VEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+2.7%
Next 1 month
+6.4%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +3.9% median,
71% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 5
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.66 +6.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$33M/day volume
71% volatility
+32% 1-year
-68% from ATH
52-week range · 21% of the way up · -55% from the high
$26.00$86.63
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.43.
1-day std dev
9.1%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+25.2%
Biggest drop
-24.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +16.1% | +5.8% | -2.5% | +1.2% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 0.23 | 0.14 | -39.2% | +25.7% | +25.2% | +21.6% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | 0.26 | 0.24 | -8.0% | +7.2% | +7.8% | +11.9% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +28.5% | +0.2% | -1.0% | -0.5% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.23 | 0.36 | +59.8% | +14.0% | +15.0% | +21.6% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +15.5% | -3.1% | +5.3% | +12.5% |
| 2025-02-12 | beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +2.0% | +0.2% | +2.6% | +4.6% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +2.0% | +1.5% | -3.4% | -9.3% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -2.4% | -6.6% | -6.3% | +2.7% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.3% | +3.2% | +4.8% | +8.6% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 0.42 | 0.51 | +20.9% | -1.1% | +0.5% | -0.7% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 0.37 | 0.53 | +44.8% | +9.1% | +8.6% | +13.1% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +20.0% | +2.8% | +6.8% | +5.3% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | 0.20 | 0.30 | +48.5% | +1.4% | +5.2% | +16.8% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +18.1% | +0.7% | +6.2% | +2.0% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +9.7% | -0.6% | +1.8% | +9.6% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +19.8% | +0.3% | -4.5% | +4.8% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +7.7% | -3.1% | -13.3% | -1.5% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 0.37 | 0.43 | +17.4% | +2.9% | -7.1% | -4.5% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +14.8% | +6.0% | +9.8% | +7.3% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 0.27 | 0.35 | +31.2% | +4.0% | -3.6% | -3.8% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +10.3% | +3.1% | -0.1% | -3.9% |
| 2021-02-11 | miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -5.8% | -2.7% | +2.6% | +1.7% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +10.0% | -1.2% | -0.9% | +6.7% |
| 2020-08-03 | beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +57.1% | +4.8% | -1.7% | -4.8% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.06 | 0.22 | +282.6% | +9.3% | +19.2% | -5.9% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +33.3% | +4.2% | +10.4% | -15.3% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | — | 0.05 | +1401.5% | -0.1% | +16.2% | +3.0% |
| 2019-08-05 | beat | -0.09 | -0.06 | +35.1% | +14.3% | +12.0% | +3.2% |
| 2019-05-06 | beat | -0.21 | -0.14 | +34.1% | +11.9% | +11.0% | +0.8% |
| 2019-02-11 | miss | -0.16 | -0.16 | -1.6% | -12.2% | +2.5% | +6.2% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +46.7% | -30.2% | -12.6% | -5.7% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +19.1% | -23.7% | -19.5% | -21.7% |
| 2018-05-07 | beat | 0.06 | 0.20 | +242.9% | +12.9% | -2.3% | -4.4% |
| 2018-02-12 | beat | 0.09 | 0.19 | +102.7% | +10.3% | +13.9% | +21.5% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.09 | +217.7% | -0.9% | +2.0% | -11.2% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 0.06 | 0.15 | +140.4% | -16.1% | -24.1% | -28.6% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +13.6% | -4.0% | -1.5% | -1.3% |
| 2017-02-16 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +31.9% | +0.4% | +2.2% | +5.2% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | -0.15 | -0.05 | +66.5% | +10.6% | +6.6% | +20.9% |
| 2016-08-01 | beat | -0.21 | -0.19 | +8.3% | +18.8% | +10.3% | +20.8% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | -0.29 | -0.15 | +47.6% | -5.8% | -0.3% | -4.3% |
| 2016-02-22 | beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +156.7% | -18.6% | -10.6% | -2.7% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +8.9% | -17.1% | -12.3% | -6.8% |
| 2015-08-03 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +18.0% | -3.9% | -6.9% | -9.0% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | -0.10 | -0.01 | +90.5% | +6.2% | +6.5% | +11.3% |
| 2015-02-17 | beat | 0.04 | 0.13 | +217.6% | +2.7% | +0.6% | -3.9% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | -0.11 | -0.02 | +81.3% | +3.8% | +13.5% | +15.3% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +10.6% | -0.8% | -3.0% | -1.8% |
| 2014-05-05 | beat | -0.16 | -0.06 | +62.3% | -2.0% | -7.4% | -11.2% |
| 2014-02-19 | miss | -0.33 | -0.42 | -27.4% | +3.0% | -0.9% | -3.0% |
| 2013-11-08 | miss | -0.04 | -0.08 | -81.0% | -1.8% | -1.5% | -4.7% |
| 2013-11-04 | miss | -0.01 | -0.03 | -254.6% | +9.2% | +10.1% | +4.3% |
| 2012-10-22 | beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +8.2% | -6.5% | +7.0% | +8.9% |
| 2012-07-26 | miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -1.5% | -0.3% | +2.3% | +2.2% |
| 2012-04-30 | beat | 0.21 | 0.49 | +132.7% | +13.3% | +15.3% | +21.6% |
| 2012-02-06 | beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +8.5% | +0.6% | +0.8% | +1.7% |
| 2011-10-24 | beat | 1.12 | 1.33 | +18.8% | -5.7% | -5.1% | -6.6% |
| 2011-07-28 | miss | 1.35 | 1.34 | -1.0% | -5.7% | -2.8% | -13.6% |
| 2011-04-25 | beat | 1.20 | 1.33 | +10.9% | +3.2% | +4.3% | +5.5% |
Not investment advice.
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