UGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
-0.9%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -0.2% median,
46% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 63
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.00%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.02 -0.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.8%
$52M/day volume
24% volatility
+16% 1-year
-35% from ATH
52-week range · 73% of the way up · -6% from the high
$31.65$41.34
Congressional trades in UGI Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 3 sells · $4K–$60K disclosed · latest filing May 19, 2023.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-18 (Wednesday, after close, in 15 days) · EPS est. -0.91.
1-day std dev
4.5%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+15.0%
Biggest drop
-10.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.13 | -0.20 | -53.9% | -0.9% | -3.5% | -0.8% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | 2.11 | 2.09 | -0.9% | -1.5% | -7.8% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | 1.26 | 1.26 | — | -2.2% | -6.3% | -5.3% | |
| 2025-11-20 | beat | -0.41 | -0.23 | +43.9% | -0.4% | +7.1% | +12.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | -0.09 | -0.01 | +89.3% | -4.9% | -2.0% | -1.2% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 1.81 | 2.21 | +22.3% | +1.4% | +4.1% | +5.2% |
| 2025-02-05 | beat | 1.19 | 1.37 | +14.8% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +3.1% |
| 2024-11-21 | beat | -0.29 | -0.17 | +41.4% | +1.9% | +15.0% | +16.1% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | -0.06 | 0.06 | +205.9% | -2.7% | -3.9% | -0.9% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 1.64 | 1.97 | +20.1% | -4.0% | -6.4% | -3.7% |
| 2024-01-31 | beat | 1.03 | 1.20 | +16.5% | +2.7% | +13.4% | +5.8% |
| 2023-11-16 | beat | -0.06 | 0.02 | +130.8% | +2.6% | +3.8% | +1.2% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | -2.5% | -5.3% | -10.9% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 1.81 | 1.68 | -7.0% | -0.7% | -7.9% | -10.8% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 0.95 | 1.14 | +20.3% | +1.0% | +5.3% | -4.8% |
| 2022-11-17 | beat | -0.05 | — | +100.0% | +3.9% | +5.4% | +4.9% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 0.12 | 0.06 | -49.1% | -0.2% | -5.1% | -5.1% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 1.84 | 1.91 | +3.8% | -0.5% | +0.0% | +2.1% |
| 2022-02-02 | miss | 1.24 | 0.93 | -24.9% | -1.4% | -4.6% | -14.5% |
| 2021-11-18 | miss | -0.26 | -0.34 | -31.9% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -1.6% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +80.9% | +1.7% | +1.8% | +3.2% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 1.73 | 1.99 | +15.2% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +3.2% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 1.10 | 1.18 | +7.2% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +6.9% |
| 2020-11-18 | beat | -0.31 | -0.14 | +54.2% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +4.8% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | -0.16 | 0.08 | +149.2% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +5.4% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 1.52 | 1.56 | +2.6% | -2.2% | +1.1% | +2.5% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | 1.00 | 1.17 | +16.6% | +1.0% | +1.9% | -0.8% |
| 2019-11-11 | miss | -0.03 | -0.10 | -214.8% | -6.1% | -10.4% | -5.4% |
| 2019-08-05 | miss | 0.19 | 0.13 | -31.3% | -0.6% | -3.5% | -4.8% |
| 2019-05-06 | miss | 1.56 | 1.43 | -8.5% | -0.6% | -1.9% | -1.5% |
| 2019-02-05 | miss | 1.11 | 0.81 | -26.9% | -3.0% | -8.3% | -6.9% |
| 2018-11-12 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -39.1% | +1.0% | +2.5% | +0.0% |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -32.7% | -1.9% | -0.9% | +3.2% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 1.56 | 1.69 | +8.6% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +3.0% |
| 2018-01-31 | beat | 0.93 | 1.01 | +9.0% | +3.5% | +0.6% | -7.1% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +69.1% | +1.2% | -0.1% | +0.1% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | 0.16 | 0.09 | -44.9% | -2.3% | -5.1% | -5.1% |
| 2017-05-01 | miss | 1.35 | 1.31 | -2.8% | -1.2% | -2.4% | -1.3% |
| 2017-02-01 | beat | 0.76 | 0.91 | +19.3% | +0.8% | +2.4% | +3.5% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | -0.06 | -0.05 | +12.2% | -1.9% | -7.1% | -2.8% |
| 2016-08-01 | beat | 0.07 | 0.23 | +216.4% | +1.2% | +2.3% | +2.4% |
| 2016-05-02 | miss | 1.25 | 1.24 | -0.8% | +1.2% | -0.6% | +3.9% |
| 2016-02-01 | miss | 0.74 | 0.64 | -13.1% | -1.1% | +0.4% | +5.6% |
| 2015-11-09 | beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +141.4% | -1.7% | -1.4% | -1.9% |
| 2015-08-03 | miss | 0.15 | 0.03 | -80.4% | -1.4% | -4.1% | -3.4% |
| 2015-05-04 | beat | 1.20 | 1.23 | +2.9% | -0.3% | -2.8% | +0.8% |
| 2015-02-06 | miss | 0.75 | 0.66 | -12.4% | -0.5% | -1.1% | -4.2% |
| 2014-11-12 | -0.08 | -0.08 | — | -0.3% | -2.2% | -2.3% | |
| 2014-07-29 | miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -1.6% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -4.1% |
| 2014-05-07 | beat | 1.05 | 1.27 | +20.5% | +2.6% | +0.0% | +1.9% |
| 2014-02-03 | 0.71 | 0.71 | — | +0.7% | -1.4% | +2.0% | |
| 2013-11-18 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +7.5% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -1.1% |
| 2013-07-30 | beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +74.3% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +0.5% |
| 2013-04-30 | miss | 1.01 | 1.01 | -0.7% | +0.1% | -1.2% | +0.1% |
| 2013-01-31 | miss | 0.70 | 0.60 | -13.9% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +2.5% |
| 2012-11-08 | miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -7.3% | -0.5% | +0.4% | -2.9% |
| 2012-08-07 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -210.6% | +0.0% | -1.5% | +0.3% |
| 2012-04-26 | miss | 0.86 | 0.81 | -5.6% | -0.7% | +1.1% | +7.1% |
| 2012-01-25 | miss | 0.64 | 0.51 | -20.4% | -5.4% | -4.2% | -3.2% |
| 2011-11-08 | miss | -0.04 | -0.08 | -91.9% | -0.7% | -1.8% | +0.5% |
Not investment advice.
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