XFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.7%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 3): -19.8% median,
25% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 78
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.23%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.58 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt (8y) -0.1%
$2M/day volume
73% volatility
-16% 1-year
52-week range · 38% of the way up · -31% from the high
$2.43$4.83
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 2 days) · EPS est. -0.19.
1-day std dev
14.5%
Finished up
42%
Biggest pop
+28.4%
Biggest drop
-53.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 31 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -0.18 | -0.13 | +27.8% | +2.2% | +11.3% | +1.2% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | -0.20 | -0.16 | +20.0% | +0.2% | +4.3% | +0.7% |
| 2026-03-17 | beat | -0.35 | -0.22 | +36.7% | +5.3% | +18.8% | +7.3% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | -0.84 | -0.69 | +18.2% | -6.3% | -10.6% | -2.5% |
| 2025-08-08 | beat | -4.34 | -3.47 | +20.0% | -1.3% | -4.7% | +67.1% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | -3.75 | 0.04 | +101.1% | -4.4% | -13.0% | -23.7% |
| 2025-03-25 | miss | -4.72 | -6.00 | -27.0% | -3.7% | -12.2% | -24.7% |
| 2024-11-13 | miss | -5.16 | -5.40 | -4.7% | -12.5% | -53.2% | -42.6% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | 0.75 | -2.12 | -382.3% | +10.5% | +3.3% | +0.2% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | -4.35 | -7.80 | -79.3% | -12.5% | -9.2% | -17.9% |
| 2024-03-21 | beat | -4.55 | -3.00 | +34.1% | +1.0% | +28.4% | +36.3% |
| 2023-11-09 | beat | -4.29 | -0.30 | +93.0% | +1.2% | +6.6% | +3.4% |
| 2023-08-10 | miss | -4.93 | -9.90 | -100.9% | -19.5% | -36.0% | -27.4% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | -6.08 | -4.80 | +21.0% | +2.6% | +10.4% | -4.5% |
| 2023-03-21 | miss | -7.24 | -8.70 | -20.1% | -1.9% | +0.9% | +0.3% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | -9.53 | -7.80 | +18.1% | -7.1% | -3.6% | -6.6% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -19.25 | -18.00 | +6.5% | -2.3% | -1.6% | +10.9% |
| 2022-05-12 | miss | -18.53 | -21.60 | -16.6% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +16.2% |
| 2022-03-17 | miss | -20.28 | -21.15 | -4.3% | -4.5% | -10.6% | +2.0% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | -21.30 | -22.80 | -7.0% | +10.2% | -8.0% | -15.0% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | -22.08 | -22.20 | -0.5% | +0.7% | +1.4% | +3.4% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | -25.76 | -39.00 | -51.4% | +0.0% | +1.5% | -6.9% |
| 2021-03-04 | miss | -26.95 | -27.30 | -1.3% | -6.5% | -5.7% | +0.3% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | -21.97 | -26.10 | -18.8% | -0.3% | -6.7% | +3.0% |
| 2020-07-30 | miss | -21.54 | -22.80 | -5.8% | -0.7% | -3.5% | +3.1% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | -24.99 | -16.80 | +32.8% | +3.6% | +6.3% | +3.5% |
| 2020-03-12 | beat | -25.65 | -19.80 | +22.8% | -5.9% | -5.2% | -6.1% |
| 2019-11-07 | miss | -32.00 | -36.60 | -14.4% | +0.6% | +3.8% | -0.1% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | -29.10 | -30.60 | -5.2% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +2.7% |
| 2019-05-15 | miss | -98.97 | -200.10 | -102.2% | +0.4% | -6.8% | -12.1% |
| 2019-04-03 | beat | -133.16 | -73.33 | +44.9% | -4.0% | +0.0% | -6.9% |
Not investment advice.
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