VMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+1.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +2.4% median,
65% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 8
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.17 +2.8% · Seasonal tilt -1.2%
$94M/day volume
31% volatility
+1% 1-year
-28% from ATH
52-week range · 21% of the way up · -28% from the high
$378.02$585.71
Congressional trades in VMI Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 2 sells · $31K–$115K disclosed · latest filing Apr 11, 2015.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-16 (Tuesday, before open, in 108 days) · EPS est. 5.48.
1-day std dev
6.6%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+17.8%
Biggest drop
-13.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | beat | 5.73 | 6.24 | +9.0% | +3.0% | -0.3% | -3.4% |
| 2026-07-21 | beat | 5.80 | 6.14 | +5.9% | +3.6% | -3.9% | -8.6% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 4.73 | 5.51 | +16.5% | +7.4% | +11.9% | +21.3% |
| 2026-02-17 | miss | 4.97 | 4.92 | -0.9% | -5.1% | -6.6% | -2.6% |
| 2025-10-21 | beat | 4.62 | 4.98 | +7.8% | +2.2% | +1.4% | +2.1% |
| 2025-07-22 | beat | 4.78 | 4.88 | +2.1% | +2.7% | +6.5% | +9.4% |
| 2025-04-22 | miss | 4.36 | 4.32 | -0.8% | +1.0% | +3.2% | +9.6% |
| 2025-02-18 | beat | 3.63 | 3.84 | +5.9% | +6.1% | +17.5% | +8.3% |
| 2024-10-22 | beat | 4.00 | 4.11 | +2.8% | +1.3% | +10.4% | +7.0% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 4.17 | 4.76 | +14.2% | +3.6% | +10.6% | +7.9% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 3.31 | 4.32 | +30.5% | +8.5% | +17.8% | +23.0% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 3.05 | 3.18 | +4.4% | -4.6% | -3.5% | -6.6% |
| 2023-10-25 | beat | 3.73 | 4.12 | +10.6% | -5.9% | -13.9% | -13.5% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 4.11 | 4.37 | +6.4% | -2.4% | -7.7% | -9.9% |
| 2023-04-20 | beat | 3.38 | 3.61 | +6.9% | +3.3% | +0.9% | -3.7% |
| 2023-02-22 | miss | 3.57 | 3.57 | -0.1% | -0.9% | -6.4% | +2.3% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | 3.41 | 3.49 | +2.5% | +0.4% | +2.8% | +3.6% |
| 2022-07-20 | beat | 3.34 | 3.70 | +10.7% | -0.7% | +6.1% | +13.3% |
| 2022-04-20 | beat | 2.44 | 3.07 | +26.0% | +7.1% | +6.6% | +1.7% |
| 2022-02-16 | beat | 2.65 | 2.73 | +2.9% | +0.7% | -1.5% | -2.8% |
| 2021-10-20 | beat | 2.47 | 2.57 | +4.0% | -1.5% | -5.7% | -5.3% |
| 2021-07-21 | beat | 2.50 | 3.06 | +22.6% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +2.7% |
| 2021-04-21 | beat | 2.12 | 2.57 | +21.4% | -1.2% | -2.4% | +3.5% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | 1.79 | 2.20 | +22.8% | -0.7% | -0.4% | +5.3% |
