WRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.2%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+5.6%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -5.5% median,
42% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 8
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.58 +6.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$2M/day volume
67% volatility
-25% 1-year
-65% from ATH
52-week range · 1% of the way up · -63% from the high
$1.55$4.26
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. -0.01.
1-day std dev
3.1%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+4.8%
Biggest drop
-6.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 29 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | -0.01 | — | — | +0.8% | +2.1% | +0.8% | |
| 2026-08-06 | miss | -0.01 | -0.01 | -2.6% | +4.3% | +3.4% | +3.0% |
| 2026-05-08 | miss | -0.01 | -0.01 | -4.4% | +2.0% | +4.8% | -4.8% |
| 2026-03-26 | miss | -0.01 | -0.01 | -3.1% | -1.2% | -4.8% | +2.4% |
| 2025-11-07 | beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | +0.0% | +1.1% | +10.0% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -0.01 | -0.01 | -3.9% | -0.8% | +1.6% | +8.0% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | +1.8% | +3.6% | -8.0% |
| 2025-03-19 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +0.3% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +3.5% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | +0.9% | -1.7% | +11.2% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.01 | -0.01 | -107.9% | +0.0% | -0.9% | +12.3% |
| 2021-08-06 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +0.5% | -1.7% | -5.6% | -1.1% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | -0.01 | -0.01 | -2.5% | +3.6% | +1.2% | -2.4% |
| 2021-03-29 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +35.4% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -4.5% |
| 2020-11-06 | — | — | — | +2.8% | -1.8% | +4.6% | |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | -0.01 | — | +47.7% | -1.7% | +0.0% | -0.8% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -0.01 | — | +41.8% | +6.8% | +0.0% | -2.7% |
| 2020-03-19 | beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +177.6% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +17.6% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | -0.01 | — | +48.8% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -5.1% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +5.8% | +1.4% | +4.2% | -2.8% |
| 2019-04-26 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +7.1% | +0.0% | -5.5% | -9.1% |
| 2019-03-14 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +6.1% | +0.0% | -6.6% | -1.6% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +4.6% | +0.0% | -3.0% | -13.6% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +4.4% | +0.0% | +1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +2.8% | +0.0% | +1.2% | +2.5% |
| 2018-03-22 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +3.1% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -8.4% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +1.9% | +1.9% | -2.9% | -15.4% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +5.0% | -3.3% | -3.3% | -16.7% |
| 2015-08-07 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +4.6% | +2.9% | +2.9% | -5.7% |
| 2015-05-07 | beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | +2.0% | -2.0% | +0.0% |
Not investment advice.
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