -0.15 | -2.05 | -1297.6% | -0.7% | +16.6% | +27.7% |
| 2023-10-30 | miss | -0.20 | -1.33 | -573.4% | +0.5% | -3.5% | -2.6% |
| 2023-08-01 | miss | 0.18 | -0.18 | -200.0% | -8.2% | -10.2% | -6.7% |
| 2023-05-02 | miss | 0.25 | 0.17 | -33.2% | -1.6% | -16.3% | -19.9% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | 0.19 | 0.30 | +58.5% | +8.3% | +16.1% | +7.4% |
| 2022-11-01 | miss | 0.25 | 0.19 | -24.8% | -10.5% | -14.2% | -19.2% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +2.2% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -2.7% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +10.6% | +3.1% | +1.0% | -5.7% |
| 2022-02-22 | miss | 0.31 | 0.23 | -25.2% | -2.2% | -3.2% | -1.5% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +11.1% | -0.3% | -0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +6.8% | -3.8% | -3.3% | -1.1% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +15.2% | -0.2% | +1.4% | -3.5% |
| 2021-02-24 | miss | 0.33 | 0.15 | -54.0% | -7.5% | -11.0% | -6.8% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.26 | 0.42 | +63.4% | +2.0% | +2.6% | +8.4% |
| 2020-07-29 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -7.7% | +0.6% | +3.7% | +3.9% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | 0.39 | -2.20 | -659.9% | -1.9% | -8.3% | -8.9% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +2.1% | +2.7% | +0.2% | -3.2% |
| 2019-10-28 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +4.2% | +1.4% | +2.1% | +0.8% |
| 2019-07-29 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.5% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -1.4% |
| 2019-04-29 | beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.7% | -0.8% | -0.6% | +0.4% |
| 2019-02-25 | miss | 0.44 | 0.43 | -1.7% | -0.3% | -0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2018-11-05 | miss | 0.44 | 0.42 | -4.0% | +1.5% | -0.6% | +0.6% |
| 2018-08-06 | beat | 0.44 | 0.44 | +0.1% | +0.5% | -1.1% | -4.5% |
| 2018-05-07 | miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -2.1% | -2.0% | -0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2018-02-26 | beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +3.0% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +1.4% |
| 2017-11-06 | miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -5.8% | -0.8% | -0.3% | +0.5% |
| 2017-08-24 | beat | 0.60 | 0.64 | +6.9% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +4.5% |
Not investment advice.
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