VIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +6.9% median,
70% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 9
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.28%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.48 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt (10y) +1.0%
$62M/day volume
37% volatility
+56% 1-year
-22% from ATH
52-week range · 60% of the way up · -22% from the high
$31.55$68.76
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.52.
1-day std dev
8.9%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+32.2%
Biggest drop
-18.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 45 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | beat | 1.78 | 1.82 | +2.2% | -1.1% | +0.2% | -5.2% |
| 2026-04-29 | beat | 1.65 | 2.24 | +36.1% | +5.1% | +3.9% | +2.6% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 1.29 | 1.85 | +43.0% | +6.5% | +8.5% | +1.9% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | 0.93 | 1.05 | +12.8% | -2.3% | -0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2025-07-30 | beat | 1.37 | 1.53 | +11.5% | -1.0% | +1.7% | -3.6% |
| 2025-04-23 | beat | 1.19 | 1.30 | +9.4% | +3.0% | +1.3% | +1.5% |
| 2025-01-29 | beat | 0.89 | 1.14 | +27.4% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +5.2% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 0.79 | 0.82 | +3.7% | -0.1% | -4.6% | -4.3% |
| 2024-07-18 | beat | 0.60 | 0.83 | +38.4% | +7.5% | +18.8% | +18.6% |
| 2024-04-24 | beat | 0.55 | 0.76 | +39.3% | +4.2% | +3.1% | +3.8% |
| 2024-01-25 | miss | 0.40 | 0.27 | -31.8% | -5.3% | -9.1% | -12.8% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.8% | +3.1% | -2.5% | -4.5% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +1.3% | -1.7% | +1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2023-04-20 | beat | 0.59 | 0.74 | +26.2% | +0.8% | -1.9% | +0.3% |
| 2023-01-26 | miss | 0.52 | 0.37 | -29.3% | -3.9% | -6.0% | -4.9% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 0.54 | 0.61 | +12.0% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +4.2% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.6% | -1.6% | +1.3% | +7.4% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 1.23 | 1.27 | +3.1% | -1.4% | -13.1% | -15.2% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | 0.80 | 1.19 | +48.4% | +0.8% | +7.3% | +7.7% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.62 | 0.70 | +13.6% | +1.2% | +10.1% | +4.2% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | 0.77 | 0.63 | -18.3% | -5.1% | -5.2% | +1.5% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 1.29 | 2.04 | +58.5% | -0.6% | -3.7% | -3.2% |
| 2021-02-11 | beat | 0.82 | 1.18 | +43.6% | -0.2% | -4.4% | -3.7% |
| 2020-11-06 | beat | 0.72 | 0.81 | +12.4% | +3.4% | +7.5% | +6.7% |
| 2020-08-07 | beat | 1.55 | 1.73 | +11.9% | +1.7% | -7.3% | -2.6% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 1.35 | 2.05 | +51.6% | +3.6% | +2.6% | -6.7% |
| 2020-02-11 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +6.9% | +0.0% | +3.5% | +5.5% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | 0.21 | 0.21 | -2.0% | +1.3% | -2.8% | -4.2% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | 0.27 | 0.16 | -40.4% | -4.4% | -18.1% | -14.7% |
| 2019-05-03 | miss | 0.37 | 0.34 | -9.1% | -1.3% | -3.2% | +1.4% |
| 2019-02-07 | beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +7.4% | +0.7% | +4.8% | +0.0% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +2.2% | +2.5% | +3.9% | +0.9% |
| 2018-07-27 | miss | 0.38 | 0.31 | -17.4% | -10.3% | -16.6% | -21.6% |
| 2018-05-04 | beat | 0.61 | 0.76 | +25.1% | -1.5% | -5.3% | -18.8% |
| 2018-02-08 | beat | 0.12 | 0.22 | +85.4% | +8.0% | +32.2% | +38.9% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +129.2% | +4.9% | +17.2% | +19.5% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -20.9% | -5.0% | -3.7% | +7.5% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +1.4% | -2.6% | -2.6% | -0.3% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.21 | 0.24 | +13.7% | +1.7% | +3.7% | +5.9% |
| 2016-11-04 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +6.2% | +2.8% | +4.8% | +10.4% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | 0.24 | 0.24 | -2.0% | -0.7% | -2.3% | -1.4% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | 0.35 | 0.31 | -11.1% | -1.8% | -5.0% | -10.2% |
| 2016-02-04 | miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -10.1% | -4.2% | -7.7% | -14.0% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +15.2% | -0.3% | -7.6% | -8.0% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | 0.32 | 0.27 | -16.2% | -2.8% | -10.7% | -9.5% |
Not investment advice.
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