| 2020-10-21 | beat | 1.72 | 1.99 | +15.8% | +0.4% | +5.6% | +2.0% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | 1.44 | 2.00 | +39.3% | +3.1% | +5.5% | +2.8% |
| 2020-04-22 | beat | 1.39 | 1.99 | +43.4% | +10.0% | +10.3% | +11.2% |
| 2020-02-19 | miss | 1.84 | 1.66 | -9.6% | -8.7% | -12.7% | -23.3% |
| 2019-10-23 | miss | 2.30 | 1.85 | -19.7% | -3.9% | -4.1% | -1.0% |
| 2019-07-23 | miss | 2.25 | 1.90 | -15.4% | -0.4% | +5.6% | +4.4% |
| 2019-04-23 | miss | 1.74 | 1.66 | -4.7% | +0.2% | +1.2% | +0.9% |
| 2019-02-20 | miss | 1.90 | 1.87 | -1.5% | -0.3% | -1.9% | -2.0% |
| 2018-10-23 | beat | 1.78 | 1.82 | +2.2% | -2.0% | -9.7% | -2.5% |
| 2018-07-23 | beat | 1.94 | 1.98 | +2.2% | -0.9% | +0.5% | +1.0% |
| 2018-04-18 | beat | 1.85 | 1.87 | +1.2% | +0.7% | +0.4% | -2.4% |
| 2018-02-21 | miss | 1.69 | 1.67 | -1.0% | +0.4% | -3.0% | -7.5% |
| 2017-10-18 | miss | 1.60 | 1.56 | -2.4% | -3.4% | +0.3% | -0.4% |
| 2017-07-19 | beat | 1.99 | 2.01 | +1.1% | +1.5% | +3.1% | +1.8% |
| 2017-04-19 | beat | 1.63 | 1.72 | +5.4% | +0.0% | +2.5% | +1.9% |
| 2017-02-21 | beat | 1.45 | 1.61 | +11.3% | +7.5% | +8.5% | +11.1% |
| 2016-10-19 | miss | 1.49 | 1.48 | -0.8% | -3.3% | -1.0% | -2.3% |
| 2016-07-20 | beat | 1.73 | 1.85 | +7.2% | -0.5% | -3.5% | -4.5% |
| 2016-04-20 | beat | 1.25 | 1.49 | +19.4% | +3.1% | +12.0% | +14.4% |
| 2016-02-17 | miss | 1.38 | 1.35 | -1.8% | -0.9% | +1.1% | +3.1% |
| 2015-10-21 | beat | 1.36 | 1.39 | +2.4% | +1.2% | +11.9% | +10.2% |
| 2015-07-22 | miss | 1.70 | 1.61 | -5.3% | -2.6% | -2.8% | -4.8% |
| 2015-04-22 | miss | 1.49 | 1.28 | -14.3% | -1.0% | +4.3% | +6.7% |
| 2015-02-17 | miss | 1.65 | 1.62 | -1.9% | +0.0% | -3.0% | -1.0% |
| 2014-10-23 | miss | 2.18 | 1.92 | -12.1% | -1.3% | -4.5% | -1.6% |
| 2014-07-17 | beat | 2.38 | 2.39 | +0.5% | +0.3% | -0.1% | +1.6% |
| 2014-04-22 | beat | 2.15 | 2.20 | +2.1% | -4.7% | -6.9% | -3.9% |
| 2014-02-20 | miss | 2.67 | 2.66 | -0.3% | -6.7% | -6.1% | -6.3% |
| 2013-10-17 | miss | 2.47 | 2.41 | -2.5% | -2.3% | +1.5% | +4.5% |
| 2013-07-17 | beat | 2.92 | 3.17 | +8.6% | +1.7% | +2.1% | -2.5% |
| 2013-04-18 | beat | 2.52 | 2.89 | +14.7% | +2.6% | +1.9% | +1.1% |
| 2013-02-12 | beat | 2.21 | 2.43 | +10.1% | +2.2% | +5.6% | +2.4% |
| 2012-10-18 | beat | 2.05 | 2.12 | +3.2% | +0.2% | +1.6% | -0.9% |
| 2012-07-24 | beat | 2.15 | 2.24 | +4.0% | +0.1% | -4.3% | -7.0% |
| 2012-04-19 | beat | 1.53 | 1.96 | +27.9% | +6.6% | +6.0% | +5.8% |
| 2012-02-14 | beat | 1.66 | 1.83 | +10.5% | +2.1% | +0.9% | +2.2% |
Not investment advice.
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