VLModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +1.5% median,
60% of the last 35 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 45
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.66 +1.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$90M/day volume
25% volatility
+29% 1-year
-31% from ATH
52-week range · 78% of the way up · -7% from the high
$10.34$15.20
Congressional trades in VLY Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing May 19, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-28 (Thursday, before open, in 89 days) · EPS est. 0.35.
1-day std dev
3.3%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+6.1%
Biggest drop
-7.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +8.7% | +0.6% | +6.1% | +9.7% |
| 2026-07-23 | miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -2.7% | -3.0% | -0.5% | -1.4% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +2.1% | +3.5% | +3.9% | +2.4% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +7.1% | +3.3% | +3.3% | +10.4% |
| 2025-10-22 | beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +9.0% | -3.6% | +4.2% | +7.1% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +6.4% | -0.1% | -1.8% | -4.4% |
| 2025-04-23 | miss | 0.19 | 0.18 | -5.5% | -3.4% | +1.2% | +0.9% |
| 2025-01-23 | miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -5.9% | -0.8% | -0.2% | +4.6% |
| 2024-10-24 | beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +1.2% | +1.4% | +5.3% | +3.8% |
| 2024-07-25 | miss | 0.19 | 0.13 | -32.7% | -2.4% | +3.1% | +1.4% |
| 2024-04-25 | miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -5.3% | +0.1% | -0.9% | -4.3% |
| 2024-01-25 | miss | 0.25 | 0.22 | -13.3% | -6.0% | -4.4% | -17.0% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +0.4% | +1.2% | +1.7% | +6.6% |
| 2023-07-27 | miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -2.8% | +1.5% | -2.5% | -2.8% |
| 2023-04-27 | miss | 0.33 | 0.30 | -9.5% | -5.4% | +3.8% | -16.8% |
| 2023-01-26 | miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -2.8% | +0.4% | +3.1% | +13.4% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.1% | +1.4% | -1.7% | +0.5% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +11.9% | +0.3% | +3.3% | +3.1% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +1.2% | +1.1% | +1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2022-01-27 | miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -3.1% | +1.9% | -7.9% | -4.8% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.6% | +0.0% | +1.0% | +4.5% |
| 2021-07-22 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +0.9% | +0.2% | -2.2% | +0.8% |
| 2021-04-29 | miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -0.9% | +0.8% | -0.1% | +4.0% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +7.1% | +3.4% | -0.3% | +5.0% |
| 2020-10-22 | beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +2.0% | +1.4% | +5.5% | -1.2% |
| 2020-07-23 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +9.9% | +0.3% | +3.6% | +0.1% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +7.2% | +2.5% | +0.7% | -11.1% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.1% | -0.4% | -1.7% | +1.0% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.2% | +2.9% | +0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +1.1% | +0.8% | -0.7% | -1.5% |
| 2019-04-25 | miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -2.0% | -0.2% | -3.8% | +0.9% |
| 2019-01-31 | miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -6.0% | -0.2% | -2.9% | +0.9% |
| 2018-10-25 | miss | 0.23 | 0.21 | -9.9% | +1.4% | -0.1% | +4.3% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.2% | +0.2% | -5.1% | -5.8% |
| 2018-04-26 | miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -12.3% | -2.0% | +3.6% | +0.9% |
| 2018-01-25 | beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +5.5% | +1.4% | +2.3% | +4.3% |
| 2017-10-25 | miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -5.0% | -4.1% | -3.4% | -3.8% |
| 2017-07-26 | beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +2.0% | -2.4% | -6.4% | -3.8% |
| 2017-04-26 | miss | 0.17 | 0.17 | -1.0% | +0.2% | +1.6% | -0.6% |
| 2017-01-25 | beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +4.8% | +2.0% | +4.0% | +4.2% |
| 2016-10-26 | miss | 0.16 | 0.16 | -0.6% | -0.5% | +1.8% | -1.4% |
| 2016-07-27 | miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -7.3% | +0.0% | -0.4% | -0.3% |
| 2016-04-27 | miss | 0.15 | 0.13 | -12.6% | -1.6% | -5.5% | -9.1% |
| 2016-01-27 | beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +50.8% | +0.7% | -0.2% | +3.2% |
| 2015-10-28 | miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -0.6% | +1.4% | +4.7% | +5.5% |
| 2015-07-30 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -9.1% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -0.7% |
| 2015-04-30 | miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -2.6% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +3.9% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +3.4% |
| 2014-10-29 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -4.8% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -1.0% |
| 2014-07-30 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +11.5% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +1.7% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +25.2% | -0.2% | -4.4% | -8.9% |
| 2014-01-30 | beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +10.3% | +1.3% | +0.5% | -3.0% |
| 2013-10-24 | miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -9.6% | -1.3% | -1.9% | -6.1% |
| 2013-07-25 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +8.6% | +0.6% | +3.7% | +8.5% |
| 2013-04-24 | miss | 0.18 | 0.15 | -15.5% | -0.5% | -4.5% | -10.1% |
| 2013-01-30 | 0.19 | 0.19 | — | -0.2% | -0.3% | +0.6% | |
| 2012-10-25 | beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +22.1% | +0.9% | +1.6% | -0.3% |
| 2012-07-26 | miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -5.3% | +1.1% | -6.2% | -10.9% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +2.0% | -1.4% | -1.9% | -5.8% |
| 2012-01-26 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +9.5% | -0.8% | -6.1% | -6.3% |
Posted about VLY
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TRACKER - Insider Trades
long
10.00
Thu, 20 Feb 2025
Bank Leumi Le Israel BM has been buying VLY. The buy: Bank Leumi Le Israel BM, a 10%+ owner, bought 1,000,000 shares of VLY on 8 November 2024 —…
Not investment advice.
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