UGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): +1.3% median,
54% of the last 26 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 0
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.57 +1.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$34M/day volume
38% volatility
+45% 1-year
-59% from ATH
52-week range · 45% of the way up · -31% from the high
$3.60$8.28
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-11 (Wednesday, after close, in 9 days) · EPS est. 0.28.
1-day std dev
4.6%
Finished up
38%
Biggest pop
+16.7%
Biggest drop
-9.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +25.0% | +2.1% | +5.3% | +12.0% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +23.3% | +1.0% | -1.5% | -1.2% |
| 2026-03-04 | beat | 0.07 | 0.07 | +6.4% | -0.6% | -0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2025-11-12 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +14.7% | -3.0% | -4.2% | -5.4% |
| 2025-08-13 | beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +23.7% | +4.7% | +3.5% | +3.8% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -24.3% | -2.0% | -3.4% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -20.1% | +3.5% | +4.3% | -0.4% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +11.3% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -9.0% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -20.1% | -4.0% | -4.3% | +3.1% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -26.5% | -1.7% | +0.2% | -7.0% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +5.6% | -4.7% | -4.5% | -4.8% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.06 | 0.16 | +156.4% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +11.2% |
| 2023-08-08 | miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -6.0% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -4.4% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +27.9% | +1.1% | +2.2% | +19.4% |
| 2023-02-14 | beat | 0.02 | 0.14 | +522.6% | +1.6% | +2.0% | +8.9% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +17.6% | -0.4% | -1.9% | -9.4% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +140.2% | +3.5% | +1.6% | +3.9% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +91.0% | +1.3% | -0.8% | +11.7% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +15.5% | -4.0% | +0.7% | -5.3% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +68.5% | -2.9% | -7.1% | +3.8% |
| 2021-08-10 | miss | 0.04 | -0.01 | -112.5% | -2.4% | +0.0% | -15.3% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -51.2% | -1.7% | -7.0% | -9.0% |
| 2021-02-23 | beat | 0.07 | 0.07 | +4.4% | -2.0% | -0.5% | -18.2% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -34.5% | +10.7% | +16.7% | +20.7% |
| 2020-08-11 | miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -63.5% | +0.9% | -1.7% | +0.6% |
| 2020-05-13 | miss | 0.07 | 0.03 | -63.8% | +7.0% | +13.6% | +28.9% |
| 2020-02-20 | miss | 0.11 | 0.06 | -41.5% | -1.0% | -2.4% | -16.5% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +39.5% | +5.9% | +6.8% | +2.3% |
| 2019-08-14 | miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -38.2% | -4.4% | -8.1% | -9.0% |
| 2019-05-14 | beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +10.2% | -3.6% | -0.8% | -4.1% |
| 2019-02-20 | miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -1.4% | -5.3% | -5.3% | -3.7% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | 0.13 | 0.08 | -36.7% | -2.9% | -7.0% | -4.0% |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | 0.11 | 0.06 | -43.8% | +7.3% | +8.0% | +9.2% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -41.9% | -6.9% | -9.3% | -11.0% |
| 2018-02-21 | miss | 0.12 | 0.12 | -1.0% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -5.9% |
| 2017-11-08 | miss | 0.16 | 0.16 | -0.7% | -4.4% | -3.8% | -7.0% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -20.1% | -5.3% | -3.4% | -2.3% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +18.6% | +0.0% | -0.2% | -10.6% |
| 2017-02-22 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +14.4% | +1.6% | -1.5% | -9.0% |
| 2016-11-09 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +15.4% | -4.8% | -8.0% | -6.4% |
| 2016-08-10 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +22.1% | +2.3% | +3.5% | +4.0% |
| 2016-05-12 | miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -1.6% | -1.0% | -0.7% | -7.1% |
| 2016-02-18 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +12.9% | +2.0% | +1.3% | +3.1% |
| 2015-11-04 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -24.1% | -0.8% | -1.6% | -3.2% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.09 | 0.09 | +1.4% | -1.7% | -3.1% | -7.0% |
| 2015-02-26 | miss | 0.14 | 0.12 | -13.9% | +0.3% | +0.0% | -4.3% |
| 2014-11-06 | miss | 0.14 | 0.12 | -14.5% | -2.9% | -4.9% | -4.3% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +8.1% | +2.2% | +1.6% | +6.4% |
| 2014-05-15 | beat | 0.10 | 0.10 | +1.8% | -1.0% | -2.2% | -7.0% |
| 2014-02-19 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +4.5% | +0.3% | +0.2% | +5.1% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -3.1% | -1.0% | -4.1% | -2.5% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +0.3% | +3.6% | +0.3% | +0.0% |
| 2012-11-08 | beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +14.3% | +1.5% | +0.9% | -2.6% |
| 2012-08-01 | miss | 0.11 | 0.11 | -4.2% | +1.3% | +1.5% | -1.0% |
| 2011-05-12 | beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +1.8% | +1.7% | -2.6% | +1.1% |
| 2011-02-23 | miss | 0.12 | 0.03 | -70.0% | +1.0% | +1.1% | +4.3% |
| 2010-11-10 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +1.9% | -1.2% | -2.0% | -0.5% |
| 2010-08-12 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +17.8% | +0.3% | +0.8% | +6.4% |
| 2010-05-05 | miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -28.4% | -0.8% | -4.6% | +2.2% |
| 2010-02-25 | miss | 0.08 | 0.05 | -35.0% | -0.8% | +1.2% | +3.7% |
Not investment advice.
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