VSModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+2.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.6% median,
62% of the last 13 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 30
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.01 +2.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.0%
$50M/day volume
76% volatility
+13% 1-year
52-week range · 87% of the way up · -9% from the high
$3.43$10.82
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. -0.44.
1-day std dev
8.8%
Finished up
37%
Biggest pop
+19.9%
Biggest drop
-28.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.45 | -0.31 | +30.6% | +12.5% | +14.0% | +11.3% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.47 | -0.43 | +7.9% | -3.7% | -13.6% | -23.7% |
| 2026-03-04 | beat | -0.50 | -0.46 | +7.5% | +2.4% | +5.9% | +0.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | -0.61 | -0.54 | +11.0% | -8.0% | -20.1% | -14.6% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | -0.74 | -0.39 | +47.4% | -0.4% | +19.9% | +46.3% |
| 2025-05-13 | miss | -0.77 | -0.79 | -1.9% | -0.3% | -4.4% | +2.0% |
| 2025-03-20 | miss | -0.83 | -1.33 | -60.5% | -1.6% | -2.5% | -9.2% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | -0.82 | -0.88 | -7.3% | -3.9% | -7.0% | +6.7% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -1.06 | -0.61 | +42.6% | +6.2% | +4.9% | +2.7% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | -0.87 | -0.98 | -13.1% | -1.4% | -0.6% | -3.5% |
| 2024-03-14 | miss | -0.76 | -1.10 | -44.7% | -4.9% | +4.8% | +14.7% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | -0.79 | -0.71 | +9.8% | -1.0% | -5.7% | -14.4% |
| 2023-08-08 | miss | -1.02 | -1.15 | -12.6% | +3.7% | -0.3% | -4.4% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | -0.98 | -1.14 | -16.1% | -2.3% | +0.0% | -7.0% |
| 2023-03-14 | beat | -1.17 | -0.96 | +17.9% | +4.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | -1.47 | -1.08 | +26.5% | +5.0% | -2.5% | +5.0% |
| 2022-08-08 | miss | -1.32 | -1.44 | -9.1% | -1.7% | +7.6% | +15.1% |
| 2022-05-09 | miss | -1.02 | -1.08 | -5.9% | +12.3% | +6.1% | +2.6% |
| 2022-03-28 | beat | -1.44 | -1.20 | +16.7% | +0.0% | +14.4% | +15.2% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | -0.84 | -1.56 | -85.7% | -0.4% | -3.5% | +10.2% |
| 2021-08-02 | miss | -1.00 | -1.20 | -20.0% | -1.9% | -10.3% | -9.3% |
| 2021-05-11 | -1.08 | -1.08 | — | -1.3% | -6.0% | +5.0% | |
| 2021-03-18 | miss | -1.02 | -1.44 | -41.2% | +0.8% | +3.0% | +4.2% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | 0.52 | 0.96 | +84.6% | -1.5% | +9.2% | +13.0% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -1.76 | -1.68 | +4.5% | +8.1% | +0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -2.58 | -4.20 | -62.8% | +0.0% | +8.2% | -5.5% |
| 2020-03-11 | miss | -4.68 | -6.12 | -30.8% | -21.3% | -24.6% | -23.8% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | -4.92 | -4.20 | +14.6% | -1.6% | -13.6% | -12.0% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | -5.84 | -5.76 | +1.4% | -10.7% | -11.9% | -20.8% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | -5.64 | -6.24 | -10.6% | -31.2% | -28.0% | -19.0% |
| 2019-03-12 | beat | -6.48 | -1.80 | +72.2% | -12.7% | +3.4% | +10.5% |
| 2018-11-07 | miss | -4.68 | -5.97 | -27.7% | +7.7% | -2.2% | -12.6% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | -4.30 | -5.56 | -29.2% | +1.2% | +11.3% | +7.6% |
| 2018-05-03 | miss | -4.74 | -4.92 | -3.8% | +1.4% | -1.2% | +13.6% |
| 2018-03-13 | miss | -5.10 | -5.16 | -1.2% | -2.8% | -5.4% | -12.4% |
| 2017-11-07 | miss | -3.96 | -7.32 | -84.8% | -1.4% | -5.1% | -7.9% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | -3.96 | -4.32 | -9.1% | -5.4% | -9.0% | -17.1% |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | -4.32 | -4.20 | +2.8% | -5.7% | -2.5% | -6.6% |
| 2017-03-23 | miss | -3.16 | -3.96 | -25.3% | +12.6% | +9.9% | +37.1% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | -2.85 | -2.52 | +11.6% | +3.5% | +0.0% | +11.5% |
| 2016-08-08 | beat | -3.15 | -2.76 | +12.4% | +4.4% | -2.9% | -3.7% |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | -3.78 | -2.64 | +30.2% | +3.6% | +3.6% | -0.7% |
| 2016-03-03 | beat | -4.51 | -3.72 | +17.6% | +11.9% | +13.5% | +12.7% |
| 2015-11-09 | beat | -5.25 | -5.04 | +4.0% | +0.9% | +0.0% | -7.0% |
| 2015-08-10 | beat | -5.48 | -5.04 | +8.0% | -1.3% | +0.7% | +11.0% |
| 2015-05-11 | miss | -5.04 | -5.52 | -9.5% | -0.8% | +1.9% | +3.7% |
| 2015-03-10 | miss | -6.26 | -6.36 | -1.6% | +0.9% | -2.4% | +23.5% |
| 2014-10-30 | -6.24 | -6.24 | — | -0.2% | +4.1% | -4.7% | |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | -6.13 | -6.12 | +0.1% | -1.0% | +0.0% | +9.9% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | -5.16 | -6.12 | -18.6% | +0.0% | +4.3% | +7.4% |
| 2014-03-06 | beat | -5.34 | -5.04 | +5.6% | -0.4% | -0.3% | -11.2% |
| 2013-11-12 | miss | -5.17 | -5.64 | -9.1% | -0.9% | -4.8% | -16.7% |
| 2013-08-13 | miss | -4.40 | -5.88 | -33.6% | +0.5% | -2.1% | -8.1% |
| 2013-05-09 | beat | -4.28 | -3.83 | +10.6% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -3.1% |
| 2013-03-26 | miss | -4.19 | -4.68 | -11.6% | -1.3% | +0.1% | -4.0% |
| 2012-11-13 | miss | -4.55 | -6.12 | -34.6% | -1.8% | +1.5% | +3.9% |
| 2012-08-13 | miss | -2.80 | -4.08 | -45.7% | +0.8% | -10.1% | -0.7% |
| 2012-05-14 | miss | -2.26 | -5.26 | -132.9% | -4.2% | -4.1% | +0.6% |
| 2012-03-14 | miss | -2.83 | -111.12 | -3829.6% | -2.1% | -1.8% | -4.5% |
Not investment advice.
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