VPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.0%
Next 1 week
+2.7%
Next 1 month
+6.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 30): +1.3% median,
60% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 17
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.15%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.23 +8.1% · Seasonal tilt -1.2%
$20M/day volume
84% volatility
+43% 1-year
-64% from ATH
52-week range · 21% of the way up · -64% from the high
$29.08$151.78
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.15.
1-day std dev
8.0%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+28.5%
Biggest drop
-27.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | 0.19 | 0.04 | -79.0% | -32.5% | -27.2% | -30.6% |
| 2026-05-12 | — | 0.07 | — | +26.0% | +28.5% | +47.1% | |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | 0.21 | 0.07 | -66.1% | -10.9% | -13.4% | -12.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 0.20 | 0.26 | +30.0% | -2.1% | -6.1% | -11.6% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 0.04 | 0.17 | +325.0% | +10.8% | +2.3% | +4.0% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 0.07 | 0.04 | -42.9% | -6.2% | -1.9% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-12 | miss | 0.14 | 0.03 | -77.8% | -11.8% | -4.2% | +8.7% |
| 2024-11-05 | miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -2.6% | -4.2% | -6.0% | -7.1% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | 0.34 | 0.31 | -7.5% | -5.0% | -8.6% | -12.4% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +18.3% | -2.7% | -2.5% | -8.4% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 0.36 | 0.61 | +69.4% | +6.7% | +11.0% | +5.3% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | 0.56 | 0.47 | -16.1% | -7.4% | -10.0% | -6.8% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.50 | 0.58 | +16.0% | +1.1% | -0.3% | -5.0% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | 0.54 | 0.52 | -2.8% | -5.9% | -7.8% | -13.7% |
| 2023-02-14 | beat | 0.62 | 0.76 | +22.6% | +0.9% | -6.3% | +3.2% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | 0.63 | 0.69 | +9.5% | +3.7% | +7.9% | +19.6% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 0.55 | 0.68 | +23.6% | +9.5% | +13.1% | +17.1% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.43 | 0.49 | +13.9% | +0.5% | -1.6% | +5.9% |
| 2022-02-15 | beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +3.7% | -1.8% | +1.8% | -1.5% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +1.3% | -1.1% | -0.8% | +0.0% |
| 2021-08-10 | beat | 0.35 | 0.49 | +41.3% | +1.6% | +7.2% | +5.8% |
| 2021-05-11 | beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +9.4% | +0.1% | +2.7% | +3.2% |
| 2021-02-17 | miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -0.8% | -1.0% | -4.3% | -4.7% |
| 2020-11-03 | beat | 0.25 | 0.40 | +60.0% | +6.3% | +15.9% | +19.4% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | 0.02 | 0.19 | +1166.7% | +4.7% | +3.4% | +3.7% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 0.14 | 0.29 | +100.0% | +10.0% | +2.0% | -5.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -10.0% | -5.0% | -4.2% | -15.1% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +5.7% | +2.3% | +7.0% | +1.5% |
| 2019-08-06 | miss | 0.52 | 0.45 | -13.5% | -4.2% | -7.6% | -18.1% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | 0.52 | 0.61 | +17.3% | -1.2% | +6.7% | +5.0% |
| 2019-02-20 | beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.9% | -1.0% | +4.0% | +2.0% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +17.5% | +6.1% | +6.3% | -5.2% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 0.44 | 0.57 | +31.0% | +2.3% | -6.4% | +4.6% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +13.8% | +1.4% | +8.4% | +23.5% |
| 2018-02-21 | beat | 0.31 | 0.39 | +27.9% | +6.8% | +11.9% | +20.5% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +5.9% | +1.5% | -5.4% | +10.6% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 0.24 | 0.29 | +20.8% | +9.0% | +7.8% | +19.9% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | 0.22 | 0.19 | -13.6% | -0.6% | +1.1% | +2.0% |
| 2017-02-21 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +8.3% | +0.3% | -0.9% | -5.3% |
| 2016-11-08 | beat | 0.14 | 0.21 | +44.8% | +0.3% | +5.4% | +13.4% |
| 2016-08-09 | miss | 0.20 | 0.15 | -25.0% | -1.7% | -8.6% | +1.1% |
| 2016-05-10 | miss | 0.17 | 0.13 | -21.2% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -7.0% |
| 2016-02-18 | beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +25.0% | +0.5% | +1.2% | +7.3% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +50.0% | +0.5% | +5.6% | +1.8% |
| 2015-09-03 | beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +30.0% | +1.0% | +6.1% | +4.7% |
| 2015-05-05 | miss | 0.11 | 0.05 | -54.5% | -4.2% | -5.2% | -10.5% |
| 2015-02-11 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -7.7% | -1.3% | -3.5% | -6.8% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | 0.16 | 0.23 | +43.8% | +1.3% | +2.5% | +2.7% |
| 2014-08-05 | beat | 0.18 | 0.25 | +38.9% | +2.6% | +7.1% | +16.2% |
| 2014-05-07 | miss | 0.20 | 0.14 | -30.0% | -1.0% | +1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2014-02-12 | beat | 0.13 | 0.18 | +38.5% | +4.4% | +7.0% | +13.9% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | 0.14 | 0.09 | -35.7% | -0.1% | -3.4% | -3.3% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +10.0% | +0.1% | -4.8% | -4.2% |
| 2013-05-07 | miss | 0.16 | 0.14 | -12.5% | +0.6% | +0.4% | -4.0% |
| 2013-02-12 | beat | 0.13 | 0.37 | +196.0% | +0.7% | -0.4% | +0.8% |
| 2012-11-06 | miss | 0.19 | 0.14 | -27.6% | -0.7% | -1.9% | -7.6% |
| 2012-08-08 | 0.21 | 0.21 | — | -0.7% | -0.8% | -1.3% | |
| 2012-05-08 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -7.7% | -1.5% | +3.1% | +0.9% |
| 2012-02-08 | miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -29.4% | +0.5% | -1.6% | -4.0% |
| 2011-11-01 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +9.1% | -2.8% | +3.4% | +7.7% |
Not investment advice.
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