USModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+6.0%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +5.3% median,
51% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 16
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.30%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.20 +5.3% · Seasonal tilt +0.7%
$2M/day volume
62% volatility
-30% 1-year
52-week range · 2% of the way up · -55% from the high
$10.44$23.75
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-12-10 (Thursday, after close, in 39 days) · EPS est. -0.42.
1-day std dev
3.7%
Finished up
27%
Biggest pop
+7.2%
Biggest drop
-7.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 22 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | beat | -0.42 | -0.28 | +33.3% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +2.6% |
| 2026-07-29 | miss | -0.18 | -0.33 | -78.4% | +1.3% | +4.6% | +16.4% |
| 2026-03-16 | miss | -0.13 | -0.35 | -169.2% | -0.8% | -5.1% | -17.9% |
| 2025-12-10 | miss | -0.13 | -0.31 | -138.5% | -2.8% | -0.3% | -0.7% |
| 2025-09-15 | beat | -0.20 | -0.15 | +25.0% | +0.6% | -1.7% | +5.5% |
| 2025-07-29 | miss | -0.15 | -0.25 | -63.9% | -2.2% | -7.2% | +4.7% |
| 2025-03-17 | miss | -0.20 | -0.54 | -170.0% | +1.0% | +3.9% | +5.1% |
| 2024-12-16 | beat | -0.23 | -0.20 | +14.3% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -5.6% |
| 2024-07-29 | beat | -0.32 | -0.22 | +32.1% | +1.1% | -2.3% | -7.9% |
| 2024-03-18 | beat | -0.27 | -0.18 | +33.3% | +0.0% | -1.4% | +1.7% |
| 2023-07-31 | beat | -0.25 | -0.13 | +49.4% | -0.7% | -0.9% | -9.6% |
| 2023-03-17 | beat | -0.32 | -0.32 | +0.7% | +1.9% | +7.2% | +8.1% |
| 2022-12-15 | beat | -0.30 | -0.23 | +23.3% | +0.7% | +1.4% | +4.9% |
| 2022-03-17 | miss | -0.44 | -0.61 | -38.6% | -0.6% | -2.0% | -6.1% |
| 2021-12-14 | miss | -0.49 | -0.61 | -24.5% | -3.2% | -3.4% | +4.0% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | -0.41 | -0.02 | +95.1% | +0.9% | -0.8% | -1.6% |
| 2021-03-17 | miss | -0.47 | -0.67 | -42.5% | +0.2% | +5.9% | -6.4% |
| 2018-12-14 | miss | -0.70 | -1.70 | -142.9% | -3.2% | +0.0% | -12.9% |
| 2018-09-20 | miss | -0.70 | -0.80 | -14.3% | +1.9% | -4.7% | -0.9% |
| 2018-07-30 | miss | -0.90 | -1.60 | -77.8% | +2.3% | -2.3% | -2.3% |
| 2018-03-16 | miss | -1.10 | -1.20 | -9.1% | -1.1% | -3.2% | -11.7% |
| 2017-12-15 | beat | -2.20 | -1.30 | +40.9% | +2.3% | +4.5% | +17.4% |
Not investment advice.
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