VIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Dec 2): +2.5% median,
54% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 82
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.63 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$30M/day volume
32% volatility
-30% 1-year
-72% from ATH
52-week range · 10% of the way up · -37% from the high
$12.02$20.49
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-19 (Thursday, before open, in 17 days) · EPS est. 2.74.
1-day std dev
10.8%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+32.4%
Biggest drop
-19.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 58 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | beat | 3.94 | 4.02 | +2.0% | -2.5% | -1.1% | -8.5% |
| 2026-05-21 | beat | 4.59 | 4.68 | +2.0% | -1.5% | +2.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | 5.46 | 5.66 | +3.7% | +1.4% | +2.1% | -10.0% |
| 2025-11-20 | beat | 2.91 | 2.98 | +2.5% | -4.3% | -7.0% | +1.0% |
| 2025-08-14 | beat | 3.98 | 4.06 | +2.0% | +4.8% | +5.9% | +3.7% |
| 2025-05-20 | beat | 4.33 | 4.43 | +2.3% | -8.3% | -7.2% | -9.1% |
| 2025-02-21 | beat | 5.39 | 5.70 | +5.7% | +3.2% | +1.4% | +8.2% |
| 2024-11-19 | beat | 2.30 | 2.47 | +7.2% | -2.5% | -4.5% | -5.3% |
| 2024-08-20 | beat | 3.86 | 3.91 | +1.4% | -7.3% | -17.5% | -12.0% |
| 2024-05-22 | beat | 4.11 | 4.66 | +13.4% | -1.0% | +0.4% | -2.2% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | 5.08 | 5.79 | +14.0% | +9.7% | +12.6% | +2.4% |
| 2023-11-14 | beat | 2.87 | 3.33 | +16.1% | +2.9% | +3.5% | +10.1% |
| 2023-08-18 | beat | 3.22 | 4.30 | +33.6% | -10.3% | -8.0% | -3.1% |
| 2023-05-23 | beat | 2.67 | 3.52 | +31.9% | +0.8% | -4.5% | -3.4% |
| 2023-02-23 | beat | 3.32 | 3.65 | +10.1% | +9.0% | +0.4% | +11.9% |
| 2022-11-22 | beat | 1.76 | 2.56 | +45.9% | +1.1% | +3.6% | +25.3% |
| 2022-08-19 | beat | 1.68 | 2.45 | +46.1% | -5.2% | +3.8% | +16.7% |
| 2022-05-19 | beat | 1.90 | 2.09 | +10.3% | -6.6% | +2.1% | +7.0% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 2.63 | 2.64 | +0.5% | -9.6% | -11.9% | -12.8% |
| 2021-11-18 | miss | 1.53 | 1.50 | -2.0% | -13.1% | -18.0% | -19.5% |
| 2021-08-18 | miss | 2.36 | 2.10 | -11.1% | -6.2% | -2.7% | +6.1% |
| 2021-05-19 | beat | 2.19 | 2.41 | +10.0% | -8.7% | -11.3% | -8.5% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 3.12 | 3.70 | +18.6% | +5.1% | +6.3% | +10.0% |
| 2020-11-13 | beat | 1.70 | 2.01 | +18.6% | +6.4% | +4.0% | +9.4% |
| 2020-08-19 | beat | 1.87 | 1.92 | +2.5% | -17.0% | -19.4% | -28.2% |
| 2020-05-27 | beat | 0.75 | 1.44 | +91.7% | +4.6% | +3.3% | +9.4% |
| 2020-03-05 | beat | 2.16 | 2.84 | +31.2% | +13.2% | +27.0% | +14.4% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | 1.14 | 1.78 | +56.4% | -6.4% | -5.2% | +2.1% |
| 2019-08-14 | beat | 1.02 | 1.58 | +55.1% | +17.4% | +15.0% | +28.1% |
| 2019-05-22 | beat | 1.08 | 1.19 | +10.5% | -1.8% | +3.2% | +3.7% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | 1.26 | 1.33 | +5.5% | -12.3% | -13.8% | -1.8% |
| 2018-11-14 | beat | 0.63 | 0.75 | +19.0% | +8.4% | +5.8% | -1.1% |
| 2018-08-13 | miss | 0.93 | 0.84 | -9.4% | -11.4% | -16.2% | -18.9% |
| 2018-05-14 | miss | 1.09 | 1.05 | -3.5% | -20.1% | -19.9% | -19.7% |
| 2018-02-12 | beat | 1.32 | 1.41 | +6.6% | +2.8% | +6.7% | +12.2% |
| 2017-11-20 | miss | 0.95 | 0.91 | -4.3% | -7.6% | -11.1% | -13.4% |
| 2017-08-16 | miss | 1.30 | 1.18 | -9.5% | -9.4% | -8.1% | -17.1% |
| 2017-05-15 | beat | 1.21 | 1.31 | +8.3% | +2.3% | -6.9% | -10.8% |
| 2017-02-20 | beat | 1.48 | 1.58 | +6.7% | +0.0% | +2.9% | -0.3% |
| 2016-11-21 | beat | 1.00 | 1.03 | +3.2% | -9.1% | -14.8% | -20.8% |
| 2016-08-15 | beat | 1.01 | 1.13 | +12.1% | +8.1% | +0.4% | -3.6% |
| 2016-05-17 | beat | 0.98 | 1.04 | +6.3% | -13.0% | -12.2% | -9.7% |
| 2016-02-24 | beat | 1.05 | 1.18 | +11.6% | -9.4% | -10.7% | -13.7% |
| 2015-11-17 | miss | 0.78 | 0.76 | -1.6% | +6.9% | +15.0% | +32.0% |
| 2015-08-10 | beat | 0.74 | 0.87 | +16.8% | -4.8% | -13.0% | -9.4% |
| 2015-05-13 | beat | 0.64 | 0.81 | +26.0% | +0.0% | -5.4% | -7.0% |
| 2015-02-16 | beat | 0.59 | 0.75 | +26.2% | +1.0% | +2.6% | +1.1% |
| 2014-11-18 | beat | 0.42 | 0.49 | +17.3% | -7.8% | -5.4% | -3.2% |
| 2014-08-13 | beat | 0.39 | 0.44 | +13.9% | -6.3% | -5.2% | -6.6% |
| 2014-05-14 | beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +32.0% | +4.7% | +9.6% | +11.2% |
| 2014-03-03 | beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +14.7% | +23.2% | +32.4% | +12.5% |
| 2013-11-11 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +27.5% | -2.0% | +15.2% | +11.3% |
| 2013-08-14 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +13.8% | -12.7% | -13.9% | -10.4% |
| 2013-05-14 | beat | 0.03 | 0.10 | +237.9% | +11.6% | -5.0% | +1.5% |
| 2013-02-21 | beat | 0.05 | 0.10 | +100.2% | -1.8% | +7.8% | +14.0% |
| 2012-11-13 | beat | -0.04 | 0.01 | +114.0% | +3.7% | +9.9% | +10.0% |
| 2012-08-09 | beat | -0.12 | -0.05 | +56.5% | +2.6% | -2.0% | -1.3% |
| 2012-05-14 | miss | -0.12 | -0.16 | -31.7% | +0.9% | -6.4% | -14.0% |
Not investment advice.
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