VEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+7.2%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -15.5% median,
38% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.36%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.09 +7.2% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.1%
$3M/day volume
99% volatility
-90% 1-year
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -91% from the high
$0.51$6.90
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-12 (Thursday, after close, in 10 days) · EPS est. -0.12.
1-day std dev
14.5%
Finished up
39%
Biggest pop
+26.9%
Biggest drop
-37.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 38 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | beat | -0.12 | -0.11 | +8.6% | -23.5% | -22.8% | -42.3% |
| 2026-05-12 | miss | -0.11 | -0.13 | -11.3% | -10.8% | -11.7% | -13.5% |
| 2026-04-15 | miss | -0.05 | -0.13 | -166.5% | +2.9% | +1.0% | +4.3% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | -0.11 | -0.09 | +16.4% | -9.5% | -10.6% | -32.7% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.18 | -0.18 | +2.4% | +9.5% | +22.9% | +13.9% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | -0.18 | -0.25 | -38.3% | -2.0% | -9.0% | -7.5% |
| 2025-03-13 | beat | -0.22 | -0.21 | +8.4% | -3.0% | +11.5% | +17.9% |
| 2024-11-12 | miss | -0.16 | -0.19 | -19.9% | -4.0% | -23.9% | -21.9% |
| 2024-08-14 | miss | -0.15 | -0.18 | -20.0% | +3.6% | +15.7% | +7.2% |
| 2024-05-07 | -0.20 | -0.20 | — | +8.1% | +12.0% | -3.0% | |
| 2024-03-12 | miss | -0.16 | -0.16 | -2.1% | +4.7% | +26.9% | +131.6% |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | -0.18 | -0.21 | -15.9% | -8.4% | -24.5% | -28.9% |
| 2023-08-08 | miss | -0.23 | -0.35 | -51.1% | -25.5% | -37.0% | -34.5% |
| 2023-05-02 | miss | -0.24 | -0.26 | -8.6% | -6.1% | -8.2% | -1.4% |
| 2023-03-16 | miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -29.1% | -1.0% | -1.6% | +4.4% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +11.4% | -7.0% | -9.9% | +14.1% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -0.09 | -0.20 | -119.1% | -10.9% | -11.6% | -12.6% |
| 2022-05-03 | miss | -0.10 | -0.15 | -54.9% | -3.5% | -0.2% | -28.9% |
| 2022-03-03 | beat | 0.21 | 0.37 | +80.5% | +5.7% | +0.4% | -2.9% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | -0.11 | -0.07 | +38.6% | +17.7% | +4.2% | -11.9% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | -0.14 | -0.12 | +15.5% | -1.4% | +1.9% | +5.4% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | -0.14 | -0.12 | +14.3% | +3.1% | -2.2% | -11.6% |
| 2021-03-04 | beat | -0.15 | -0.14 | +4.1% | +7.1% | -3.9% | -6.4% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -0.20 | -0.15 | +25.0% | +11.1% | +10.2% | +28.9% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -0.22 | -0.21 | +4.5% | -3.5% | -6.9% | -14.4% |
| 2020-05-11 | beat | -0.30 | -0.25 | +16.1% | +6.6% | +8.8% | +8.8% |
| 2020-03-04 | beat | -0.38 | -0.33 | +12.7% | -8.6% | -9.8% | -40.1% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -0.43 | -0.43 | +0.5% | -8.1% | -1.5% | -3.0% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -0.47 | -0.44 | +7.4% | +1.6% | -24.1% | -30.4% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | -0.57 | -0.48 | +15.3% | +2.6% | +15.5% | +29.9% |
| 2019-02-21 | miss | -0.65 | -0.84 | -29.1% | -4.3% | +3.5% | +34.5% |
| 2018-11-12 | miss | -0.75 | -0.75 | -1.0% | +16.3% | -1.5% | -22.4% |
| 2018-08-13 | miss | -0.75 | -0.86 | -15.6% | -22.2% | -22.2% | -28.6% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | -0.64 | -0.81 | -26.6% | +0.3% | +11.4% | +7.9% |
| 2018-02-26 | miss | -0.58 | -0.83 | -41.9% | -15.7% | -21.1% | -25.8% |
| 2017-11-06 | miss | -0.53 | -1.31 | -148.3% | -21.3% | -21.2% | -21.0% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | -0.89 | -2.94 | -229.1% | +0.2% | -4.0% | -8.7% |
| 2017-06-20 | miss | -2.10 | -3.09 | -47.4% | +0.8% | +6.1% | -4.8% |
Not investment advice.
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