VVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+0.9%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -3.3% median,
36% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 100
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.41 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.2%
$26M/day volume
41% volatility
+35% 1-year
-14% from ATH
52-week range · 69% of the way up · -14% from the high
$50.89$93.98
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. 1.49.
1-day std dev
12.1%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+35.1%
Biggest drop
-22.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 48 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | 1.44 | 1.64 | +13.9% | -5.2% | -8.8% | -6.8% |
| 2026-05-04 | beat | 1.25 | 1.53 | +22.5% | +4.7% | +12.8% | +3.4% |
| 2026-02-23 | beat | 1.34 | 1.56 | +16.5% | +4.7% | +3.0% | +7.3% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 1.21 | 1.37 | +13.1% | -1.1% | -2.2% | -3.4% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 1.04 | 1.33 | +27.5% | +11.0% | +15.2% | +12.5% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +5.1% | -6.8% | -2.1% | +6.3% |
| 2025-02-24 | beat | 1.14 | 1.33 | +16.5% | +7.1% | +15.7% | +7.9% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | 1.05 | 1.29 | +22.9% | +6.6% | +1.2% | +9.3% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | 0.87 | 0.83 | -4.6% | +3.8% | -2.8% | +2.6% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +11.4% | -1.5% | -4.2% | -10.9% |
| 2024-03-05 | beat | 1.05 | 1.22 | +15.8% | +10.8% | +12.6% | +14.1% |
| 2023-11-06 | miss | 0.86 | 0.73 | -14.9% | -7.0% | -20.8% | -16.4% |
| 2023-08-08 | beat | 0.73 | 1.01 | +39.1% | +4.7% | +2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.68 | 0.80 | +18.0% | +2.6% | -0.4% | -5.4% |
| 2023-03-02 | beat | 0.89 | 0.92 | +2.9% | +2.9% | -8.6% | -20.5% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 0.89 | 1.33 | +49.4% | -4.7% | +3.4% | -1.2% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | 1.04 | 0.88 | -15.4% | +17.4% | +33.2% | +33.2% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | 0.93 | 1.01 | +9.2% | +0.0% | -6.1% | -8.2% |
| 2022-03-07 | miss | 1.13 | 0.90 | -20.4% | +0.1% | -10.3% | -26.1% |
| 2021-11-09 | beat | 1.06 | 1.15 | +8.5% | +0.4% | -0.9% | -6.4% |
| 2021-08-10 | beat | 1.14 | 1.35 | +18.3% | +3.4% | +5.8% | +4.1% |
| 2021-05-11 | beat | 0.74 | 1.03 | +39.2% | +4.4% | +0.8% | +2.2% |
| 2021-03-02 | beat | 0.93 | 1.18 | +27.6% | +2.6% | +3.9% | +6.5% |
| 2020-11-10 | beat | 0.82 | 0.89 | +8.5% | +1.7% | -1.1% | +2.6% |
| 2020-08-11 | miss | 0.68 | 0.24 | -64.7% | -5.7% | -9.7% | -19.9% |
| 2020-05-12 | beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.4% | -0.3% | -7.2% | +2.5% |
| 2020-03-03 | 0.93 | 0.93 | — | -1.8% | -3.5% | -17.0% | |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +2.0% | +4.0% | +11.2% | +16.1% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.3% | -4.3% | +11.7% | +6.0% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | 0.76 | 0.62 | -17.9% | -5.4% | -4.3% | -8.7% |
| 2019-02-26 | miss | 0.90 | 0.73 | -18.9% | +2.0% | -2.4% | -2.8% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.4% | +2.1% | -6.5% | -12.9% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.3% | +1.0% | +15.0% | +11.8% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | 0.73 | 0.62 | -14.5% | +0.0% | -19.2% | -14.0% |
| 2018-03-01 | beat | 0.39 | 0.57 | +47.4% | +10.0% | +35.1% | +38.5% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.41 | 0.51 | +25.9% | +8.6% | +11.8% | +5.0% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.1% | -7.7% | -22.6% | -12.8% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | 0.46 | 0.60 | +30.4% | +12.4% | +12.0% | +9.7% |
| 2017-03-01 | miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -2.4% | -1.1% | -13.9% | -12.3% |
| 2016-11-08 | beat | 0.55 | 0.60 | +10.1% | +5.3% | +22.0% | +27.9% |
| 2016-08-09 | miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -1.8% | +0.0% | -6.8% | -2.8% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | 0.55 | 0.61 | +10.4% | +3.3% | +7.3% | +8.5% |
| 2016-03-15 | beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.9% | +2.5% | +9.4% | +5.9% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | 0.52 | 0.65 | +24.4% | +2.5% | +2.0% | -7.7% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.48 | 0.56 | +17.9% | -0.8% | +11.9% | +9.4% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +11.9% | +0.7% | +1.4% | +3.3% |
| 2015-03-16 | beat | 0.26 | 0.33 | +26.9% | -7.8% | -11.4% | -22.8% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | 0.65 | 0.60 | -7.7% | +1.2% | -0.4% | +4.0% |
Not investment advice.
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