VYModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+2.9%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -6.0% median,
30% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 62
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.38 +3.2% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.3%
$2M/day volume
60% volatility
-61% 1-year
52-week range · 3% of the way up · -68% from the high
$1.68$5.48
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. -0.42.
1-day std dev
10.9%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+33.3%
Biggest drop
-23.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 44 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.51 | -0.40 | +21.2% | -1.9% | +4.5% | +4.5% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -0.53 | -0.47 | +12.0% | -1.0% | +2.3% | -4.8% |
| 2026-03-09 | beat | -0.51 | -0.47 | +8.6% | +0.0% | +21.7% | -4.6% |
| 2025-11-10 | beat | -0.52 | -0.47 | +9.6% | +0.0% | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | -0.52 | -0.57 | -9.0% | +0.0% | -5.3% | +9.4% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | -0.44 | -0.53 | -20.8% | -0.3% | +0.9% | -1.8% |
| 2025-03-11 | miss | -0.35 | -0.59 | -68.4% | -4.3% | +2.3% | +3.0% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -0.40 | -0.16 | +60.5% | +2.8% | -2.0% | -21.5% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | -0.40 | -0.18 | +54.7% | +4.2% | -14.0% | -21.0% |
| 2024-05-13 | beat | -0.42 | -0.20 | +52.7% | +1.8% | +0.0% | -0.5% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | -0.16 | 1.25 | +881.2% | +10.8% | -7.2% | +5.2% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | -0.60 | -0.59 | +2.0% | -2.0% | +5.1% | +4.3% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | -0.56 | -0.51 | +8.1% | -2.2% | +3.4% | +1.4% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 1.26 | 2.94 | +133.8% | +6.3% | +29.5% | +36.8% |
| 2023-03-07 | miss | -0.50 | -0.61 | -21.2% | +0.6% | -7.8% | +4.1% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | -0.41 | 0.45 | +210.3% | +11.7% | +9.6% | +15.4% |
| 2022-08-04 | miss | -0.42 | -0.50 | -20.0% | -0.9% | -7.2% | -18.7% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | -0.50 | -0.56 | -12.8% | -6.5% | -18.5% | -28.1% |
| 2022-03-08 | beat | -0.33 | 0.15 | +145.7% | +22.1% | +33.3% | +66.7% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | -0.73 | -0.67 | +8.2% | -1.6% | +4.9% | -2.7% |
| 2021-08-09 | miss | -0.68 | -0.80 | -17.6% | +0.3% | +6.0% | -13.0% |
| 2021-05-10 | miss | -0.55 | -0.58 | -5.5% | -0.7% | -4.6% | +5.3% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | -0.57 | -0.43 | +24.2% | -5.3% | -9.0% | -11.2% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | 0.20 | 2.27 | +1059.9% | -10.6% | -23.2% | -22.2% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -0.69 | -0.23 | +66.5% | +4.6% | -0.1% | +4.1% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | -0.81 | -0.66 | +19.0% | +0.3% | -0.9% | +0.6% |
| 2020-03-03 | beat | -0.81 | -0.34 | +58.0% | +6.3% | +4.3% | -18.6% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -0.67 | -0.41 | +38.7% | -2.4% | -7.3% | -4.2% |
| 2019-08-09 | beat | -0.80 | 0.29 | +136.2% | +13.6% | -0.7% | +3.6% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | -0.83 | -0.81 | +2.7% | -0.5% | -2.2% | -1.1% |
| 2019-02-26 | beat | -0.71 | -0.70 | +1.4% | -0.6% | +11.5% | +21.3% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | -0.76 | -0.63 | +17.3% | -19.9% | -11.9% | -12.9% |
| 2018-08-07 | miss | -0.66 | -0.80 | -21.8% | -6.5% | -15.2% | -9.4% |
| 2018-05-10 | miss | -0.61 | -0.63 | -4.0% | -0.6% | -11.9% | +6.8% |
| 2018-03-14 | beat | -0.70 | -0.40 | +42.6% | +5.4% | -4.5% | -14.2% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | -0.71 | -0.89 | -25.1% | +0.5% | -10.6% | -28.0% |
| 2017-08-08 | miss | -0.59 | -0.73 | -24.3% | -3.2% | +4.9% | +2.3% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | -0.50 | -0.65 | -30.0% | -5.5% | +6.6% | +2.9% |
| 2017-03-15 | miss | -0.45 | -0.57 | -26.0% | -2.3% | -2.4% | -5.0% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | -0.41 | -0.35 | +15.7% | +6.8% | +4.8% | +23.7% |
| 2016-08-11 | miss | -0.33 | -0.37 | -12.1% | +0.0% | +2.0% | -2.2% |
| 2016-05-12 | beat | -0.50 | -0.29 | +41.6% | -0.3% | -6.8% | -10.6% |
| 2016-03-17 | miss | -0.30 | -0.67 | -123.3% | +1.6% | +2.2% | -15.4% |
| 2015-12-17 | miss | -0.31 | -5.25 | -1593.5% | -0.1% | +3.6% | +3.2% |
Not investment advice.
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