WAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
-0.5%
Next 1 month
+5.0%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -16.7% median,
9% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 18
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.52%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.76 +6.5% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -1.4%
$1M/day volume
112% volatility
+13% 1-year
52-week range · 15% of the way up · -77% from the high
$3.62$36.98
Earnings Full history →
No scheduled report date yet.
1-day std dev
8.9%
Finished up
36%
Biggest pop
+14.3%
Biggest drop
-26.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 44 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | miss | -0.21 | -0.50 | -136.7% | +0.2% | -12.2% | -27.4% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | -0.60 | -0.40 | +32.5% | +1.2% | +11.7% | +22.1% |
| 2025-11-12 | beat | -1.80 | -1.31 | +27.2% | +15.7% | +2.5% | -7.4% |
| 2025-08-07 | -0.81 | — | — | +3.2% | +2.1% | -9.8% | |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | -22.20 | -17.35 | +21.9% | -2.4% | -2.7% | -16.0% |
| 2024-11-12 | beat | -22.20 | -14.53 | +34.6% | +2.1% | -3.4% | -15.2% |
| 2024-08-08 | beat | -22.35 | -21.43 | +4.1% | +6.7% | -5.6% | -13.5% |
| 2024-05-14 | miss | -23.25 | -23.31 | -0.3% | -1.9% | +2.6% | -6.4% |
| 2024-03-28 | beat | -27.90 | -25.50 | +8.6% | -3.9% | -10.3% | -7.4% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | -36.00 | -29.19 | +18.9% | +0.0% | -26.0% | -19.6% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | -42.00 | -38.16 | +9.1% | +5.9% | -6.7% | -55.9% |
| 2023-05-10 | beat | -45.00 | -44.64 | +0.8% | -3.6% | -5.2% | -10.4% |
| 2023-03-09 | miss | -45.00 | -45.60 | -1.3% | -3.7% | -11.3% | -19.6% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -45.00 | -48.00 | -6.7% | +4.1% | -9.9% | -11.6% |
| 2022-08-10 | beat | -51.00 | -49.68 | +2.6% | +9.0% | +1.5% | +13.4% |
| 2022-05-11 | beat | -63.00 | -54.00 | +14.3% | +0.0% | -3.0% | +15.8% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | -63.00 | -78.00 | -23.8% | +0.0% | +9.3% | -2.8% |
| 2021-11-11 | miss | -69.00 | -120.00 | -73.9% | +0.8% | -2.6% | -11.9% |
| 2021-07-29 | miss | -72.00 | -108.00 | -50.0% | -10.3% | +3.7% | +2.5% |
| 2021-05-12 | miss | -66.00 | -84.00 | -27.3% | -3.8% | -4.6% | +10.5% |
| 2021-02-25 | -90.00 | -90.00 | — | -6.1% | -8.8% | -22.4% | |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | -105.00 | -108.00 | -2.9% | -0.9% | -8.5% | -16.7% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | -108.00 | -120.00 | -11.1% | -7.8% | +0.3% | +4.7% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -135.00 | -150.00 | -11.1% | -3.6% | -8.6% | -14.5% |
| 2020-02-26 | miss | -168.00 | -174.00 | -3.6% | -5.6% | -9.3% | -19.8% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | -180.00 | -162.00 | +10.0% | -4.6% | -18.0% | -25.8% |
| 2019-08-09 | beat | -225.00 | -192.00 | +14.7% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -4.0% |
| 2019-04-30 | beat | -267.00 | -234.00 | +12.4% | +0.8% | +0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2019-02-27 | miss | -264.00 | -288.00 | -9.1% | -15.4% | -23.9% | -26.5% |
| 2018-10-30 | -294.00 | -294.00 | — | -7.5% | -8.5% | +14.2% | |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | -273.00 | -288.00 | -5.5% | -3.8% | -8.9% | +1.6% |
| 2018-05-01 | miss | -212.00 | -330.00 | -55.7% | -1.0% | +2.7% | +4.7% |
| 2018-02-15 | beat | -350.00 | -300.00 | +14.3% | -5.6% | -2.0% | +10.3% |
| 2017-11-08 | miss | -332.00 | -348.00 | -4.8% | -1.4% | +14.3% | +19.3% |
| 2017-08-08 | -378.00 | -378.00 | — | +1.2% | -8.1% | -24.1% | |
| 2017-05-10 | beat | -374.00 | -366.00 | +2.1% | +0.5% | +14.1% | +16.0% |
| 2017-03-08 | miss | -322.00 | -450.00 | -39.8% | -4.2% | -1.7% | +6.1% |
| 2016-11-07 | miss | -260.00 | -342.00 | -31.5% | +8.0% | +12.9% | +6.4% |
| 2016-08-09 | miss | -330.00 | -372.00 | -12.7% | +8.6% | +6.9% | +15.6% |
| 2016-05-10 | miss | -309.00 | -396.00 | -28.2% | -8.7% | -13.6% | -14.3% |
| 2016-03-10 | miss | -295.20 | -366.00 | -24.0% | -4.4% | +0.1% | +36.3% |
| 2015-11-10 | beat | -291.00 | -258.00 | +11.3% | +8.9% | -8.5% | -19.1% |
| 2015-08-10 | beat | -301.50 | -288.00 | +4.5% | -4.8% | +2.7% | +1.3% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | -382.00 | -324.00 | +15.2% | +3.2% | -6.5% | -7.6% |
Not investment advice.
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