XRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+2.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +7.0% median,
78% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 74
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.09%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.35 +1.0% · Seasonal tilt (9y) +1.5%
$6M/day volume
29% volatility
-2% 1-year
-67% from ATH
52-week range · 22% of the way up · -21% from the high
$28.09$38.65
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. -0.70.
1-day std dev
3.9%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+5.5%
Biggest drop
-9.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.24 | -0.65 | -164.9% | +1.5% | +1.1% | +4.3% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | 0.01 | -0.06 | -1300.0% | -8.7% | -9.2% | -2.8% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | 0.13 | -0.02 | -118.1% | -2.0% | -1.6% | -2.7% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -74.2% | -1.1% | +5.5% | +6.9% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | 0.05 | -0.08 | -251.0% | +1.6% | -3.7% | +0.6% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | 0.08 | 0.05 | -31.3% | +0.1% | -9.8% | -12.5% |
| 2025-02-27 | — | -0.20 | — | +2.0% | +3.8% | +5.4% | |
| 2024-11-06 | — | — | — | -0.2% | -2.9% | -6.3% | |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | -0.02 | 0.02 | +208.0% | +0.5% | -3.7% | -2.5% |
| 2024-05-07 | 0.05 | 0.05 | — | -0.4% | +3.5% | +3.8% | |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | 0.03 | — | -94.0% | -1.4% | -6.5% | -4.2% |
| 2023-11-06 | — | 0.06 | — | +1.3% | -0.5% | +7.2% | |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 0.10 | -0.07 | -173.7% | +2.5% | +5.2% | +2.5% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 0.08 | 0.02 | -82.0% | -3.7% | -3.1% | -0.6% |
| 2023-02-28 | miss | 0.15 | 0.05 | -66.7% | +0.8% | -2.3% | -1.8% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 0.15 | 0.10 | -33.7% | +0.8% | +3.2% | +10.3% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 0.24 | 0.15 | -36.8% | +0.8% | +0.3% | +1.4% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 0.28 | 0.20 | -27.3% | +0.1% | -5.7% | -13.3% |
| 2022-02-28 | miss | 0.33 | 0.30 | -7.7% | +2.9% | -1.6% | -3.1% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +9.1% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +0.2% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | 0.25 | 0.20 | -20.0% | -1.3% | -0.8% | -2.9% |
| 2021-05-05 | miss | 0.23 | 0.15 | -34.8% | +0.0% | +0.1% | -1.2% |
| 2021-03-03 | miss | 0.15 | 0.10 | -33.3% | -1.3% | -0.6% | +2.8% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | -0.61 | -1.10 | -80.3% | -1.9% | +2.8% | +5.2% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | 0.17 | — | -100.0% | +1.0% | +3.9% | +9.2% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.24 | 0.15 | -36.8% | +4.2% | +3.3% | -4.3% |
| 2020-03-04 | miss | 0.19 | 0.15 | -20.0% | -0.6% | +4.4% | -31.8% |
| 2019-11-06 | miss | 0.16 | 0.10 | -37.5% | +7.7% | +2.5% | +13.6% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | 0.28 | 0.15 | -47.1% | +3.9% | -1.6% | +3.0% |
| 2019-05-09 | miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -11.1% | +0.7% | +3.7% | +3.8% |
| 2019-03-07 | miss | 1.85 | 1.55 | -16.2% | +1.2% | +0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2018-11-06 | miss | 0.23 | 0.05 | -77.8% | -0.5% | +0.4% | +0.9% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | 0.17 | — | -100.0% | +0.6% | +0.7% | +3.9% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | 0.20 | 0.10 | -50.0% | +0.2% | +2.6% | +1.5% |
| 2018-03-07 | beat | -0.07 | -0.05 | +33.3% | +0.0% | +4.6% | +7.5% |
| 2017-11-09 | beat | -0.02 | 0.10 | +500.0% | -1.7% | +1.7% | +4.3% |
| 2017-08-10 | miss | -0.05 | -0.20 | -300.0% | +1.2% | -1.7% | +3.1% |
| 2017-05-11 | — | -0.70 | — | -0.4% | -4.1% | +0.4% | |
| 2017-03-27 | beat | -0.20 | -0.10 | +48.8% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +11.0% |
| 2016-11-10 | miss | -0.35 | -0.55 | -57.1% | -3.2% | -8.1% | -15.0% |
Not investment advice.
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